GR1ZZL3R

A long overdue update. I've neglected this column and ticket quest for some weeks due to other more pressing matters, a whole redesign of my garden, a whole restructure of how I play and record poker, a whole reset of my physical condition among other less important things. A settling down of various issues means more time to get back into the collection. I haven't played any cent rolls for what seems like weeks, and due to aforementioned projects I unfortunately let a few tickets wither and die. I was flipping a few, playing fewer, exchanging some and neglecting more, resulting in completely losing count of results. The upshot is that only my starting stats, the cent rolls, remain complete, but I don't mind as they are the ultimate score, how much I've actually spent. That runs at 11.99e less 1.60 cash won back by just missing out in higher qualifiers so actually 10.39 so far. I'm going to start playing the cent rolls again, flip the 0.40 and 2.00, and play the 10.00, 50.00, and 250.00, starting tonight or tomorrow with the short date 10.00 and try to bag an odd 50.00 or two before playing a few of those. I'd still love to actually win a live ticket but my cash venture, (more of that in another blog) among other things, is taking a fair bit of time so I'm hoping to keep ticking over and not lose sight of the target again. Happy Grinding All.

Some of you may have noticed that a few videos have gone missing, most of you won't, 😁 but I hit a brick wall in one session, got really tilted and more or less gave up the challenge, 3 tickets per day. I finally talked some sense into myself and realised the biggest problem was the setting of targets whether it's x number of hands, x hours played, x flops seen or whatever. It's also the reason why I stopped playing the monthly missions so long ago (although I may revisit them in preparation for the big 10 year anniversary promo coming soon) why play formats or sessions I don't enjoy. To that end I play open ended sessions these days, with absolutely no targets in mind. I made 58 flip tickets, about half of the target (which was binned, see above) and made a video of how things went. It was indeed a little bit slow and boring, 38 minutes for maybe 80 flips. I started to go back over it because I thought I was getting a raw deal, villain winning more than his fair share, card distribution etc, but that was even slower and more boring and I soon realised there was nothing to discover, or worth watching. 🥱 I played till I won, collected the prize then restarted, flipping till I reached the next higher prize and restarting again. Most wins in a row 5, I should have stopped at 4 but forgot, so I collected the prize but would have lost the next anyway, most losses in a row 6. Won 10, 20, 50, BP's and a 2e Hexa ticket. 😪 That's what I mean about playing for prizes you don't really want, I should have just carried on till I lost, 😁 and yes, it is all extra value. 👍 Happy flipping all.

Nice graph so far! Good luck on the conversion. I presume you play as uaintgotit in the qualifier mtts, I've seen you many many times. There always seems to be an ongoing debate about which form is harder, I've always assumed cash was easier (though I struggle anyway).

An interesting question. I agree there is no mathematical link but there can be a huge mental one. A very simple score chart. Run good play good: 100 Run good play bad: 50 Run bad play good: 50 Run bad play bad: 25 I can start a session playing well and running well (rare) but a couple of bad beats could often send me spiralling, in the past sometimes out of control. Some coaches or trainers hammer home the mental side of poker as being the number 1 trait to becoming a winner. I used to almost dismiss this concept but have been coming to realise it is an absolute must to be mentally strong enough to withstand the inevitable downswings, whether on the table or inside the head. So bad results can definitely cause bad play and bad play absolutely can cause bad results, by how much who knows. I'm not so sure if running good can breed confidence enough to make someone play all that much better, and playing well can still lead to bad results, but I'm sure there are some links somewhere. It seems to me that the downward slope can easily be compounded, the upward curve is a little harder to correlate.

Hiya @OmahGAWD well done on the tickets, persistence is a big part. I was also building a live ticket roll from the 1 cent rolls, slowed down a bit due to other things but your blog has made me revisit it so I'll update later. The 50e tickets are valid for 30 days, the last time I had a 250 it was available for 6 months I believe. Unfortunately @SShcherbyna I can't see UB bringing exchangers for any other type of ticket, the idea is to make players play the events and not hoard tickets, something I did in the past with live and (sadly defunct) UK versions. Good look on the ticket trail.

My wish would be for a reset button, maybe not for everything at once but certainly for some stats.

😀😃😄😁😆😅🤣'😂

I'm puzzled because my replayer certainly does't show any mucked hand details wether it's mucked pre flop, on the river or anywhere in-between. 🤔

Had to laugh at that one. 😁

@Andy-Relax Isn't it rather a long wait for anyone playing day 1 before starting day 2, plenty of time to go sightseeing or possibly nip back home to check on the cats and water the plants. Nearer to a 33 day event. 😂

So unlucky mate. 🥴

OUCH!!!!!

Wake up @Nestabear it's started.

I'm in and ready for action.Good Luck. 🙏🍀🍻 I see Sscherbyna, psrquack and Freedom are getting double mentions. I'm a little disappointed and a touch jealous. 😁😂🤣

Well done fella. 👍 Hope you don't get a signed T-shirt that requires 16 weeks of intense forensic examination to decipher the odd signatures. ☺️

It's usually an interesting debate "What would you do if..." but I'm looking at it in real life, not a theoretical lifetime possibility of fabulous riches, nice though that would be. And me having said you must always gamble in these situations XY raises a very pertinent point, if you don't like the current prize why take it, whether plus or minus ev. There's loads on YT about this sort of thing, "I'll give you £10 now or you can toss a coin and win £50." The majority, being risk averse humans take the cash now even though they're turning down a better ev offer. There just aren't enough gamblers in the world. 😁

Yes, it is a dilemma and you can consider how often you get in that position but it doesn't alter the maths, winning more than you lose for a 50/50 flip must be a yes. Always. Why stop at 10e though, your next flip is 50/50 to win 20e, double your money. At 40e your next flip is to win 100e, more than double. I think points at which to consider stopping are when you have jumped from 20BP to 50BP or from a 2e Banzai to a 5e Banzai, in each case you've won more than you could have lost, the perfect situation for 50/50 flips. If you continue though and reach 40e your next flip, a 50/50 again, will win you more than you lose so must be taken. I think another thing to consider is that you're not actually losing money, before you started you didn't have that 40e, if you lose the flip you still don't but have actually lost nothing. It's a flip, it's free money, when the odds are in your favour you must take them, otherwise what's the point of playing? That's like saying I've won 9 flips in a row so am due to lose, (Gambler's Fallacy) right at the point where the odds are in your favour. Still not an easy decision though but only one correct one.

I don't blame you @XY a win of 40e is nice at any time but... the long term odds remain fixed. Well done anyway getting that far, I never seem to. 🍻

@XY It's an absolute 100 % go for it. The previous odds to get to your current situation are irrelevant. If the rng is not biased you are now in a 50/50 flip, two random hands against each other. If you lose you lose 40E of tickets, if you win you win 100E, a gain of 60 or a loss of 40 in a 50/50 flip is a long term sure fire money winner. Go for it and good luck. 🤞

I really can't believe the fuss over the request for a fistful of dollars, heaven knows what would have happened if you'd asked for a few dollars more. Now Wudu moves into another phase, not only not reading what someone else has written and making things up, now not reading what he is publishing and arguing for both sides, genius. And classically not owning up to the fact that he is still wrong with his maths, simply ignoring any question too difficult to answer, somewhat like his mentor, the Don. At least I'd have an excuse for ignoring things, unlike yourself who does it deliberately. So do I and I would never expect them to. I really can't understand the fuss, those that want to invest can, those that don't want to don't need to. At least some of the naysayers are still giving some encouragement.

I wouldn't think anyone from UB would get involved but if anyone reneged on their deals the back office boys would know they were still playing here, unlikely as it is they would or could do anything about it. (Wudu's mate came back didn't he?) Sometimes, especially among friends, conditions don't need to be formalised. If a group of us were out and about and someone said "Lend us a tenner" I probably wouldn't start giving him the third degree about when and how I would get my money back. This has probably happened hundreds of times in my past, both ways, giver and asker. With inflation and my age taken into account I would think 50E is less than that and I regard this a s a temporary loan between acquaintances. Where would you draw the line? One euro, two, ten, nothing? The amount does matter.

Wudu with the wrong information yet again, it's not a spelling challenge it's a maths challenge. So where does the 750 already in Nestabear's account come from, he has not given any figures as to what he already has. You're doing a Donald again (fast becoming known as a Wudu) and making things up when you replace what you've actually got with what you would like. If I don't know I'm quite willing to say so rather than pretend too know the answers. If it was 500E I could understand the concern, I'm chipping in 50E to hopefully help someone out, my choice my decision, thanks for your concern but no thanks. It's actually quite sad these days that the world is so full of scammers and con artists that even a small request from someone known in the community for years is treated with so much suspicion. If Nestabear disappears with however many lots of 50E he has managed to accrue then it would indeed be a sad day and all you naysayers can come up with all your "Told yous" and "A fool and his money are soon parted." I have a little faith left and wish Nestabear huge success and am willing to chip in 50 euros to hopefully help him on his way.

You can demand till your blue in the face but it's not for me to say. However I should demand that you go on a maths course, obviously still your weak point, on a par with a certain former American President who also couldn't do simple maths. Five donors at a clearly stated 50 euros each is, in my book, 250 euros and not, according to your calculations 750 euros. I think my book is more accurate. Anyhow I'm not going to argue in someone else's thread with you, you've got a knack of making any thread you write in unreadable.