GR1ZZL3R Posted July 11, 2022 Author Share Posted July 11, 2022 (edited) "MALTA OR BUST" V50.4 🙄🙄🙄 Probably no need to play another hand. 😀 Took some time but did only play a couple of small hands. 27 players, one hour 42 mins, 161 hands. 😁 Edited July 11, 2022 by GR1ZZL3R 6 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 12, 2022 Author Share Posted July 12, 2022 "MALTA OR BUST" V50.5 I shove and get called. 🕺🕺🕺 Two hands later and things are looking good. 😀 No takers again. 🙄 I ran QQ into AA after my stack being whittled down, on the FT and assured of a €50 ticket, might as well die sooner or later...😱 ...maybe later. 😁 No callers when you want one, I only bet 2 1/2 bb hoping for a shove. 🤔 Twenty seven players, 1 hr 58 mins, 171 hands, becoming mini marathons. 🥳 5 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 13, 2022 Author Share Posted July 13, 2022 (edited) "MALTA OR BUST" V50.6 Despite being chip leader at the end of late reg the mini run good has closed for the time being. 😞 1 hr 4 mins, 84 hands, 17th of 34 players. That's the first batch of 6 x €50 played, 1 x €50 and 3 x €250 returned, can't be unhappy with that. I'm probably not playing again till next week. Pub quiz tomorrow night, Friday Night is Film Night, weekend is weekend and still great weather. I'll play the two €50 I have left (won one in a flip 🙂) next week, 1 x €250 on the weekend and then reassess. 🤔 Stay Cool. 🕺 Edited July 13, 2022 by GR1ZZL3R 6 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Acejp Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 On 7/13/2022 at 10:32 PM, GR1ZZL3R said: "MALTA OR BUST" V50.6 Despite being chip leader at the end of late reg the mini run good has closed for the time being. 😞 1 hr 4 mins, 84 hands, 17th of 34 players. That's the first batch of 6 x €50 played, 1 x €50 and 3 x €250 returned, can't be unhappy with that. I'm probably not playing again till next week. Pub quiz tomorrow night, Friday Night is Film Night, weekend is weekend and still great weather. I'll play the two €50 I have left (won one in a flip 🙂) next week, 1 x €250 on the weekend and then reassess. 🤔 Stay Cool. 🕺 ♠️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 :MALTA OR BUST" V50.7 Lasted just short of an hour, good start but faded badly. 58 mins, 72 hands, 16th of 27. 😢 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 20, 2022 Author Share Posted July 20, 2022 "MALTA OR BUST" V50.8 Over so quick it hardly registered on any man made scale. 😭 5 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuteRaven Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 You must have a bunch of 250€ tickets already? I admire the patience of playing all the 50€ tickets first before touching the 250€ ones 😀. What happens if you win multiple packages to Malta? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 21, 2022 Author Share Posted July 21, 2022 @CuteRaven Years ago I read an article by Tommy Angelo called "Enough is not enough", about collecting firewood for his campfire but essentially about bankroll management. He was of the view that he had to have far more than enough to feel comfortable, and that really resonated with me, I suppose I feel the same. From the figures I went through previously and all things being equal and me being an average player (questionable 🤨) I should win a final ticket once from every eight attempts. I have three attempts so nowhere near enough to make me feel comfortable. Last time I kept breaking tickets and building, seemingly able to go on for ever but not practically getting anywhere. I think I'll play one this coming weekend and then split one down to €50's, (there's the pessimism kicking in again, I don't expect a win at the first attempt 🙄) but that raises a question for @Purps As far as I can see Covid is here to stay and everyone is going to catch it sooner or later, so is juggling the tickets indefinitely the best way to go? Why not just let fate decide? Of course as Malta approaches the fields are getting bigger, more final places on offer but a slightly bigger average to overcome, so I feel I should have been playing these weeks ago when there wasn't such a great sense of urgency. Only ten weekends left, time to go for it. 🥵 4 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 21, 2022 Author Share Posted July 21, 2022 I didn't actually answer the question 11 hours ago, CuteRaven said: What happens if you win multiple packages to Malta? Of course I would give it away to someone on this site, 🥳 not going to happen though is it? 👀 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 22, 2022 Author Share Posted July 22, 2022 (edited) A small appetizer for the weekend? 👀 Won at 13.00. 🥳 Edited July 22, 2022 by GR1ZZL3R 5 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 24, 2022 Author Share Posted July 24, 2022 "MALTA OR BUST" V250.1 So my first attempt (in this particular iteration of live qualifying) at trying for the final. First impressions are that with 5,000 chips and 15 minute levels it's much slower than any of the lower qualifiers and much slower than cash games, 😬 and i think the standard is of course higher. Still in level 1 and off to a great start. Nothing remarkable then for quite a while. Late reg closed after 2 hours, 8 levels, I was 5th of 38 left from 57 starters, 6 €2,000 packages and 6 x €250 tickets on offer. Fifteen left and a huge slice of luck. At that stage I was virtually guaranteed of getting my ticket back. Unfortunately that's as far as it went, another huge slice of luck but this time bad.😑 Looking good for a great crack at the package.😁 Hmmmmmm! One outered.🤮 Three hours 54 mins, 261 hands, but still with three attempts left. Roll on next Sunday. 🤨 6 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuteRaven Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 Aww, you were so close! Nice run. On 7/25/2022 at 1:30 AM, GR1ZZL3R said: Unfortunately that's as far as it went, another huge slice of luck but this time bad.😑 How did preflop go? I don't think you need to get all win with ATs for 25 BB, the ICM is pretty brutal in a spot like this 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 27, 2022 Author Share Posted July 27, 2022 9 hours ago, CuteRaven said: How did preflop go? I don't think you need to get all win with ATs for 25 BB, the ICM is pretty brutal in a spot like this 😅 Villain on the button raised to 2bb, he had been raising quite a lot so I presumed quite wide, I 3bet, he shoved and without too much thought I called. At that stage I was low on chips and in no mood to be constantly run over. A double up there woould have been very close to qualifying but a disaster going out, maybe I should have taken a bit more time! 🤨 EXcuse # 57: Four hours of slow play slows my brain down. 😢 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuteRaven Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 5 hours ago, GR1ZZL3R said: EXcuse # 57: Four hours of slow play slows my brain down. 😢 Well I make worse decisions quite often, and in shorter tournaments too 😅. It's a pretty tough spot. My best guess on how the small blind is meant to play is that the range in general is meant to be somewhat tighter than normal. Probably most of the continuing range is meant to call (I'm guessing ATs would be a 100% call). Then there would be a very narrow 3betting range for a smallish size (something like KK+ AK and the rare bluff with a weak Ax blocking villains continuing range). The problem with 3betting wider is that if villain jams, many weaker hands would face two really bad options: 3bet folding or 3bet calling. So better to avoid that situation with most hands. The third option is going all in. That way you deny villain the opportunity to 4bet jam, and because of ICM villain should be folding almost everything. So maybe in GTOland you would have a narrow shoving range, but I'm guessing most likely not this deep. It's quite risky when you are so deep, and in the real world probably most people would call too wide. But hard to say how this spot actually works, just my guess 😀. As played it's possible to try and figure out weather you are meant to call the jam or fold: Here are some ICM calculations (stack sizes are in thousands of chips). You're in the first row and villain is in the second row: This first picture is the situation where you double up. So the value of your stack would be 0.762 after doubling up (just a unitless number). Assuming that you 3bet to 5000 chips, the value of your stack when you fold to the jam is 0.395 Of course if you bust, the value of your stack is 0, so we can ignore that in the calculations. So to profitably call the jam, calling has to have a higher EV than folding. The EV (expected value of your stack size) of folding is 0.395, and the EV of calling is the chance to win the all-in (lets call it c) multiplied by the value of your stack size when you double up (0.762). 0.762*c > 0.395 c > 0.395/0.762 c > 0.518 So you need to be winning about 51.8% of the time or more to call the jam, so much worse odds than in non-ICM situations. That corresponds to about a 23% jamming range (which would be quite loose) or wider from villain, for you to be able to call the shove profitably with ATs. Just thought it was an interesting spot to try and analyze. GL for the next one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 27, 2022 Author Share Posted July 27, 2022 (edited) Thanks for the analysis. Dara O'Kearney "You won't be making a massive error in the late stages of a satellite shoving the entire range you would normally play, and it is much easier from a mental game perspective to keep it simple and have a default strategy". In the lower stages of qualifying that strategy does seem to work well, I've not played enough of the higher buy ins to comment. Possibly too many bb's to do that but we were down to 10, only 4 from the main prize. Along with that and the fact I'd been playing a long time, 🥱and that he'd been min raising quite often, 😖and I'd got my entry ticket back, 😄and I didn't actually expect a call 😢 I wasn't overly upset. What I hate is getting one or two hours into a tourney with no signs of being competitive, and so I went for it. This time it was not to be, maybe next time. 🤔 Edited July 27, 2022 by GR1ZZL3R 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuteRaven Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 1 hour ago, GR1ZZL3R said: Dara O'Kearney "You won't be making a massive error in the late stages of a satellite shoving the entire range you would normally play, I would say it matters how you do it though. I think it's better to just shove ATs than 3bet and call it off. 1 hour ago, GR1ZZL3R said: and I'd got my entry ticket back, 😄 Yeah, that's nice for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 27, 2022 Author Share Posted July 27, 2022 1 hour ago, CuteRaven said: I would say it matters how you do it though. I think it's better to just shove ATs than 3bet and call it off. I'll concede that.✔️ "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted July 31, 2022 Author Share Posted July 31, 2022 (edited) There you go, bet365 think I'm so sharp that they don't want my business. Not quite the whole story though. The racing Post show an odds comparison page of odds from ten bookmakers, (Unibet used to be shown but no longer). They're not something I tend to look at because UB, among others, offers BOG, best odds guaranteed, but I noticed particularly that the Tote tend to offer bigger odds on the type of horses I back more frequently, the outsiders. Why not open a few accounts and see if I can get a small edge. I already had a few accounts, in the main hardly used , but why not go for a few more. Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral were all straightforward, with just a small glitch. Most ask if you want to set a deposit limit, I shrug and tick £100 a month for each. Ladbrokes, for whatever reason, decided to ignore that and give me more. 🥳 I wasn't going to bother with bet365 because they didn't accept deposits from PayPal, all the others did. PayPal is my slush fund, all betting is funded from my account there, and any withdrawals (rare) go there. This is my bonus, any treats above normal expenditure come from here,but after a short pause I deciced to use my current account. I logged in to bet 365 ok, deposited and logged back out, no problem. After finishing all my transactions for the day, all my accounts lined up and ready to go, I went back to 365 to have a look round the site. I couldn't log in, details incorrect, tried again, same result, so I went to my e-mails to try to contact them and found that opening message. I got into contact with live chat but they could not enlighten me. I did get my deposit back very quickly, at least it's showing in my bank account dated tomorrows date, the deposit is showing in pending transactions. 😄 So one deposit, no bets, no wins, no losses, account closed. Maybe I'm just not as sharp as I thought. 🤔 Family gathering for the Euros so no Malta quest tonight. Edited July 31, 2022 by GR1ZZL3R 1 2 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purps Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 Well that was a sad case. tbh ( no offence ) I didn't think you play on stakes that should bother them too much if you happen to win. But maybe I'm wrong about that. Yeah should be a nice EURO final. I'll be rooting for England also. Germany has been tough to score against though. Some nice offers under Unibet Specials for that one. I took England to win & over 2,5 @ 5,50, White to score @ 3,75 and Mead to score first @ 8,50. Let's go 🏴 ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purps Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 No words for how much I hate these hideous random pop acts before sporting events. If they get Led Zeppelin or Pink Floyd to play there they get my acceptance, but other than that? Hell no 💪😡 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted August 1, 2022 Author Share Posted August 1, 2022 20 hours ago, Purps said: Well that was a sad case. tbh ( no offence ) I didn't think you play on stakes that should bother them too much if you happen to win. But maybe I'm wrong about that. You're certainly not wrong. No offence taken at all. 😄 20 hours ago, Purps said: Yeah should be a nice EURO final. I'll be rooting for England also. Nice! ⚽ 20 hours ago, Purps said: No words for how much I hate these hideous random pop acts before sporting events. I've no idea who was on, I don't really watch the build up, sounds like I didn't miss anything. 😬 20 hours ago, Purps said: If they get Led Zeppelin or Pink Floyd to play there they get my acceptance, but other than that? Hell no 💪😡 What about the greatest footballing pop duo ever, Hoddle and Waddle? 🤔🤣🤣🤣 Well worth the price, classic. 😄 Or the iconic Football's Coming Home. Sheer bliss.🕺 Not quite how we envisaged it but it'll do for the time being. 🥳 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted August 1, 2022 Author Share Posted August 1, 2022 The start of a new month so a bit of tidying up. Another bonus randomly popping up, however i have yet to win anything on Crazy time. 😬 A €1 Hexa from reaching some level or other! 2nd hand, preflop B limps, sb raises to 4, I call, B raises to 7,sb all in, I call, B calls. 🤣🥳 4th hand. Running hot already. 😁 No Malta qualifiers to play till the weekend so bought a €4 cash ticket just for something to do. 🥱 3 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted August 1, 2022 Author Share Posted August 1, 2022 New month, new accounts, new systematic selections. 🏇 😮 2 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 Absolutely positively 100% rigged. 😎 2 3 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted August 7, 2022 Author Share Posted August 7, 2022 Highlight of the day, (so far). 3 4 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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