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GothMoth

Group: Full House
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Posts posted by GothMoth


  1. @psrquack wrote:

    What is more important in poker, the math or the variance.

    Someone thinks the math is more imnportant and told me if the UK 1 cent flip qualifiers had 54 or less players I have to register on it, because I have to win my table (9 players) and because it is a flip i have 1/9 chance for a win with any two cards, so I will win a ticket after every 9 cent I invested in( 6 tickets could be win). Variance teached me that 1000 MTT's isn't a long term.


    Yes, @psrquack it is not, 10 000 are already more close to it :wow:

    However it's impossible to acquire adequate result when playing so much MTTs takes an year and only if you are a grinding beast :laugh:

    During the course of playing so much tourneys it is inevitabily that your results won't represent your real form, as your playstyle changes, the opponents' one too. Many other variables are much different from the beginning too.

    And the variance could be devastating or beneficial which depends much more on luck than more players are able to comprehend.

    For example: you win a flip to €10 Supernova Qualifier the 1st time you try this pure luck format. Then register and win the qualifier. And at your first ever Supernova it happens to be tripled up and in the first levels which makes you a almost a chipleader. Later after losing with QQvAK(the other big one)vA6 and down to ~10bb and 105/105 :teardrop:

    But stealing with all-ins  almost every hand  at a very passive table somewhat recover you to the point beyond push/fold.

    Then as you have the image and KK the all-in is a good decision - insta call by the player with equal to your stack and he shows... T2o :wow: the curse didn't work this night and you double your stack to an average size ~10 players before the bubble.

    Then with stalling, observing the other tables and few non-risky steals you are in the money - €300 from €2 and even bigger than your BR atm. But that's not enough player after player bust and after 1-2hrs the FT and 7of 9 . Playing like a total nit letting the maniacs to bust each other you finish 5th for ~€1400 🆒

    Yes it was me at my first Supernova, but it could be everyone with just plenty of luck, nerves and a little poker knowledge 😃

    I wrote this mainly to show how the ROI could skyrocket when the right circumstances and the chance are present.

    Now Imagine the 1000 MTTs with €5 average buy-in without this great result or better the graph which gets as high as possible after the great win which is 5-6 times bigger than your bigger ones(€200-€300) during this 1000 MTTs streak.

    • Like 2
  2. @Depositors  I' ve got free-spins few times in the last 2 years via private message. Nothing big, but I'm grateful nevertheless 😃

    Also there are slot competitions here in the community with great rewards once every 2-3 months. In this one I finished 3rd and my winnings from the free spins were even bigger 🆒

    https://www.unibetcommunity.com/t5/Community-Promotions/Big-Win-Casino-Tournament-Grand-prize-2000-Unibet-Open-package/m-p/145038

     

    As for the sportsbook where I was more active I regulary received the weekly free bets from the "Acca Insurance" and the "Multiples Promo".

    And few days after the new personalized reward program was introduced I received big free bet €50 😃

    No other personal ones since then (almost an year), but lately I gave up the betting almost completely.

    • Like 1
  3. Just seeing this - awesome work @pinki 👍

    As if you're reading the regular players minds... Maybe you've been dreaming playing at Unibet after a marathon session like me or are just a visionaire seeing the big picture 🆒

    Just to add something: the scroll filter for the buy-ins should be fixed better as from time to time it's moving when interacting with the lobby and can't be set no matter  what values are typed or scrolled to.

    • Like 1

  4. @SCOBY wrote:


    @GothMoth wrote:


     


     

     

     

     

    This time look for a really low-standard one - like SouthWest Bulgaria :laugh: (too bad I'm near the capital) or even better Azerbeijan or Kazakhstan.

    Thus with few hours of poker daily you'll live a very decent life, not to mention if you climb the stakes and begin to earn €1000-2000...


    Is it really possible to earn enough money just from online play ???


    @SCOBY enough is very broad definition, sometimes it's "too much, but never enough" :laugh:

    But talking about poker and cost of living - Here In Bulgaria most people work 8hrs for €300-400. In Sofia for ~€800- €1000, in smaller towns and villages even for below min. wage €250. 

    And this is if you are lucky, very good at your profession or have connections at the right places, otherwise - unemployment!

    The minimum pension is lower than the buy-in of the new daily Comet tourney €50. And this is usually given to disabled and old people that haven't worked enough (40-50)years...

    So if you manage to make more profit than the given wage figures which is definitely possible even in the "tough poker enviorment" nowadays, so the money should be enough. I'm not saying it's easier than working at office or factory, but I can't really compare :laugh:

    Of course it depends where you live, do you pay rent or own or share a house with a relative(s).

    After all there are many great diasporas of poker pros at places where the cost of living is substantially lower and provide good recreation too : Thailand, Cambodia, Costa Rica to name a few. 

    However I think that the Balkan countries to the west of BG:Croatia, Bosnia, Serbia, Montenegro are even better places. The post-soviet countries are great choices too.

     

    • Like 5

  5. 7. I'm not sad that i leaved my country, but i am not totally happy with all new rools from here.....Anyway, is much better! As a minijob (40hours per week) without any qualifications i won more than i used to win as a vet in my poor country!

     


    I  know what are you talking about @4soul - I'm from your even poorest neighbour country . So many friends left for the capital or abroad...:sad:

    As for the choice of professional starvation - no thanks. I graduated - Applied Linguistics (English and Russian) back in 2008 and we were the first 6 persons with such diplomas in the whole country, but I have 0 days as a worker (technically). 

    Also before the finals I realised that the poker will give me the freedom to live like I want and not to be a servant to some bosses or institutions - Nonserviam 🆒

    I know that kind of life is not for everyone, but if the 12-14h working days have drained you after you earned enough, you might consider changing the country again.

    This time look for a really low-standard one - like SouthWest Bulgaria :laugh: (too bad I'm near the capital) or even better Azerbeijan or Kazakhstan.

    Thus with few hours of poker daily you'll live a very decent life, not to mention if you climb the stakes and begin to earn €1000-2000...

    • Like 6
  6. When only KK were cursed it was easy, but now all pocket pairs (higher - the worse) and also the suited connectors are showing such symptoms.

    I see many world class players at Unibet go all-in only with broadways lately. More precisely they mostly limp or min.raise or just call your 100bb 3-4bet shove with these premium and non-cursed holdings and no matter what the expected outcome suggests, they prove math and probabilities totally wrong :wow:

    KKfold.thumb.png.0b8022e43201c66b5f39dc3555a069df.pngAAfold.thumb.png.df1dc76ee81044b2f1d52bcd0ae677dd.pnggoodfoldAA.thumb.png.81e79c1b778ae8b84716c4aa75d6e42b.png

    • Like 4

  7. @TDW wrote:

    Ah, such a shame! :p

     

    Guess i'll follow you thread for a couple days/weeks figure the W/L ratio of your pre match bets out myself :)


    couple of months would be better 😃

    Still won't be very accurate though. You can see how much my ROI deviates for 07.18 and 08.18:

    994336969_Screenshot_2018-10-20CommunityMyProfile.png.2766e0f65a03b6e59b38c3681b5230f1.png

     

     

     

    • Like 3
  8. @OmNomNom  "he opens 3xBB and you shove 10 BB" yes and maybe he played it for an image too.

    Nothing spectacularly sick here, but it became a tradition in SN to get bad-beaten every single time for months. And the only bad-beat I gave was a call all-in pre w 99 (10-15bb) > QQ and still finished ~40th after all :puking: 

    At least I manage  to qualify almost every week for €20-30, so the ROI when I happen to finish ITM is very good 🆒

    • Like 1
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