POKER The poker has slowed down to almost non existent. I "played" the first 9 days of 2c flips for the Supermoon, 12 per day for an outlay of €2.16, returning 11 x 40c tickets, fair enough. I "flipped" these all together on Saturday and "won" 4 x €2 tickets so a decent enough return, better than expected. I saw a €2 10 x €10 tickets, jumped in that as my first tourney played but out with QQ v Ax. The plan now is play all the €2 6 x €10 tickets, looks like 2 per night, and have used BP's to buy some more €2 tickets. It would be nice to play in the first running at the start of May but I'm not desperate and may continue with the flips as well while running ahead. BETTING The horseracing is going very well with a complete restart from the beginning of the month. I call it "Beat the Favourite" though this is not strictly true as I have backed a small number of favourites so far. I'm targetting small field races, 9 or fewer runners, and trying to do what the title suggests, so far running hot with a couple of nice outsiders coming in. Twenty winners from 55 bets, returning £33 profit at level stakes, and as a comparison the fate of the favourites in those races down the right hand side. These show 15 wins from 55, returning a level stake loss of about £14, with the odds on favourites doing particularly badly. Averaging around 5 bets per day I would prefer to put my bets on and leave them, especially as they are well ahead at level stakes, and it's time consuming having to check in regularly if betting live, but for the time being I'll continue to watch and bet from race to race, slightly increasing stakes on a losing run, but with only slightly more profit due to the good strike rate anyway. ROULETTE Taking a lead from some other blogs it's confession time. I went on tilt on a bad day and came close to destroying weeks and months of hard work, but it's not all doom and gloom. I did lose a big chunk on one day but sense prevailed in the end and I called it quits, returning later to try and repair the damage. It's hard when you're on a winning streak to believe you're ever going to lose, but lose you will and handling the downswings is all part of the process. I've slowed down the betting and done even more observing over the last few days and there is cause for some optimism with a recovery of sorts under way. Only time will tell. Only £2.50 up on the month but, profit's profit so onwards and hopefully upwards. OTHER NEWS I had a call to say I could book my second covid vaccination which I had on Thursday, so probably a family get together in a week or two. No sounds from the upstairs visitors for 4 nights now. As always, run good and stay safe.
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