GR1ZZL3R

@HardGain I see it's Hexas again, the only difference being the hike in price level. It's not more difficult as such but making it harder for those with micro micro budgets, isn't that a bit mean at Christmas?

Day 15 Basically not much to say except I wouldn't really regard them as missions, very basic to complete. Lost the Hexa in no time at all, fired up 4 cash tables (only 25 playing 5-10c at this unearthly hour 😵‍💫) job done, (E14.68 won in 11 mins. 😍) Very basic, pretty pointless!

Day 14 Back to Banzai, this time reach Purple Belt status. When I started Sensei was only just over the 5 euro start and 25 in the pool. I managed to fire up 4 tables, two were doing ok and two still lagging. I was just about to drop the bottom two when I hit Sensei and as I suspected that completed the mission. 😍 Twenty three mins, 233 hands, 25 flops seen surprising, (I thought that would be a smaller % but they will let you limp occasionally🤞) and a few pennies profit. 👍 ☕

Day 13 Played the classic freeze out for 1 euro. Two hrs 23 mins, 184 hands and some sort of success. 🙂 The sng wasn't quite as smooth. 😢 Hand #1 Ooooops!

Day 12 There's only one way to approach something you're dreading, head down and full blast, so here goes. A short while later... Honestly, what's all the fuss about. Thirty eight minutes (1 game a t a time) 119 hands, 5 games played, three 5x multipliers, (two of them won, don't mess about with the smaller ones 🥱) 6.5E profit, and I'm sure this will come back to bite me but... easy peasy.😍 Have I ever mentioned how much I like Hexayesyesses? 🤣

I reckon you should be dealt hearts once every 16 hands, it took me 62 so below expectations, story of my life. 😢

Can't I have just 5 mins of glory before being brought back to Earth? 😬 I'm running at 24/189 so 1 every 7.875, you're at 13/108 so 1 every 8.307, both below average. 🥴. 🤞

Day 11 Be dealt two hearts 3 times... what a boring mission... except. It took 7 mins while 6 tabling, I won 2 all ins, (wasn't watching the counter for hearts dealt as it was counting flops seen at the same time,) so came out with nearly 20E profit. 😀 Then a bonus run on the spins. It's beginning to look a lot like Christmas... 😍

I think you are probably right and that same number is an average of 1 card that is in the same place regardless of deck size. The simplest calculation is by asking what are the odds of a particular card being in the same position after a shuffle, say the There are 52 possible positions for it, so the odds are 1/52. This applies to each and every card, so you can see the odds of any card remaining in the same position are 1/52. There is a much more detailed work through but the same result is obtained, on average for any size deck one card will appear in the same position.

Good to hear from you again.

???????????????????????????????????????????????🤔

Day 10 Back to the Hexagons, this time it took me 10 attempts to win 3, and all those were 20c, so yet another small loss,🤬 running slightly below what's expected but seriously having some appalling luck. 🤬 🤬 Anyway I've regged the flip tourney straightaway but it has a weird expiry date. Does that mean if I'd left it and come back to reg in about 6 hours, 7 hours before the tourney, it would be dead? 🤔 😀

A single source that was updated occasionally would add even more clarity.

Day 9 I was so smug at collecting the bounties yesterday so easily I forgot to reg for the flip ticket given as a prize. 🤬 That's two I've missed so far. 🤬🤬 Steady day today, play three Hexas, not even having to win them. 👍 #1 Hand #1 #2 Hand #3 #3 Hand #9 20 Cash game flops to see: Hand #1 The rest of the session didn't go quite as well, ran KK into AA right at the end of the 60 flops for Santa Flips 🤬 but didn't finish too badly. Now I just have to remember to play the ticket. 🙄

Day 8 Another day I wasn't too sure about but I needn't have worried too much. The first tourney, PLO, I could have taken two players out in the third hand but was too chicken. There weren't really any good opportunities after that so it was on to the Banzai. Be rude not to call.😵‍💫 😍

Hi @Ironton and welcome to the community. Your BP's are not affected by anything really and are safe as long as you log in at least once in 90 days, don't leave them any longer. 🙂

Been watching my second favourite tourney the last day and a half, the 1 frame shoot out. Sean Murphy has just made the first ever max break in the tourney, a superb seven and a half minutes of brilliant skill.👍

Guys like Matt Berkey and crew on the Only Friends YT channel regularly discuss win rates and variance and how hard it is to come up with meaningful figures. The simplest figures are BB/100 in cash games and ROI in tourneys but needing pretty big sample sizes to be useful. If your then changing strategies you would need large sample sizes for each one, a much larger task. I'm only a part time rec, there are many better candidates that may be able to help, but Good Luck and welcome to the community. 👍🙂

Day 7 Win 5 Hexas. 🤮 Despite my trepidation and misgivings it worked out much better than I was anticipating, except for one aspect (more later*.) I decided to play the cheapest fastest version, 0.20c Extreme, and to my surprise did quite well, the run good seeming to be above average being a major contributing factor. I won 5/8 🥰 but 4/5 of those were the minimum return of 0.20c, won1/2 at 0.60c and won 0/1 at 0.80c. *1.60 invested, 1.40 returned, a winning by numbers of 62.5%, an roi loss of 12.5%. 🤮 Maybe the sample size isn't large enough! 😬 ☕

Day 6 Not a very happy morning then, but that's poker. I 4 tabled for 105 mins, played (or didn't play) 1505 hands, lost 12.79E but have excuses. I'm unlucky and... well that's it. To be fair I was a bit loose early on but have decided my strategy for the next Banzai session and am actually looking forward to it. 🥰 Seeing the prize I might hop back in after a cuppa. ☕ Only 25 flops to see rather than 300! 🤨

Not very Lordly then, or winning.😬

I would think 6-7 hours is enough for him to do it a dozen times or more, he could probably build stacks on all tables and take it in turns to be Sensei on each one. Luckily we only have to make it to black belt level, all in 50 times, cost 50E (if you lost every one) job done.

I think most of the missions are boring tbh. I found this one quite interesting though, as are any where you can come up with what you hope is an optimal strategy to try and complete rather than sitting around just waiting for something to happen, be dealt a pair of Aces, those are the boring ones.🥱 In the end I was limping even with big pairs as I wasn't interested in playing any hands without a flushing chance. The previous Banzai, seeing flops, was a change from "normal" strategy, although I'm sure many low stakes players will do this anyway. Tomorrow will be playing Banzai again, something I wouldn't usually do, but I can't see any way to change strategy to ease the path to success, you simply have to get your all ins to complete.

More or less the plan I'd decided on except full stacks to start. It didn't start well, all in pre with QQ<AA, 🤮 12 minutes before a decent chance. I literally limped every chance and called a single raise every time. Another all in QQ>AK held, didn't flop any flushes but all 4 made were from flopping 4 to the flush. Biggest win was calling pre with 65, flopped two sixes, turned a 5 then villain shoved, KK. 👍 Actually made very little profit from flushes but the by-products were sweet. Thirty eight minutes, 166 1/2 BB profit, what was I worried about? 😍 And then I noticed it's for Silver Tokens, niiiice! 🤗

Quick update. I've played 1 hour 38 mins, four tabling and not a sniff of a flush... but I have been playing my main ticket for the Santa Flips, with a pretty tight strategy designed to not get me into too much trouble (down 16E on the day so far, so that's going well 🤮.) Sixty flops seen, two more bronze flip tokens gained, time for a break and a change of strategy, chase any two flushing cards. Could be expensive but ho ho ho, let's go. 😍