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Estzen

Group: Full House
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Posts posted by Estzen

  1. 6 minutes ago, Andy-Unibet said:

    There is more value in winning an event than playing for the LB no? Playing the highest variance style possible to get lots of bounties over picking spots and going deep seems like it would result in less profit overall? I've only thought about it for two minutes so there may be a reason to focus on the LB but to me I'd be trying to win the events first and collect the bounties second.

    By LB you mean what?

  2. So guys heres the story. From a good point of view - Im 2nd in the Anniversary Leaderboard, and it gives me the ability to play Supermoon at some week... sadly it doesnt matter who's 1st or 25. But anyway. Maybe some might be thinking also, that the Bounty leaderboard is just for fish and only people who gamble will get there. While, there are certainly people who probably did so, I think there is 2 parts how to get higher to the there. 

    One is probably doing rebuys - even tho at bountis when there is chunck of the field gone - we should not rebuy anymore. Yesterday day I ruined my Hyper- tho with not realizing that I should jam and get rid of my stack and get normal stack fast again by rebuy... Instead ... I sticked with 800 chips ... which later on showd that it wasnt a good decision. 

    2nd is not rather gambling(cuz it wont be as consistent even tho can give you hits) , but rather the abilities to play bounties correctly. In ICM there is a thing we call Risk Premium - the higher the RP the tigher we wanna be, and that RP is something that discounts our equity. So when in a certain situation specially like when 2 bigger stacks go each against themselves, their RP is much higher and if you have say 52% equity in some hand lets say AK vs 77s or smth .. then with RP added, you kind of discount your equity in terms of payjumps and chip interactions. so its not 52% anymore its m maybe 45%. Why am I talking about that? Im talking about that because Bounty value in a nutshell, is the exact opposite of ICM RP. Its like "Negative Risk-Premium" For instane when everyone in the start have 1 Bounty value and 1 stack value(starting stack) - with everything in the start, it already is 5% added value. So when you have a hand that say wins 43% it may be an easy call, cuz you only need 45% to be winning, but now you need only 40% to be winning! Because of the bounty. <- so because of that dynamics, some ranges can be VERY LOOSE. at the same time, people put too much weight on bounties at final tables and sometimes I forget this myself too. Even tho bounty ranges are wider in FT than in Normal, they are still often alike - very tight. 

    Due to all that bounty interaction it makes the game a lot diffrent, and most people are still playng bounties as normals where their losing value even tho can be played profitably like that too ofc. And you certainly dont have the higher varience, since you are not making these -EV calls that are +EV calls in the bounties which skyrocket the Bounty Varience if played correctly. I think most people who got to the leaderboard were guys who knew some stuff, or just happened to make some correct decisions rather than mindless hunters, because my prediction would be that these mindless hunters probably would be too insane to remain consistency.

    One of the things also that sometimes matters in table dynamics is, the people to your left and how much they 3bet. If they are nits and almost never 3bet. You can basically open your A5o to play it against the BB with some frequency if their passive and you cover. Its also very important that you also take into account that if you have a bounty and people cover you, you cannot shove your like "loose normal range". 

    I hope this mumbling helped some community member a small amount. I really liked the Anniversary events and will look forward to next UOS. But work has to be done these days, because from this weeks point Im down like €1000 in total. So I need like a Neptune win or something xD. 

    Leaderboard Conclusion:

    image.thumb.png.bcdb1295e188a463b172b1f697685d31.png

    Game 1: Anniversary 8k. Really unfortunate, I was almost ITM and decided to "go broke or get it all" and Jammed my AJs. which later I thought that with Suited combo could have easily just called due to ICM effects, 20 effective, but at the same time.. wasnt probably a -EV jam, but yea... from hindsight... that freaking sucked.

    image.thumb.png.c5afcefe28191b758b601c5e27d2c14a.png

    Game 2 Anniversary 4k:

    image.thumb.png.ed9af63a4c568bf481ea9cec605dc43d.png

    Game 3: Anniversary 2k:

    image.thumb.png.0d82f87e46a6477343eb18a67944aefe.png

    Game 4: Anniversary 2k Hyper:

    image.thumb.png.aecb5bcfa55453ea583aa8fa8d6bc803.png

    So the in the 8k hand: 

    I also calced by bounty value, now when writing this blog so if it wouldnt be bubble, its actually pretty close to normal, so if it wouldnt be near bubble, people probably would only look the €44 eur bounty and call off wider than they actually should. Which in their part would be a mistake - which makes a jam a bit better probably? But yeah in terms of ITM, I was a bit stubborn there, even tho it would give good FT EV... to me. I jammed, was against 66es and there we go.

    image.thumb.png.2902927ef7b1a266a976e70ce6281686.png

    image.thumb.png.3e56b3865a18af73a2e3c437f16ea54d.png

    Yesterday also had a really crazy hand where it was something like KK vs TT and one guy had blocked Tx with JT on his small stack multiway or maybe he showed, anyway we saw the JT and it still got the 1outer on the river 😄 . Well what an we do xD. Till the next Unibet Event games!

     

     

    • Like 2
  3. Even If I wouldnt play today the Anniversary leaderboard should be settled, since 25th has 36 points, and I have 61 with being 4th. But We will be playng for sure. 

    Yesterdays recap:

    Didnt get much out, than bounties. 

    Game 1 Anniversary 6k:

    image.thumb.png.a79bdb6020d1ba68613369f75dd3f6e5.png'cant do anything in here:

    image.thumb.png.abfbd3675af10f679013d2f590d3b0a7.png

    image.thumb.png.d407e571ac6c77abb8f5f12201e91da4.png

    Game 2 Anniversary 4k:

    Got pretty deep, but ended there

    image.thumb.png.ef7134ba5f25da5019f0cfa2f13971a2.png

    image.thumb.png.03d00dacef52e3a542ed35232158493c.png

    Left me with 3 BB which didnt help to get me back anymore. pre-jammed CO opens I jam and Lotto rejams. I had like 11 eff. 

    Game 3 Anniversary 2k:

    This one was the most UL in the sence that its almost FT bubble 😄 

    image.thumb.png.fb26ab7d95c94bf955c9096231d4676b.png

    And here the AK just didnt get there, I had 8 BB at that point. He opened 66es. And got me which was of course very good for him there. I've started to see REGtoREC in many deep runs too, seems like he has got some click some time ago. Wasnt so much occuring before so shout out to him too! 

    image.thumb.png.277f1932a9b6d0f210a754abc56d073b.png

    Today will be the last day so - will be an intresting fight.

    • Like 1
  4. 17 minutes ago, WuDu said:

    That we can agree on. 

    Which then leads to the next question: How good are these solvers and programs if you have to make assumptions that have nothing to do with reality? That's where poker playing skills come into play.

    If @Andy-Unibet played against me like he suggested here, I'd take a quick note "Limp-Trigger AI" and exploit that later on or a few days later...

    Lets Go Reaction GIF by WWE 

    Poker is a game of assumptions. If people dont have a brain and they use a solver, they get nothing out of it cuz they dont understand the theory enough. But People who do have a brain and know and understand what their using, will get better a lot. I think peoples lack of understanding is what confuses the mix a lot. If AI would be so bad then Pleriubus wouldnt go and beat everyone. Its rather that most people who are somewhere with very basic knowledge, do not understand how to apply things. 

  5. 3 hours ago, WuDu said:

    Yesterday in my last 10 $ SNG at the competition:

    Heads-up.

    I'm in the BB. I have 10 BB left, SB has 15 BB.

    SB limps. I go All-In with AJs.

    SB calls. So we have a Limp/Call for round about 10 BB from the SB here again.

    SB hits the flop and wins the SNG.

    He had

      Hide contents

    :5h::2s:

    People are not robots and some people want to have fun and gamble or have to close games early due to having to go on a cigarette break (Yes, someone posted that in the chat while I was playing after I wished him gl for the HU.)

    mothers day smoking GIF

    You are totally right 😉 ; the amount of rec stuff can be seen is enorumous..

  6. 2 minutes ago, Pionrj said:

    F the peace. You are again cherry picking @Estzen. Telling that you are a bankroll not, having a (public)Average BIN under 5d and now telling that the 10d sample size is not big enough. Of course it is not, when you don't play those. Maybe because you're not a winning player there? 

     

    Go in to yourself. Your self awareness clearly is not in such level as you think. 

    We can play them , do you want to? 😄 

  7. Since your already doing that, could lay out $5 ones as the 10s are super scewed there, I dont even remember much of playng these and the one sheet you show is like 2021 in January , I have no idea why these games are even there. Ive never played these 18s much, but have started to chill in these just on some of my "free days" and so on. But I dont hard grind them. @WuDu if you want to , u can message and play 2gether for the fun of it . 

     

  8. @WuDu to your suggestion, Im really not into thinking I have to prove something to someone, and Ive already welcomed anyone to play Anni's but I dont see much people bloging about it. But I really dont care about that, Im just doing my thing and Im happy about it. 

  9. $5 dollar 18men are just for fun, and I play them usually only for time flow, I think 124 games is a bit shallow size to say much and I dont grind them to specialize, I could play clearly higher with my roll, but I just dont. I have no idea what my overall size would be there, and I highly doubt I would be losing at micro sngs lol. But OK. 😄 @WuDu

  10. 2 minutes ago, Livertool said:

    Mature ain't part of my vocabulery except when i visit pornsite.

    We dont need to know that, and its not really a  surprise thats exactly who you are. If theres a need for shitposting there is an off-topic section in the forum. Or always possible the ability to make your own blog. 

  11. That sure is a bit arrogant, but there is a reason for that answer, which is someone wanting to build anothe line of drama. Seeing your reaction in the other one, I can only imagine what response could come from you if ways would be turned around. I think , should just check and option of possibility to block people so that I wouldnt be seeing this nonsense. 

    Towards me playng on a saturday, it comes down to making my own decisions. At least when Im outside, maybe on some other day- I have money to use for being outside. Being with family and friends is much better than being in a mindless party with recklessness, so I dont feel even missing anything. 

  12. 1 minute ago, cris1285 said:

    Show me where did i moan more after that? I wait. 

    Dude, go out to the sun and shut up. You are argueing that you have enought, doesnt seem so. So shut up and get out of it 3 sentences was your toll, should be enought but like we see, it isnt. Im not going for another ring, you can go register $11 6max and $11 mini saturday KO to meet me at stars, bye.

    • Haha 1
  13. 2 minutes ago, cris1285 said:

    Such a big moaning i had, really. Three sentences, and i said rant is done. Done, finished, forgotten! But you had to comment on your arrogant style, of course, you have to shine, because you know everything. You are always right, always +1. Such a bad thing that you dont like irony, otherwise you would be perfect ha?

    "Because unlike people like moaners who do zero work for it, I do understand that varience..." This! You are a wannabe arrogant a€€hole. Why you think everybody wanna play and grind poker for living as you say? Let alone that you coming with your nonsense life instructions... Jesus...

    You defend too much and come up with everything else to look better, but you are a brockyesque troll, nothing else. 

    Didnt wanna comment your blog title and everything here mate, i let you go after the "pm" because you are clearly a troll, and hard to argue with these type of kids, waste of time. But the reopening post is so cringeworthy. Im living rent free in your head, you are still pressed a week later. And i have a problem in life? Delicious.

    yeah, 3 sentences - you just cant be able to stop , surely 3 sentences... 

  14. Anniversary 24th June Games:

    Yesterday many times got AK vs KQ where KQ had Merenitsu outs and hit me out. Even one non-Anniversary game. 

    I ll just post the game results, I dont have time to type down after this lenghty writing:

    Got 9 KOs, still in the leaderboard Supermoon TiX are coming and just in need for some more Final Tables.

    Anyway yesterday sucked. All pretty decent deep runs, but went south. Maybe 25 will do better. 

    Game 1 6k:

    image.thumb.png.bd468b29bc2b901d334dd3328f147857.png

    Game 2 4k:

    image.thumb.png.344a01ec842988bb7e4f8969ab364926.png

    Game 3 2k:

    image.thumb.png.14f5863604a6a66a5d9c13f957ff405c.png

     

    • Like 2
  15. 10 minutes ago, Pionrj said:

    You really missed the point by a mile here. It's not really at all about your poker skills. Yes, you are in profit on every site we can see and that proves that you can play poker. But that doesn't make you a verified Online psychologist. That doesn't give you any kind of right or freedom to analyze people, calling them names and/or give them any kind of life advices. That's what you are constantly doing here. You seem to be a somewhat intelligent guy. If you'd just stop for a moment and think the way you take a stand in this community, you'd figure it out why you piss of people. I'm sure of it. 

     

    Part of the problem for sure is that here are very few people speaking or writing native English. How the F can you even be sure that you know what they really meant with their one sentence? There's a lot of studies of everything. And as you know those so well, please link me the one where they go through the personalities of people writing anonymously in internet. There has to be one. Right? You wouldn't analyze people here without reading that one. Or would you?

    I have no-where claimed to be a certified Online Psychologist. Even tho I do have read literature and been in classes out of intrest for 4 years, so I do know somethings. We are spreading hairs here - the problem didnt start from me insulting him, but it was him who used the irony to which I finally decided to go too, since there seemed to be no stop. Go and look to yourself, It wasnt me who was going with all the irony... I just finally got enought of it, hence the wife comment. I dont have time to start searching PubMed and stuff for it, there sure are some and you can find them if you want to, I have better things to do on Saturday to start searching for psych literature atm. 

  16. I advise you to go read the "dialogue" of me and Cris again, because for me there is nothing about "bulding myself up" ... its rather your persception of that. All I did was told that his moaning about varience is really incompentant. Go and scroll this small blog and try to find how many times you see some "moaning post" about hands? ZERO. 

    Last year I had an episode of being in a downer for 3 MONTHS.. did I make posts about this kind of shit somewhere? NO. Because unlike people like moaners who do zero work for it, I do understand that varience can be a big bitch. Theres a pretty good russian pro, "ahahahaoh" , you can find like more than 1000 games lenght swings in his graph ... some people just are unable to take in facts <- somehow Im lifting up myself - like wth lol .

    ahahaohgraph.PNG.5562696c88aebcf2c7aa12386c1c8396.PNG

     

     

  17. One side note more, its cool when some people (but not you Pionrj) , are criticizing me when even from these smaller accounts are all in profit, yet they cannot even be +EV in these. 

    And I have nothing to hide in that sense, that from the old Microgaming graph you can also see, kinda the line when things started to get better for me... the whole losing part there shows very nicely the turning point, even tho it doesnt get into profit because I didnt took the time back then to put it my main focus of place. But here is also an old graph from OnGame network from older times:  games consisting mainly MTTs $5,  - and compared to today, I would say that actually my game sucked back then, but it was enough for the these fields... that is in somewhere 2015ish

    image.png

  18. I wasnt going to think, that I get something like this when I open Unibet Community. 

    So, you can check out the whole discussion on and no, its not started by me. Its was all about Cris not being able to take a comment over 12 hexa losses. Then going ham on and starting the irony. NOT ME. 

    Then yes, I really did make the title an Empty Blog because for me, it was just laughable. 

    And now, if you count the comments which are the off-topic ones, their not mine. Their from these same stalkers. 😄 

    (The wife comment btw was a reacted comment against the irony that was put out before.) 

    Sure, everything write out could be just a "persona" , but if someone is getting so pissed over these things, we can make some conclusion, are they clincal? No. Can we speculate? Yes. And no its not stupid to make these assumptions, because their is valid research on for instance "news commenting population" etc and people who tend to do these kinda of stuff. Does it 100% mean that my assumption is right? Of course not. Can I make the assumption with it also being corret? Yes. I think I still have my speech validation just like anyone else. Specially if someone uses irony and then is so much taken back by it when it was used against him too. 

    If you think "shitposting" to peoples blogs is mature, then fine you can go and believe it.

    In terms of my sharkscopes, its great that you are able to pull these up and look my mostly inactive noob accounts, + the fact that Im a major bankroll nit and split my rolls. Im not some high stakes reg, but I'd do have online midstakes results with beating the games. And for instance, this Unibet account has been opened with a single 10 euro deposit which for long time was pretty much the only deposit I had made to it. Later on there are some added deposits for bonuses that I have made, but basically this roll has been built up from that 10 euro and admins can confirm it to you if you really want to.. And today Im playng actively 25s and 50s daily here... So I really dont need your confirmation for my games, I see them myself. And you can come and play these with your own open blog too if you so much want to. 

    I guess posting pig pictures for some people is very mature... 

     

  19. 6 minutes ago, Livertool said:

    Yes it is 😘

    That is fine. 

     

    Yeah those were too long for me to watch. But good if you have analysed your idol and got confirmation with youtube 🙂

    Its intresting that all you are capable is some fluff, really nothing with depth to say. Typical degenerate bullies who have zero value in life and feel a need to make at least something into their misery. You want to downgrade youtube, but actually there is very good academic channels too. But of course their all too long for your braincells, for you . F U, is short enough for you, thats your depth. 

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