Estzen

He has no vision in life or poker, he needs to use all the excuses for his losses. He finds and excuse from support team for some kind, yet he cannot trust international audits. Just so logical.... !

I post mine too if it helps anyone for fun 😂

Thats a super cool blog! ... Huh , after taking more slow after UOS, Im still more chilling, only played 2 games today. 70eur+ , but thats not relevant at all. Anyway - I also did the banzai mizzzzzzion... I reached banzai and played NL1 , I was able to get it to 60bbs without being Sensei,, then getting stacked and later ending I think 7 euros down from that Banzai game. Actually Banzai 5 is really good, it would be much better to get like Banzai 5 tickets for some banzai mission. People would probably love it. That 79 hand from SS, LOOOOOL I literally burst laughting hard... some people really find their jams xD Anyway,.. Im thinking about - starting to take first serious day again tomorrow. Right now, I have tryed to stay more out and not play much ... . Small live trip also coming up. That get flushes mission - I just didnt complite it... Im terrible with missions:

my quoteations are pretty of by you, ive never said some of the things 😄

@Livertool since you always are top notch dismantling topics, I need an expert optinion! Does he believe it or he doesnt ? How much alcohol he needs to consume to get even?

Theres just no statistical significance that you lost just after the post even more. That just being crazy . Its more and more clear that you dont really understand this game. Complaining shit, wont make you better at this . Ive played most mid+ today, Im down like 300 in a session, should I make a post how I bubbled Ironman, Stack, UOS-H 50eur the 1st one? Like, really loosing one day, 2 days, even more days in a row, is not really something "unnatural". But you making these posts probably dont beat even 1euros. You really need to develop some skills and get calm about this first... otherwise with that complain, all you do is just play even more bad and just dump money, cuz most of the time you have no idea what your doing, probably. ... Seek things, that you can change.

Ultimate bet scandal is so old that , how it gets even relevant? But certainly a concern when these things have been possible, but back then there was also , much less awareness. Also regulations werent as fit, it was just so new thing to even play poker in the internet. Hey Drew, since I dont want to re-write a previous long post, please scroll down and read my answer. One thing more, if you are playng 3 ways, and lets say you are the smallest stack, both players are incentivised to play against you and avoid each other more, ITS NOT COLLUSION, ITS is ICM working even when they dont know it sometimes. Its complitely natural. You have probably played too small volume to really make a conclusion worth any relevance. Poker can be very swingy, more swingy than people think. And at very bad times, it seems like every runout is going to get screwed - and it can go on for pretty long time 😄 . - Go check up my other answer 😉 peace. Oh btw , every poker rooms discord also has this some amount of people always whining over "rigged game" 😄 . All rooms.

@GR1ZZL3R Thanks for the introduction, I didnt even bother to read it when I saw 55k hands. Its a joke... honestly its pretty crazy to see that someone actually thinks something like this has any credibility. Its a good example of "bad research", if we can even call it research... any real reasearch board wouldnt let such paper even published lol. On the other hand, when poker gets more popular, the dumdum posts will only increase, because there will be more new recs who think they have learned statistics after learning that AK wins vs QQ 43% of the time... 😉 In some sense its good, there are always a bunch of dumdums who just dont listen other people and with a lot of Dunning-Kruger, there will be a lot of these recs who keep thinking that they are better than 50% of the players despite that they are always losing and depositing, losing and depositing, losing and depositing, losing and taking a loan and depositing.... and they certainly know better what downer is realistic, how probabilities work .... in real they might only know better how to skech out a loan when its already hard to get one due to previous ones, thats probably the part where they are more experienced -truly.

@GR1ZZL3R In terms of audits 50k is meaningless. But from a player stand point , I wouldnt say 50k is meaningless, its pretty unlikely to go 50k hands down with good winrate’... but its possible’ and it certainly can happen sometimes. Thats also why 100k seems pretty reasonable, its double from these sick happenings, thats why I mostly said about MTTs also that 2000 games starts to be a good size. Usually... its pretty standard that 2 months in a year are aboslute pain, at least and should be expected... and if someone plays less times... it can be 6months, 8 months whatever... but the difference in mindset is that these naysayers are dumdum, not realizing ... ITS SHOULD BE EXPECTED LOL. 🤴😄 WELL, hate to brake those illusions - POKER IS HARD. ... AND FUN.

LOL 55K HANDS? This is a bs pseduo study, you can easily find winning players graphs going down -50k hands, just like I mentioned before in that longer post.. such thing just makes me laugh 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 . Of course the "study" finds its biased view when he trys to "prove" that stars is rigged with 50k hands..... its pretty known to those of us who play a lot.. Lol 55k hands is proof ... im still lauging🤣.

@fish8one exactly, if someone wants to see it rigged, its always rigged 😉 People see what they want to see and people believe that which is easier!

@ZzzzzIt certainly feels rigged when stuff like this happens! But these feelings arent really objective. Stars is certainly much stronger player pool, so this sentence does not make much sense to me. So some objectiveness: How many games are we talking about in sample size? Have you ever had a positive graph within 2000 MTTs played sample size? Because this scam talk is rather most just some word salad that really lack any REAL PROOF... so again, have you ever had 2k+ games positive graph.. thats something to ask first of yourself... My guess is’ no, and if you sincerly think that its just so bad, its probably because you just dont beat any of the stakes you really play at, and when even worse times come then you run even more down on EV by that ...

Seeing this post made me wanna re-login and actually write. Some thoughts that may be helpful. How much have you looked into poker varience? Having played for a long time now, I see from time to time, that many bad regs do not understand what varience really is. They do understand what the word means, but they usually dont know much more from there. I understand runouts can be super-overwhelming, and its not really helpful to know that everythings being audited anyway. Its usually easier for people to seek an explaination that is easier. And its very easy to say "Its all rigged, it cant be that bad.... its all like a lottery." Frustration is even bigger, when we are in a situation that we dont understand. Thats not just poker, its also in mental health. Stress decreases when we understand the hardship in a clearer way. The less unknown there is, the easier it is to overcome that hardship. Now .... what can we clear up here? 1. How many tables are you playng, How many hands are you playng in a month? 2. How long downswings last? <- in this you are probably underestimating A LOT. 3. Are you a winning player with consistency? Its important, because the more break-even you are - the bigger the downer curves will be. This illustrates how things can really be: If you play cash, its totally possible to run even 50 000 longs hands and be totally breaking even after that due to a downer... or not be breaking even at all when you just dont have it to beat the game. .... Things can be very very hurty. .... If you play 2 hours you one session with one table. You maybe play 200 hands. In this graph, its like 20 000 hand swing, you play such one back for like ... 100 days, if you play with one table, let alone, if you meet some 50k long swing you play half a year with 1 table and your 2 hours game time ... till you meet it . .... THATS REALISM. And theres nothing rigged there. Now but what about tournaments? Here is someone playng over 15k games, there are many downers where swings get past 1500 games. Good luck playng 1 table with 2000 players tournaments 😉 Its all rigged. This one breaking even period lasts even longer than that.... like after that over 30k... You play 2500 tournaments, you are a crusher and .... you are freaking in the same spot after 2 point 5 kay games!!!!!!!!! So what would happen, if you are a breaking even player ..... and you get these really bad runs... because these guys ... they also get these runs but somehow their up 70k ... ... What would happen, if maybe its not even a breaking even, its just a loser who runs hot for his 100 games and thinks he can now 1shot WCOOP High Rollers and play 1ks ? <- Thats exactly how some people just flush all their winnings to the toilet btw.. ... Is varience a word or do you really know what game you are playng ? Unibet has many much smaller field games, you are in a very good place to have much of the headaches saved when building your roll. But man... you have no clue what a downswing is. And yes, it can feel like its all against you. For the record, thats not my graph. But my longest downswing has been 3 months long. And I do multitable. If you dont, I suggest you to learn and start tryng to play with 2tables, I played for a long time with only 2 tables when I started this journey to get comfortable - but yes its a need. Most people never study, most people have not looked any calculator simulations in their life... they have no clue what it is, but they think their the expert - they go rant over their 10 consecutive losses with AA because AA wins 80% of time but suddenly it looses 95% in a period for them and it must be not possible... well with so many hands... it sure is possible.. its very unlikely... but its possible to run under EV for some time ... Varience means that your AA that is supposed to win 80% is suddenly winning only 10% for a limited period. And it doesnt matter if its AA that you get 5 minutes later or next hand... and you lose AGAIN. .... It is well in the margins, and audits can clear up any suspicious things with much larger sample sizes if things would be rigged. The problem isnt Unibet or any provider, the problem is uneducated guesses that think in their own projection what varience SHOULD BE in their mind, rather than what it really is. The only escape from all of it ... is accepting the truth - let it sink in.

To me , chess seems more intense when properly studied and feels a lot more on razors edge and exhausting mentally - sucking the life out of you like a deatheater.. but Poker, its a lot to do with attitude, and understanding stuff... its a bit easier when you know whats realistic and whats really going on. I think sometimes, people just overestimate their stuff and really think that they shouldnt have these coolers, while its insignificant. Stuff seems significant when emotions are very high. The answer is not callousness, with simple suppression and making same mistakes still, doesnt solve the problem. If theres anything that gets stuff better is taking time off and learning.

Didnt get payed Unfortunately - but blocking an Ace makes it also really hard anyway. That was on 11th just few days ago. Last one prior was something at April I think. My first Royal probably was in stars, but after getting it like more than 2 times, it really gets sliped and almost never counting those anymore, but it does feel good see them from time to time.

Hi all. Just gonna make some quick post. In general I played almost every Mid and Low UOS tournament there was. Few High ones, one went deep, but didnt make much of it. Mid tournaments went mostly south this time - One final table from Mid tho, the last 2day Supermoon event- with 3rd. Low events were running pretty good, but their insignificant - I even played some 2 euro events just for the points. I used satellites maybe one or two times, but for sure not over 5. Apparently just after some live wins, the downer is keeping I guess. I may post pictures tomorrow if I have more time- but atm not really taking much into it since Im fully preping for 1k event and its gonna need all the attention. Just studing deep stacked spots more and all that kinda stuff. Have been really away from this place here, since it felt at some point that, it just hinders focus and there is no point to argue so i just left. And will probably be in the future also, only posting for UOS and disengaging for other things since it really doesnt help amd poker does need a lot from. What was a bit dissapointing was not winning the Mid Supernova, since it would have breaked me even from recent stuff at Unibet and winning 400 from it was just a good small chunck, and I still lack the Mid-avatar - So in that terms its sucks. I loved the 2 day events the most I guess, probably logical also that the more post-flop edge a format gives the better it is for people who study theory. At June, there were pretty intresting improvements. And Ive thought a lot about boards where we are checking back a lot. Its pretty insane, that specially in deep stacked EP vs LP situtations there are boards where things are not just mixed, but entirely checking whole range. And Ive not been the guy who goes with some 100% cbet lines for a long time, but its still surprising to find some checking spots where even much better players are making mistakes in. I played some of these 10 turbos also, but have not been taking these up lately since there hasnt been so much focus on it. But it was good to take them up from time to time and I guess I sometimes will do. One of the leaks there that I had in start of that is opening a bit too much cEV ranges and ICM matters a bit more there than normal. And it also seems that due to stack values in that format, min-raising is more beneficial. Still too small sample size tho to really say anything. Anyway, Poker is a hard game which takes a lot of effort to put in. There is a lot to go for. See you guys at the tables.

Lets go guys, UOS is here again :O=) - later some posts.

can some admin change the sentence "2nd place pays double" <- I mean 1st place pays double.

Gotta adapt a lot into these 10 18mens , because its a good challange and right now, Im a bit too loose in these games. I find myself making very basic errors which annoys me. And their good games, good value for getting it much better.

Oh of course, in terms of leaderboard, its very low value and I was already gained points enought to be 25th even if I wouldnt have played any events yesterday I gues. Playng the highest varience vs playng it less would make less profit long run by higher varience plays? No its actually the exact opposite and thats why PKOs are so swingy. Thats what makes them swingy! Because, you make +EV calls that also need pretty good runout for you... but since the calls themselves are +EV, in the end you will make more money and actually lose value by NOT MAKING THEM. Dont forget, that the math already assumes that its longrun, so it will make more money and cannot make less money by doing so.... however, in shortterm, it can be a bitch... a big one. Certainly more swing than playng normals, but in the end PKOs make more money than Normals because people make more and bigger mistakes in them. Getting 250 Supermoon ticket is pretty small value in terms of that. The leaderboard was like a satellite and not like MTT 😄 So in that sense, there was no point to push... but in terms of varience... I mean if its +EV call or +EV jam.. I really dont care 😄 or try not to care about losing the game. But there is a twist to that and like I stated, in Bounty FTs people make big errors, with calling down bounty values because "I get same value by 2 places" <- because they dont take into account that, 1st place pays double with your own bounty and you will potentially lose the possibility to cover people etc. So there many sims where surprise surprise, its like TT+ call-off lol .

By LB you mean what?

So guys heres the story. From a good point of view - Im 2nd in the Anniversary Leaderboard, and it gives me the ability to play Supermoon at some week... sadly it doesnt matter who's 1st or 25. But anyway. Maybe some might be thinking also, that the Bounty leaderboard is just for fish and only people who gamble will get there. While, there are certainly people who probably did so, I think there is 2 parts how to get higher to the there. One is probably doing rebuys - even tho at bountis when there is chunck of the field gone - we should not rebuy anymore. Yesterday day I ruined my Hyper- tho with not realizing that I should jam and get rid of my stack and get normal stack fast again by rebuy... Instead ... I sticked with 800 chips ... which later on showd that it wasnt a good decision. 2nd is not rather gambling(cuz it wont be as consistent even tho can give you hits) , but rather the abilities to play bounties correctly. In ICM there is a thing we call Risk Premium - the higher the RP the tigher we wanna be, and that RP is something that discounts our equity. So when in a certain situation specially like when 2 bigger stacks go each against themselves, their RP is much higher and if you have say 52% equity in some hand lets say AK vs 77s or smth .. then with RP added, you kind of discount your equity in terms of payjumps and chip interactions. so its not 52% anymore its m maybe 45%. Why am I talking about that? Im talking about that because Bounty value in a nutshell, is the exact opposite of ICM RP. Its like "Negative Risk-Premium" For instane when everyone in the start have 1 Bounty value and 1 stack value(starting stack) - with everything in the start, it already is 5% added value. So when you have a hand that say wins 43% it may be an easy call, cuz you only need 45% to be winning, but now you need only 40% to be winning! Because of the bounty. <- so because of that dynamics, some ranges can be VERY LOOSE. at the same time, people put too much weight on bounties at final tables and sometimes I forget this myself too. Even tho bounty ranges are wider in FT than in Normal, they are still often alike - very tight. Due to all that bounty interaction it makes the game a lot diffrent, and most people are still playng bounties as normals where their losing value even tho can be played profitably like that too ofc. And you certainly dont have the higher varience, since you are not making these -EV calls that are +EV calls in the bounties which skyrocket the Bounty Varience if played correctly. I think most people who got to the leaderboard were guys who knew some stuff, or just happened to make some correct decisions rather than mindless hunters, because my prediction would be that these mindless hunters probably would be too insane to remain consistency. One of the things also that sometimes matters in table dynamics is, the people to your left and how much they 3bet. If they are nits and almost never 3bet. You can basically open your A5o to play it against the BB with some frequency if their passive and you cover. Its also very important that you also take into account that if you have a bounty and people cover you, you cannot shove your like "loose normal range". I hope this mumbling helped some community member a small amount. I really liked the Anniversary events and will look forward to next UOS. But work has to be done these days, because from this weeks point Im down like €1000 in total. So I need like a Neptune win or something xD. Leaderboard Conclusion: Game 1: Anniversary 8k. Really unfortunate, I was almost ITM and decided to "go broke or get it all" and Jammed my AJs. which later I thought that with Suited combo could have easily just called due to ICM effects, 20 effective, but at the same time.. wasnt probably a -EV jam, but yea... from hindsight... that freaking sucked. Game 2 Anniversary 4k: Game 3: Anniversary 2k: Game 4: Anniversary 2k Hyper: So the in the 8k hand: I also calced by bounty value, now when writing this blog so if it wouldnt be bubble, its actually pretty close to normal, so if it wouldnt be near bubble, people probably would only look the €44 eur bounty and call off wider than they actually should. Which in their part would be a mistake - which makes a jam a bit better probably? But yeah in terms of ITM, I was a bit stubborn there, even tho it would give good FT EV... to me. I jammed, was against 66es and there we go. Yesterday also had a really crazy hand where it was something like KK vs TT and one guy had blocked Tx with JT on his small stack multiway or maybe he showed, anyway we saw the JT and it still got the 1outer on the river 😄 . Well what an we do xD. Till the next Unibet Event games!

Your moans are reasonable 😄 the AA hand with KK + K3 - I feel the heartbreak xD People like to fish some roulette with deck coming for them. In time, you will get back to your road. Maybe too many shots at NL50?(before) What do you think?

Even If I wouldnt play today the Anniversary leaderboard should be settled, since 25th has 36 points, and I have 61 with being 4th. But We will be playng for sure. Yesterdays recap: Didnt get much out, than bounties. Game 1 Anniversary 6k: 'cant do anything in here: Game 2 Anniversary 4k: Got pretty deep, but ended there Left me with 3 BB which didnt help to get me back anymore. pre-jammed CO opens I jam and Lotto rejams. I had like 11 eff. Game 3 Anniversary 2k: This one was the most UL in the sence that its almost FT bubble 😄 And here the AK just didnt get there, I had 8 BB at that point. He opened 66es. And got me which was of course very good for him there. I've started to see REGtoREC in many deep runs too, seems like he has got some click some time ago. Wasnt so much occuring before so shout out to him too! Today will be the last day so - will be an intresting fight.

Played some 10s too 😄 ... GG and well to sleep. Annis wasnt so good. But tomorrow will be a blast 😉