jerry

From todays tips i dont like Dolgopolov, purely because playing that mug under 3.00 is no value for me. With under 1.70 he has like 15% won matches, he is notorious for fixing matches also, so you know. He is playing out of form Pospisil, but canadian should have more easy serve games than rival and its too coin flip for me. l also have my doubts about Stebe match. German was on his way to top 20 when injury stopped him. Lately he had some good wins, so im nervous playing against him and Travaglia is no artist. Konjuh one of the most erratic players on the tour but lately really in bad form so it could be good bet. 

From the rest maybe Janowicz with Dimitrov. Bookmaker also think he can make upset cause its only 3.15 on him. They have always very even matches so who knows. Low valuebet with only 3.00 but with some other big tip its worth to play. Paire should win with Gojowczyk but with him is same story as with Dolgopolov. You dont play him under 1.70. Haas with Zverev, after Federer win you cant expect he will lose with older Zverev do you? But again he could be tired he is like 45 now? Bennetau with A.Zverev at 6.00 is good valuebet also, cause i give here 60% that it will be very even match (odd is made purely out of rankings, but Bennetau is very good player and he can easily outsmart young Zverev). This indian Ramukanassdj is probably an option for win with Kukushkin with 3.00 on him. I certainly will play some double with Andreozzi who play Lorenzi and it is 3.00 on him. Its a coin flip really here. Millman Smith coinflip and its 2,45 in the latter. Sakharov and Coria both at 3.00, here also you can expect some upsets.

Unfortunately there was no good odd for Radanovic and i only made here the return. Great tips never thought that Ramsdasdasa will win that to be honest, i believe he was break down in third already. And i was too late today for Giorgi. Isnt she like in s h i t form lately? She is losing to everyone now, and to me she is top 5 material. Would be funny if she played now Radwanska 😪:inlove:

I wonder if Lottner will beat Cibulkova. I managed to hit 6.50 on Lottner. 

She lead now 5;4 and will serve. If she lose that....😪😠:dissatisfied:🤫  AND SHE WON THAT. Odd at her was a little too high, was hoping for  more for some valuebet later on Cibulkova then on win for Lottner,  anyway she played great.

AndreiBN was meant to ask you. Did you play any outrights this week??? I see some value in Cilic at 5.00 and i played Feliciano to win Stuttgart at 18 odd. :D

Im pretty sure about Stakhovsky, but thats the thing. When im sure i always get upset :waterfall:.

Good bet is Mmoh and King. On both is 3.00 odd and i play them in double cause both of those matches are 50-50% flips and odds are IMO mistakes of bookmakers. Four players inexperienced on grass and in both cases, Mmoh and King both are highly talented with good serve and good first ball after the serve. No brainer for me even if both of them will lose.

I put some on Kulickova just to be sure im not beaten 😃. In first set Vickmayer blew like 10 setballs,  that was somewhat frustrating but at the 5 or 6th advantage (she started the game with 40;0) she take the set. And in 2nd set she was break down. All in all great tips. Almost all good.

i have two pretty big accumulators ending with Wickmayer win but now im not that sure she will (easily) win that. Grass is her strong suit but they played in 2015 wimbledon and it was very even match with Kulichkova win. I just dont see easy win for Yanina thats what im afraid of lol. So, probably more than 30% of accum profits goes to Kulickova, which is a shame cause 1.86 is a bit on the low side. 3.00 on 2:0 and 4.60 on 2;1 in sets a bit better (im inclined to think that its 75% chance of it bein 3 sets). Anyway interesting matchup, i hope it goes well. Im curious about your thoughts on it AndreiBN. Oh and i have right with Linette 🆒, but its a small profit, i never play big against you :D 

After Bedene made the turnaround i think this could be the day when you get all the picks right :). I dont like Hanfman though (purely because i havent seen him yet and i rate Fucsovics high - IMO this is first 20 in 1-1.5years) and i think Linette have big chances against Dodin (i could be wrong Linette is a strange specimen but i feel she is in form, probably even in life form) and Fabbiano is a flip cause they both have no experience with a grass. Good luck!!

Thats from yesterday. I keep thinking that if we would both agree at the picks we would have 95% efficiency. I put some money on Thompson cause that was very even match, he even was 2 points up in 2nd tiebreak (if he won that i think he would be favourite in 3rd) but Sugita is master when it comes to close matches (similar thing is with Tatsuma Ito really, sometimes i think its a japanese thing).

Looks like Nadal is unstopabble. If anyone didnt bet on Wawrinka its 20 now and its still good valuebet, cause if he win third one there still good money to be made. Just use your spare money lol, probably little chance for turnaround, but Wawrinka had a ton of macthes when he was was 2;0 down and still managed to get back in the game. But to be honest im dissapointed in him, he looks much worse than with Murray.

Isnt 4.8 on Wawrinka a bit too much? There is a chance that Nadal will win in 3 but its a very small one IMO. Most probably it will be tough, long 5 setter and if you bet on 4.8 you will probably get Nadal at 2.0 and higher throughout the match and its a present. Maybe Wawrinka is injured or something, this odd is very...odd to me :D

Something from yesterday. Again many thanks for great tips.

Rublev 9-7 down in fifth. Made little profit on Schwartzmann but still it hurts. Same was with yesterday Pouille match.

Im tempted to try Gulbis with Cilic. I know Gulbis is out of anything, but his best days was on clay and Cilic never look good on that surface. Odd is 10 which is for me a little too big and its value on each own above anything else. Good to try is also Kravchuk (5.1) with Delbonis cause Argentinian is better but not that much as odds suggest. Always good to try big odd on Fognini to lose, Tiafoe certainly has a chance but its only 3 and some 3fold or something maybe. Hamou with Cuevas at 9 is also good to go. Cuevas is clear favourite but not on that odd IMO, it could be close match. Other underdogs Jarry with Khachanov, Radu Albot can easily win with Chardy, he is younger faster who know. Lokoli with Klizan i give him some chance (Klizan can be great and really poor, strange specimen) and Struff in my opinion has some chance against Berdych. 50% chance that all of those will win the favourites, 30% that there will be one upset, 20% that there will be more than one :D :D 

Oh and Monteiro against some Mueller guy. Dont know the latter at all but it is 9.50 on him and i believe Monteiro NEVER IN HIS LIFE won against somebody with 1.05 on him as a favourite. So you know...

It looks like Bourque with give a hard time to Coric. Was 5.5 at him or something.

I placed yesterday two bets (one from your tips), and in both of them ive got only errors (LOL). Sometimes i place the bets on other way around you know, just for the kicks (and for bigger odds) and with yesterday i would hit some good ones. So, today i made the bet with Jankovic,Sock,Souza and Marino and i made the same bet other way around (odd was 18 ) . So, Jankovic lose, Vesely is 2;0 up with Sock, and Tipsarevic started better than Souza 😀. Beginnings of FO are killing me.

I chase big odds today and made two doubles with Rublev+Verdasco and Verdasco+Young. Rublev started very good but now he defends the match in tiebreak in fourth. So, it looks like there will be fifth in Rublev match (finger crossed).

Shame that i had in mind to put all of this 2;1 in sets :Veryangry::Teardrop:. Great tips as always.

@JeppeL

Well, yesterday i played whole day PLO and somehow i complete this 30 streets after the flop challnege. Still it was the longest challenge i completed but it is doable after all :D. I mean they are all doable, but some are really hard to complete.

Usually i really dont complain about cash challenges even if some are pretty tough to complete, but this one is really hard cookie to crack.

Omaha cash challenge: Make a straight on the turn 30 times LOL (why it is 30 times isnt it like a bug, its always 5 or 3 with that kind of things, maybe its a bug or something)....3 days grinding and i have only two. I know discard is for that but i already used those. Anyway just my little complain since i dont think i will complete this in anywhere future :waterfall:  

@SCOBY Lately on unibet open or step it up i make my stack bigger little by little you know (one or two not checked 3bets whatever) and then always comes a flip with 80-20 for me and i always lose. I just cant seem to double up. Lower kicker Ax always beat me, bigger pair vs lower pair villain with some street or flush. Its just downswing man but i know it can be frustrating as f$%k...

My last bubble on step it up (mind you i lose already two flips here, but somehow i stayed in the tournament). So, bubble and i shove AQs from cutoff for 2200 and some clairvoyant on SB goes allin with 3100 with K8o...8 on the river and thats it 10 or 20e go away. You just cant wrap your head around it, just cant lol

I managed to hit high hand promotion 5 times all in PLO :laugh:

From tomorrow moving on up for cash players?

Yesterday my two last MTTs and in both in bubble i get AA. What can go wrong, at least one should be won yeah? First one was 3way when if i won that i would get first with a lot of chips advantage (dont get me started on bounties :teardrop:). AK<AA< 36 lool. There was this maniac who would check everything and thats it. Second one was this damn freakin hand with AA KK QQ and damn! :waterfall: also JJ. 4way and something beside A must be there. GG 

I just sold spectacular suckout. Flop is KK5 i have 55. Villain bet large, so i raise even with overbet, he check. Turn is J he is allin i snap call (pretty stupid, but i was comitted, he could still be betting AK or even KQ), but damn i was sure he will show K5 or fu%^ckin KK (those quads are lately murdering me). He showed KJ i already cry and scream and then...comes a 5 :inlove::inlove:

Sorry man, whoever you are. That was heartbreakin. 

I was already screamin' at the flop, and then miracle happens. Thx to this hand i won the tournament. :laugh::cash::cash1::cash1:

So, its only for Scandi players 😪😠:waterfall:

We can safely assume that nl4 will be exluded from Drop Prize promotion? :teardrop::waterfall:

I have those three to win the tournament all with more than 15 odds. I will be freakin pissed if Federer win. He was also more than 10 before the tournament, but i thought eehh he is too old for this s h i t. And then the AO 2017 happens...So, what do you think guys? Is Federer now the biggest favorite?? Wawrinka looks fit so it should be enough, but i thought exactly the same with Nishikori, so what do i know lol

Results of those two matches are simply unbelievable. Murray lose 6;2 and 6;4 in 3rd and 4th. Just big LOL. I mean older Zverev was regarded in his younger years same as younger brother now, but since then he was challenger level and even there he wasnt top player like for example king Berloq. My father says that now it will Federer win :D, cant say that i could much argue there. He can lose maybe to Wawrinka, maybe Nadal. Its really interesting who wins.

If only Svitolina and Jankovic would win i would take like all of my bets today :waterfall:. Jankovic 7:9 with 50yeard old Sveta, not sure what to think about this :annoyed:. Had her with Cristea and Evans so it would be nice odd. And with Svitolina i was thinking maybe over in gems, or in sets even is a better choice. But in Svitolina accumulator i had also 3.5 sets in Berdych match, and it looks like Berdych already melted 🤣, so... 

I see Sevastova is an Austrian now Laugh: