jerry

All my poker tickets just vanished from my account (moment ago i had 62 ). I know its some kind of bug but im curious if anyone have the same problem :)

Isnt he playing under MehmetGoker? 

Congrats @AndreiBN on yesterday bulletproof. And again i didnt make the bet with all the tips :P, only some light quadruple. Got this feelin that every monday is the best day in week for @AndreiBN. Second is Sunday with the finals.

:Geek:

It looks like a fix. I would say even textbook. Very similar to Kicker s h i tfest. There also he had full control of the match, and he was forcing rival to win. Some argue that his rival noticed this and then this game became a someting to remember, cause either one didnt wanna win it :)

Feel bad to those fixing people tbh, IMO some of them are forced/extorted to do this. Golubic isnt exactly a no name, she is starting to earn real money know, so throwing away matches at lowest wta level its just a nonsense. Same with Kicker, who was pretty much rising star and on his way to top 20. IMO with Kicker he was in some kind of debt (challenger expenses debt if you want), and fix was a way to pay that. Maybe same with Golubic...

We have Davydenko known fixer (some say with ties to russian mob) who had near 0 problems from that (fine and short suspencion??). Youzhny who at some point made always 2:1 in sets with every russian player (i even did score some on that :P maybe its coincidence, i just dont know, he played in many weird matches though and was suspected), Safin who were never suspended i believe (love this guy when he played his best, but he was throwing matches left and right), Kafelnikov was supicious too, Kurnikova, Kuznetsova, Zvonareva (do we see pattern he with Russians lol). Even Nadal, anyone remember match with prime Nadal against lord Lorenzi???  I remember there was some wird moves in asian market with that match. This end streak with Thiem this year was to me also suspicious, sorry Rafa i didnt buy it ;).

With bookies we will have always fixed matches. You dont even need to fix whole match, one set, one gem, one points, one yellow card its all you need to. Its kinda easy money if done right. Golubic wasnt right at all. Just too visible.

Any advice @AndreiBN which combo is better Carreno+Parmentier   Carreno-Mueller Mueller-Parmentier?  All three even together should be easy, but Parmentier played with Wang not long ago and it was very close 2 sets (tiebreak 10 - 8 ). Mueller have one of the worst, if not the worst season in his long career (he's got three 1st rounds eliminations in Newport and one final two years ago). Carreno also lost me few bets with 1.50 :teardrop: Definately not someone who wins more with being favourite then not (my feeling betting on him)... Then again i have always doubts.  So, i dont know if i hit them with one of my freebets. Will think about it.

Myself i pick yesterday this

Marterer+Inglot/Skugor+M.Zverev+Zrinski Mostar+Rosenborg(last two football) odd around 10....Marterer with Djere will be probably close, and football is with Mostar a hunch that they make it ;)

 Will try today Mueller-Baghdatis 1 Karlovic-De Minaur 1 and Mahut-Harrison 1. Two years a go it would be a bank investment, now kinda tricky, but i think two serve machines + king of volleys from France can make 2nd round. All the odds are around 1.8-2 so its worth it.

BTW Munar yesterday pissed me off :) Had pretty good bet on Ruud after first set, but Munars game was a lot worse from 2nd set. In first it was a coin flip maybe, but Munar rather comfortably saved few break points (had more than rival), recovered even one break, he looked quite OK/confident. Then 2nd set he forfeit without fight with early break and 3rd was just s h i tshow. With those too big odds on him im suspicious, cant help myself. IMO it was bookies trap and a lot people bet much more money than me on Munar.They send scent with too big odd and people smelled it ;)

Today one of my freebets is ending so i thought yesterday that if @AndreiBN pick Munar i will take this match. He is really on fire on clay and it should be win. Ruud though, is strange player. One time plays like s h i t the other time like player from top 30. Definately someone to look for when he finds his footing. One of those players i dont like bet on and against (more on than against, he lost me few bets with 1.50 on him). Odds are too big IMO, its should be 1.50-55 on Munar, 1.73 is a bit too high, so i have my reserves (very often when odds are too high its a sign that bookies are making a trap) and i wont bet my house on it. But freebet is i think ok, but still i will be angry if Munar lose that match.

Kinda regret that i didnt go with Zdenek (have him on few accumulators though) but what you can do, sometimes you got eyes on one match and you dont see the others ;)

Im kinda hoping now that Mayer will fook it up :P He just lose 1st set.

This should be 100% from @AndreiBN!! Had few bets with Anderson/ISner/Kasatkina and Bertens and i cash out all of them for about 60%. Now i feel stupid :waterfall: Meanwhile I DIDNT cashouts bets with Gulbis and he is going throught the meltdown  Anyone played ako with all 8 tips? I usually do, ofcourse not today :dissatisfied:

This is me when i hesitated yesterday with bet on Hsieh :/

Congrats on tips @AndreiBN

@AndreiBN

You should really consider some consolation prize for @norbee in Wimbledon competition. That was really cruell lose for him :inlove:  :puking::haha:

Had few bets with Makarova. Half of them with Cristea, other with Petkovic :waterfall:. Thats why i got pissed and made this bet with favourites with freebet. I was even partly sure that Stan will win it 3;2 and he usually do lol, but after he lose that serve in 3rd im devastated :)

edit: Wawrinka 3;3 HES BACK BABY now im fighting for 1.3 odd thats living :)

Anyone is fookin up with Wawrinka? Ive done some low odd bet around 4, and i add there few sure as fook odds 1.3 one of them is Stanislas against Fabbiano. He was leading 6;2 in first set tiebreak and he managed to lose that (it really smells like fix lol). Now its 2;0 in sets and he already lost his serve in 3rd. Cmon man how this happend, i know Wawrinka isnt strongest on grass but Fabbiano also....Just unbelievable.  First rule of betting, NEVER GO FOR LOW ODDS!!!

My wishlist today: (yesterday i hit Dulgheru and Wawrinka both for 4.20 :)  )

Andreozzi-Zeballos 1 (2.17) -  yeah its a bit coin flip cause they are two clay players but Andreozzi is stronger/faster, with better serve, better suited for quick play

Hurkacz-Tomic 1 (3.30) if you can believe this is match of two lucky losers from qualis, i might be biased cause he is Polish but i really think he got some chance here

Fuscovics - Bennetau 1 (2.18) feel pretty confident about this (sometimes when i do match end 3;0 in other way lol), Fuscovics is this one of the strongest players on the tour, and Bennetau while he is old, he looks much older :). Hungarian in my opinino has a game very well suited for grass even if didnt score any success there yet

:Rofl:

He knows something 

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@WuDu wrote:

 

Glad to see Mehmet Göker finding time to qualify for the UO in order to pay back his debt...:laugh:

He just won 50e UO ticket in sat from 18CET. 

I like today Millman-Travaglia for 1.57. Also there is a chance for 3;0 in sets for Millman.

For adventurous betting types Garin - Mannarino 1 4.65 + Bonzi - Lacko 1 4.20. Nevermind the odds both matches are close to 50/50 flips IMO. Garin 2nd time in a row came through eliminations, and last year in 1st round took one set from Jack Sock. Bonzi overcome James Ward in qualis so i think he got chance against Lacko, who is in a bit of form beating Karlovic as of late in Halle, and making Final in Eastbourne (but the way to final was pretty ridiculous/lucky + he could be more tired than Bonzi). Both even matchups IMO. Also something to consider is Wawrinka-Dimitrov 1 for 4.20. Upset is possible especially because its first round and because its a TV match (they very often pick late afternoon upset matches). Wawrinka isnt monster on grass, but Dimitrov can lose to everyone so betting good odds against him is always good in my book :)

In womens i like to try Dulgheru against sister Pliskova that father Pliskovy is less proud of . Odd of 4.25 and i think Romanian has good chance of makin it. Also Tomljanovic - keys 1 3.30 Kuznetsova-Strycova 1 3;05 are pretty much coin flips. 

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@AndreiBN wrote:

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Well, Cibulkova won, pretty easy after i saw her match. Delbonis can still make it, even tho he lost the first set in a tiebreaker, Mladenovic think she is slowly getting back in shape and for sure she can outcome Watson and Muller is one of my favourites, so :D Really nicely done with that 11 odds @jerry , didn't see how huge odds diference was in that match :P

One rule for me. There are no clear favourites in challenger/futures. When you see odd of 10-20 on one guy you can bet with your eyes closed. The stake is a diffrent matter though lol

Its always value. I even sometimes play live matches when someone wins close 1st set and odd on an losing players is 20 or more. You dont even need him to win, even 2nd set of some lead of his and you can cashback with nice profit.

Serdarusic could have some value on him for 6.75. Lost 1st set with G.Melzer but it could easily go other way around. Two even players.

 Went for this today.

If Hurkacz can win his 50/50 now then @AndreiBN will be close to 100% today. Muller could lose but its rather 20% at best, Mladenovic in better form than crazy Watson and one i dont see is Herbert losing with Delbonis, cause Delbonis never won one match at grass (lol) and Herbert is ok on that surface. But you never know, maybe its the day....They just playing first set tiebreak...

Oh and Cibulkova is coin flip to me, dont like this matchup. One time Cibulkova is winning, second time Makarova, one of those crazy matchups that you cant bet anything with confidence. But if someone put gun to my head i would fancy Cibulkova too :P

BOOM! hehehe

Im constantly amazed you have two even challenger players and bookies are able to put odds of that caliber at one of them. I mean Nadal vs Brkic, Djoko vs Brkic, but funny Santillan against Brkic lol....

Have this also in double with Clezar, odds around 100 lol...but Clezar is losing easily first set. Still now its more than 20 on him, it could be good to bet some on him.

But 6;0 cmon. This smell like fixing. BTW do you know about Kicker? He pissed me few times, now he won't again :)

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-tennis-argentina-matchfixing/tennis-argentine-kicker-found-guilty-of-match-fixing-offenses-idUSKCN1IP3K3

This is the match that ended his career. Funny stuff.

And i thought he had good game in him...

Hit 4.10 for Munar is 2nd set. But put him with Bonzi and he lost first set 6;0. Damn, you rarely see that result in mens tennis.

Its like playing a new soft. Damn awesome. Thanks again @MrBandes