Farseer

Bad day, was bit tired due to some IRL work (and crap). Mincash + 50€ bounties from Title Fight wasn't enough to cover 3 buy-ins at that event, but this micro trophy brought day to break-even: Tomorrow is gonna be hard day, and leaderboard are quite dead (not at top10 even at low and going down, high is 24th going down). Not sure if gonna play all events (or at all tomorrow), depends on the mood. Probably depends on if I get proper sleep (6 hours or so) during night and another 6 hour stint after IRL stuff before 8 pm EET when games begin. Without tickets I would probably take rest of the week off.

Claimed!

Blaah. No savings from there or otherwise. Two small mincashes from 25€ re-entry and 10€ freezeout (aces were cracked in the end). Would like to have a break, but I got a small problem with these tickets if I do (not a good run though, just lots of those 50€ satellites with some from regular satellites and promotions and few re-entries at target events - also zero 100€ tickets got from lottery satellites in ages): Gotta unreg all 50€ ticket lottery satellites which don't have overlay. Prob going to aim to play each 50€ event until 1st of January. Probably most other high events as well, though skipping 100€ events like today since had lots of stuff happening today.

Another horrible day. Starting with IRL stuff, then internet disconnections and software crashes. But maybe this saves something... pushing thinking my hand a semibluff but it was a value! Game #1786960794: Table €2,000 Turbo Megastack R/A - 400.00/800.00 - No Limit Hold'Em - 21:18:27 2022/12/13 *** Seated players *** Seat 1: utedasset (22095) Seat 2: Fars33r (27545) Seat 3: h2r0508 (38185) Seat 5: Handspark (47115) Seat 6: bougnia (63055) *** Blinds and button *** bougnia has the button utedasset posts ante 100 Fars33r posts ante 100 h2r0508 posts ante 100 Handspark posts ante 100 bougnia posts ante 100 utedasset posts small blind 400 Fars33r posts big blind 800 *** Hole cards *** Dealt in utedasset Dealt to Fars33r [2s As] Dealt in h2r0508 Dealt to Handspark [9h Kh] Dealt in bougnia *** Preflop *** h2r0508 folds Handspark raises 1600 to 1600 bougnia folds utedasset folds Fars33r calls 800 *** Flop *** [6s 6h 3s] Fars33r checks Handspark bets 2050 Fars33r raises 6150 to 6150 Handspark calls 4100 *** Turn *** [6s 6h 3s] [7c] Fars33r bets 19695, and is all-in Handspark calls 19695 *** Showdown *** *** River *** [6s 6h 3s] [7c] [4s] Fars33r shows [2s As], A Flush Handspark shows [9h Kh], A Pair of Sixes Fars33r wins 55790 *** Summary *** Total pot 55790 Seat 1: utedasset: bet 500 and won 0, net result: -500 Seat 2: Fars33r: bet 27545 and won 55790, net result: 28245 Seat 3: h2r0508: bet 100 and won 0, net result: -100 Seat 5: Handspark: bet 27545 and won 0, net result: -27545 Seat 6: bougnia: bet 100 and won 0, net result: -100

Nice scraps from last week leaderboard.

Well, shitty day. On poker MTTs runs were horrible too, but fought until the end and got mincashes from 10€ re-entry, 25€ re-entry and 10€ R/A + tickets for 50€ and 100€ events which did bring back part of buy-ins. Fofty had horrible ending, first flip for huge stack and after that pushing into setup just prior to ITM. Too bad that still counts as a losing day, and of course leaderboard-wise it was dead day. Most horrible runs were met at a roulette table today though.

Another theme song of the day:

It's drinking Monday!

What a day. There's a roulette promo on another site. Or actually on 5 of their sites. Bet 2€ for number (8) and get 10€ money if you hit. Once a day. So it's about +40€ value each day. Gotta take it. Today over 200 rounds in a row without 8 - over 1000€ lost. And counting, since haven't hit yet. Despite taking it bit safer than most and lowering variance by playing these at 2 different spots (2 sites and 3 sites). Lottery satellites with overlay and this promo are well +EV, but they're grinding my bankroll down at ridiculous rate.

El Grande Sunday Catastrophe Super horrible day, start was sort of "use maximum re-entries and bust them quickly anyway" like PLO one had 4 entries used before first break. So very expensive day in terms of buy-ins, especially as flip satellites run again like -400€ today with 100€ flip sats running with 0 tickets. Got two major chances to redeem session in the end, but after horrible inferno busted Fofty at 8th place for effective mincash and 1/6 -> 5th place at 25€ Bullet. No help for leaderboards either, but gonna get some scraps from high and low. In the end: quite horrible week which was very close to be excellent (it is small difference how you run between 8th and 5th places and trophies). But 8th place pays 10% of that what trophy pays. One trophy isn't enough at the leaderboards, even with bunch of other FT finishes. Most of the profit at the games were sucked out by flip satellites which did go like -1000€ while EV is about +300€. Well, at least I can honestly say I did run bad there! Overall result for the week is very slightly positive, probably like +600€ and whatever scraps comes from leaderboards.

I guess fields are forced to get smaller as people qualifying for phase 2 have little incentive to play more phase 1's.

Also, for MTT-only player this seems like an accomplishment:

Well, today was utterly dead with zero chance (as a snowball) in a hell at texas events. Just mincashes at 25€ re-entry and 5€ PKO. One PLO8 turbo with 16,5 buy-in and trophy from there (just 244$ though) did save horrible session to break-even though. On Sunday we go at terrible spot at leaderboard-wise - would need like 3 trophies from high events to grasp overall but let's see how it goes.

Haven't seen Phil Hellmuth around. So I am.

Lots of chances, but bigger ones were sucked out. 6th place from Fofty was disappointing, but managed to fight two smaller trophies today. With few re-entries just 300€ buy-ins and 1400€ cashes, so first good day of this week.

Another bad day. Title Fight and some 10€ games had good chances, but got just small mincashes. At least got 150€ worth of bounties from Title so probably about break-even or slightly losing day. LB's are dead, pretty hopeless to even try to win overall with 1st place so far away (would need to win two large-field high events to even get near 1st). Low is 45th and running down (deepish places alone won't help) and high is 14th, similarly running down. Would need one trophy for each to win something and at least two for each to fight for top spots. For rest of the week probably gonna play some low events, all 25€ and 50€ events, skip 100€ events in hope of gathering some tickets for later weeks (though its seems hard as haven't won regular satellite in ages, always critical flips going like this): Unless I feel great in weekend and find some nice party to go outside 😄

Bubble from 250€ supermoon sat and 77 < AJ 27 left for almost 2x avg. stack pot @ 50€ Fofty. Horrible day, about 500€ buy-ins and one mincash worth less than 30€. Just Bullet going on out of which late reg just closed. Thought about opening a little bit of LB calculations to @mathew1982and other potentially interested people and why in my view 4th place isn't good for leaderboard, especially without trophies (cash was okay, though just 16x buy-in at the MTT which in average eats 2 buy-ins) : For sake of clarity: Let's take High event with 100 players. Low events pay so few points that I skipped them all last week as they don't usually make a difference at the overall LB. (1,5*SQRT(n)/SQRT(k)*b) + 1 Missä k = sija, n = pelaajien määrä, b = kiinteä sisäänosto (low = 1, high = 5).) 1st place gives 76 points 4th place gives 38,5 points 4th place sounds good? Well, it isn't really as only 8 top scores are counted for high leaderboard and while top 20 scores are counted for overall, it requires VICTORY (or rather victories) at other MTTs there for 4th place to have any real matter. Generally LB grinder should get 8 high MTTs (especially with re-entries) at least ITM. Cutting point might be around top12% (12th place) which gives ~ 23 points For overall, maybe cutting point it would be top30% (note, re-entries and 47 high events each week) - so 30th place - giving ~15 points So effectively this means that: 1st place gives 53 points for High LB and 61 points for Overall LB 4th place gives 15,5 points for High LB and 23,5 points for Overall LB ... this in addition to "guaranteed points" since you're gonna lose 9th / 21st best result of your weekly streak. So you just get fraction of effective points by 4th place finish in comparison to 1st place finish. I did win 3 high major MTTs with about 100 players each last week, and was still quite near to lose overall leaderboard. And even high one was quite close. One lost heads-up in any of those 3 would've costed me 1st place in both. So one 4th place won't help a bit without trophies - I am not even at the top10 of high leaderboard right now despite quite many deepish runs. And it requires top7 finish to even get 300€ from High Leaderboard (which is less than one day buy-ins). I've been saying all the time that this promo (overall especially) spiritually is winner takes it all - and it was quite the same earlier due to only ITM points mattering. It's not necessarily bad - I don't like it though, but that's the spirit of the leaderboard game this time. I was thinking before promotion that I have 20%-25% odds to win overall LB by playing whole week, but it's probably lower. Maybe 15% or bit less. And I still think I got the best shot to win it from any Unibet players playing this - but winning enough MTTs to grasp overall LB is very tricky and highly volatile as there are so many decent (or lucky) opponents who are trying the same. Busted last one while writing this. No chance in any 60-40 flips today.

Bit problematic stuff that I have lots of 50€ tickets, while all other tickets are draining up. No 25€ tickets, no 100€ tickets. I understand they were pushing for Title Fight but now that it is quite stable it would be good to have a chance to change them into 25€ or 100€ tickets in case other satellites run uneven. So gotta play Fofty to use those (and of course it is important for LB too in case my inferno stops), but I might late reg it instead to take a short break. Just got push-fold stacks at last ones. Bit torn apart using very late re-entries at the Title Fight. Without overlay it is quite badly -EV in terms of direct EV, though boost chances in leaderboard (which are though unlikely to pay very well). Gets to use tickets too.

Well today sucks and I know it already. Bunch of expensive re-entries and still busting before late reg (though part of them like 5 min before end of PKO late reg so not best time to re-entry). All MTTs busted except two jokey 10€ events + 25€ PKO still in latereg with half the starting stack with second entry. Oh busted it while wrote this, not taking re-entry. First one was this: Game #1783356151: Table €4,500 Battleground (Major) - 25.00/50.00 - No Limit Hold'Em - 19:24:55 2022/12/07 *** Seated players *** Seat 1: _-Lotus-_ (3374) - €12.50 bounty Seat 2: Fars33r (2603) - €12.50 bounty Seat 3: Darlene19 (2789) - €12.50 bounty Seat 4: summerpanda (2742) - €12.50 bounty Seat 5: HoofHeartedd (2338.50) - €12.50 bounty Seat 6: M0nditchT (3948) - €12.50 bounty *** Blinds and button *** summerpanda has the button _-Lotus-_ posts ante 6 Fars33r posts ante 6 Darlene19 posts ante 6 summerpanda posts ante 6 HoofHeartedd posts ante 6 M0nditchT posts ante 6 HoofHeartedd posts small blind 25 M0nditchT posts big blind 50 *** Hole cards *** Dealt in HoofHeartedd Dealt in M0nditchT Dealt to _-Lotus-_ [3d Ad] Dealt to Fars33r [Js Jh] Dealt in Darlene19 Dealt in summerpanda *** Preflop *** _-Lotus-_ calls 50 Fars33r raises 200 to 200 Darlene19 folds summerpanda folds HoofHeartedd folds M0nditchT folds _-Lotus-_ calls 150 *** Flop *** [4h 2c 7d] _-Lotus-_ checks Fars33r bets 300 _-Lotus-_ calls 300 *** Turn *** [4h 2c 7d] [Td] _-Lotus-_ checks Fars33r bets 625 _-Lotus-_ raises 2868 to 2868, and is all-in Fars33r calls 1472, and is all-in Uncalled bet returned to _-Lotus-_: 771 *** Showdown *** *** River *** [4h 2c 7d] [Td] [5c] _-Lotus-_ shows [3d Ad], A Straight Fars33r shows [Js Jh], A Pair of Jacks _-Lotus-_ wins 5305 _-Lotus-_ wins bounty, €6.25 *** Summary *** Total pot 5305 Seat 1: _-Lotus-_: bet 3374 and won 6076, net result: 2702 Seat 2: Fars33r: bet 2603 and won 0, net result: -2603 Seat 3: Darlene19: bet 6 and won 0, net result: -6 Seat 4: summerpanda: bet 6 and won 0, net result: -6 Seat 5: HoofHeartedd: bet 31 and won 0, net result: -31 Seat 6: M0nditchT: bet 56 and won 0, net result: -56

No saving from this either. Title Fight has been running horribly, closest to fix it but my push was called pretty lightly by tight player (though not necessarily horrible since I have big bounty). Crappy day, which could've been super awesome.

Oh fucking fuck. FT @ Hundred over 2k for the win less than 200€ for this.

Got some points:

Back to bad runs. Got some medium-sized chances, but TT < KQ into 11th place at 25€ Stack and KQ push at SB met BB AK for another 11th place at 10€ freezeout. Third mincash from 25€ turbo. Was quite tired, as I had to wake up due to cleaning service + still sick (was drinking tea instead of Coke during this session, with some honey rum). Didn't play badly but not at my best form either. At least it is clean here now 😄 Trying to play this week. After all, if I am sick it is better to do something at home and brood instead of just brooding. Possible skipping some 100€ events as got 0 of those tickets right now.

Quick one hand freeroll. Called push. Not overly bad outcome, minimum time spent 🙂