GR1ZZL3R Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 It looks like a busy month ahead with a new Community League, another tournament series and the daily missions. I haven't played the missions since the last World Cup so as it's the season of goodwill it may be time to put some of my BP's into action and donate some Cash to the Community (sounds like a project.) I'm not saying I will do them all, some of the monthly ones these days look terrifying to me, but I'll give them a go. Hopefully daily updates so anyone intending to do the same is welcome to join in. 5 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 I am in 🫡 Also planning to do all the Christmas promos, but not sure if I'll have enough money 🥶 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 hour ago, SShcherbyna said: I am in 🫡 Also planning to do all the Christmas promos, but not sure if I'll have enough money 🥶 Scandalous after all those 💰💰💰 you've won in the last Community League and UOS series. Where does it all go? 1 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 20 minutes ago, GR1ZZL3R said: Where does it all go? I am constantly being robbed by one person 😁 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardGain Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 (edited) Im also looking forward what December will bring🫡 hope i will have enough free time to play and have a little piece of christmas promos P.s. im happy you opened this thread👍 GL Edited November 30, 2023 by HardGain 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 (edited) I had high hopes for SNG 5 Seat, but it turns out that to get gold tokens, you need to buy-in 50 euros, No Santa Stube, play SnG HU yourself 🥶 So for now the token plan is as follows: Bronze: Banzai NL1. Silver: Banzai NL5. Gold: It's not for me, it's too expensive. But I will still make several attempts at Banzai NL20 🫣 Edited December 1, 2023 by SShcherbyna 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 (edited) I did not make accurate calculations, and it is impossible to calculate precisely, because it is not known how many tokens will fall from the calendar and whether there will be gold tokens in the calendar at all. But quick calculations show that the probability of winning €1000 is ~30% if you collect all the tokens. Without gold tokens, this probability is ~5%. If you take into account the other awards of the calendar, then the EB is quite good, but the variance is crazy. I hope Santa loves the community members and gives us a few extra percent to win 🥰🎁🎅 Edited December 1, 2023 by SShcherbyna 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marlini2 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 I have a feeling that Santa is a naughty one and he is cheating on those flips anyway 😉 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theMachine Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 30% CHANCE OF €1000? HAVE YOU BEEN LUBRICANTING WITH THE MULLED WINE PARTICULARLY EARLY THIS YEAR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theMachine Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 theMachine STANDS CORRECTED: 0.5^8 = 0.00390625 EQUATING TO APPROXIMATELY 0.39% ON 1 GOLD FLIP WITH 62 POTENTIAL ATTEMPTS: 62 x 0.00390625 = 0.2421875 EQUATING TO APPROXIMATELY 24% ON GOLD FLIPS ALONE. THIS WAS UNEXPECTED 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 Being very old, and actually getting older every day, and having a brain that is not as razor (shovel) sharp as it used to be, I misread the first challenge as having to see 20 Banzai flops to receive 1 Santa Flip, repeating until seeing 160 flops for 8 tokens. It did cross my mind that at 1 table at a time it could be a long day and not all that easy, it could be a tough month, but Ho Ho Ho, let's get cracking. Great start, 3rd hand! Things could only get worse, and of course they did, until... I realised that the objective wasn't to rise in ranks or reach Sensei but merely to see flops, a totally different proposition requiring different tactics, maybe more limping. It paid off. I'd had 4 tables running and lost one, so being up I closed the tables to check where I was and have a cuppa. That's when I saw that the mission was complete. Doh! Happy days. Thirty five minutes and 69 cents profit. Ho Ho Ho indeed! Now onto the cash tables, 31 days to complete my current 5-10c ticket and get some more flip tokens into the bargain. 🍻 5 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 Quick update, I must have seen 22 flops on Banzai but they're also counting on the Santa Flips mission. What a Bargain! 👍🍻 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Does anyone have an idea why they gave the second ticket? A little unclear. The supermoon ticket is issued for mission 2 of the calendar, everything is correct. But the turbo ticket should be a reward for three days, but only two days were completed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardGain Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 no idea for what tourney the ticket is, but how did you received it if the mission is 2/3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted December 2, 2023 Author Share Posted December 2, 2023 Do you even have a bed? 🙄 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted December 2, 2023 Author Share Posted December 2, 2023 Day 2 I decided to go for the 2E qualifiers for UB Live, without too much success. Three times all in (first one on the bubble) with Ax. There times called by a worse Ax. Three times lose to a worse kicker, once on the turn and twice on the river. Ho hum! 🤨 I have also received the Turbo ticket a day early, Santa must be in a real rush! 😂 3 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 6 hours ago, GR1ZZL3R said: Do you even have a bed? My daughter is now with her grandmother, so I can afford to stay awake 😁 7 minutes ago, GR1ZZL3R said: I have also received the Turbo ticket a day early, Santa must be in a real rush! 😂 But it doesn't fit in the tournament, which is a reward for completing 3/3 of the calendar missions, maybe it's just some kind of bug. Day 2 is complete and I haven't even gone broke mining gold tokens yet 🤞 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardGain Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 completing the mission I was playint the 10€ Supermoon qualifier and bubbled it again 😞 This morning I found out i flipped better in the 1k Supermoon flip and got 2€ ticket at least. TOday is omaha madness and I don't know how to make it trough without unnecessary pain 🤯 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted December 3, 2023 Author Share Posted December 3, 2023 49 minutes ago, HardGain said: TOday is omaha madness and I don't know how to make it trough without unnecessary pain 🤯 @HardGain Take it steady, I've just opened 1 table, good luck. 😁 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted December 3, 2023 Author Share Posted December 3, 2023 Day 3 Making two mistakes to start off with doesn't bode well. Mistake # 1. Buying one 🎫 of 2-4 PLO ensures that if you don't have a good start you can't top up so always seem to be struggling. Mistake # 2. Playing one table and finding yourself on an unprecedentedly tight table, when even if you make a hand you can't get paid off. So at one stage I was down to around 35 BB. I'd just decided to leave the table, take the remaining cash and start again, when I doubled, hit another hand and found myself back to around 95 BB. Struggling on but gradually slipping back I gave up the ghost and cashed 60c off the ticket, 2 hours, 132 hands and a loss of 3.60, cup of tea time. 😵💫 A short break and back to it, fired up 4 tables and auto topping up, easy game. No, we've all said it but it really was horrible run from hell, couldn't hit a flop and if I did someone else hit harder. It didn't help seeing a community member sat opposite and keep going all in on the flop, hitting every draw and 5 minutes later disappearing with 500 BB. 🤬 Another hour and 11 minutes later after some good old fashioned tilt I finally made it, actually nearly tripling with one hand but not enough to make up for the losses. Three hours 11 mins, 516 hands and a loss of 17.32. 🤮 I completed the 60 flops to bag two Santa Flip tickets, I can chill the rest of the day watching 🏏 ⚽ and 🎱 (snooker actually but there's no emoji for that 🤨) although I'm in the process of trying to finish a 5-10c 🎫 before the New Year. 4 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardGain Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 right now the action at PL4 is crazy. big bets, raises. few buy ins down already and not even close to 150BB. I don't know if this people are really hitting hard or just mindlessly putting money in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theMachine Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardGain Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 success! I can't believe it i made it. 😱 It cost me something like 3 buy ins, but i will survive i'll fire the 1st advent candle for the dinner today 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SShcherbyna Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 (edited) Every time I have to perform a PLO mission, my eye twitches, because it is impossible to predict how much time it will take me to complete this mission. This time I was lucky and I had 200 BB a few hands after the start, but I had to wait another half hour for the date change for the mission to count 🫠 Another good news is that I can still afford to mine gold tokens, if I'm not mistaken, Banzai NL20 has even gone into positive balance at the moment, so I'm still in the game 🥳 Bonus. Pump up your thinking with ranges. Pre raise-call-3bet-call-call, flop cbet-fold-jam-call Think carefully and try to guess which hand the opponent has. Spoiler Edited December 3, 2023 by SShcherbyna 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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