Whoever

This month it took just 6 days to finish all 5 missions - clearly personal best 😃 However i'm not sure now what i'm going to do for the rest of the month ...

So it's another refund as Levadia won 2:1

Over line in Pistons - Pacers game looks to be dropping (with no reason?) for the second time this week ... Ahead of previous h2h game over line was first at 207.5 and when i re-checked odds around 2h before the kickoff it had dropped to 204 - and there were 213p in that game ... As for now then according to OLBG over line right now is 205.5 points but i believe it was higher than that few hours ago so who knows whether this over line continues to drop even more ... Surely it's not wrong to hope for another highscoring match, no?

On wednesday in Meistriliiga: Trans - Levadia 18:30 CET 5€ on under 3.0 goals @2.21 Trans is the only team after 3 matches who have yet to concede but they have also failed to score in both homegames.. Levadia meanwhile have won all 3 games so far while conceding just once but they've only played with weaker teams as they now face first real test of the season.. As both teams have been quite good in defense so far this season then i assume that we don't see open game here cause both teams are probably trying to avoid making stupid mistakes etc and therefore focus on keeping it clear at the back and then trying to figure out how to score 1-2 decisive goals... * obviously for the sake of the game i don't mind seeing highscoring match here but considering how hard it's playing in Narva for our top clubs then perhaps Trans can actually defend well enough here to make sure that their third homegame this season will be lowscoring one yet again.

So current bankroll is now 495€ Final score: Kalju - Flora 0:3 Well i guess it was close cause the game stayed goalless for 80 minutes..

Well on saturday Kalju showed exactly why our top clubs usually struggle in Narva as they dropped points yet again. So let's see what they can(or can't) do tomorrow.. Surely they aren't going to let me down for the second time in less than 5 days or ... On tuesday in Meistriliiga: Kalju - Flora 18:30 CET 5€ on over 2.5 goals @2 I'm pretty sure that defending champions probably even didn't expect that start to the season will be this hard - they've won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 of the first 3 leaguegames.. And what's more intresting is that they seem to score in every second game cause so far they've scored 0,5,0 goals so tomorrow they'd find the net yet again.. At the same time Flora have won all 3 leaguegames so far but unlike Kalju then they've yet to play against stronger teams.. However for Flora recent h2h games haven't been succesful as they're winless in 5 h2h leaguegames despite scoring in most recent 3.. Obviously both teams have enough firepower to turn this match into highscoring one so hopefully we'll see open game here from one end to another where both teams actually try to attack instead of keeping it clear at the back... I'm probably going to watch this game aswell so hopefully it'll be good match actually..

As for tuesday's game then i don't blame myself for being (way) too optimistic. Anyway let's move on as we'll have plenty of games in the next teams cause Meistriliiga teams are fortunate to play 3 matches in 7-day period. Therefore on saturday in Meistriliiga: Trans - Kalju 15:00 CET 5€ on Kalju -1 AH @1.90 I'd say that neither team is particularly too happy with how they started the new season - Trans may be one of the 2 teams yet to concede after 2 games but just like their opponents then they have also dropped already points at home against weaker team.. And it don't get any easier for them - after hosting defending champions on saturday then they'll have another difficult homegame on wednesday when they're hosting Levadia.. Kalju meanwhile have lost more games this season than they managed last year but i guess defending the title is usually difficult in any domestic league.. Still after opening week's disappointment they won 5:0 in the second game just before international break. Despite the fact that for our usual topclubs Kalju-Flora-Levadia trips to east-estonia have always been difficult i expect Kalju to be fully focused here specially as they haven't won first h2h awaygame of the season in Narva since 2014... So unlike in the past few years i expect them this time to actually win first h2h awaygame of the season against Trans..

International friendly: Gibraltar - Estonia 20:45 CET 4€ on Estonia over 2.0 goals @2.08 Both teams lost their first qualifier to nil so it's quite obvious to suggest both teams are trying to get positive result from this match.. I guess we'll see atleast some rotation by either team here but this shouldn't change too much cause we're anyway going to dominate the game etc and clearly we're not good in it so we probably struggle against weaker team yet again.. In previous qualifying campaign we won both h2h games 4:0 and 6:0 - it'd be nice to see another freescoring game but should we manage to score just once then even this isn't too big surprise. Anyway we've scored in all 4 h2h games so far so i expect us to find the net this time aswell and hopefully we don't settle for 1 goal here and try to score more than Ireland ...

Swedish cruise is over and now i can finally say that our team is still quite **** but at least Northern Ireland did their job so current BR is 499€ and considering our tuesday's opponent Gibraltar probably gets even worse result tonight then let's see on what i'm betting on that game. Hopefully odds for Gibraltar - Estonia come out today/tomorrow so i'd have chance for a closer look ;)

Well as N. Ireland AH odds have started to drop i guess i don't wait anymore whether my local bookie comea out their special offer or not ... Therefore here 2 bets for this game(i guess there's no chance at all that they both lose): 5€: Northern Ireland -1 AH @1.80 4.45€: Estonia to score over 0.5 goals @2.38

So european qualifiers start on thursday and in the same day there's this game(which is probably most intresting one): Northern Ireland - Estonia Northern Ireland starts these qualifiers with 2 homegames against Estonia and Belarus so unless they screw something up then they'd have 6p in the bag before visiting Tallinn in june. It's the first official game between these teams since EURO2012 qualifiers where we won both matches (4:1 at home and 2:1 on the road) but i guess it's (sadly) safe to say that neither team isn't the same like 8 years ago ... However since our last h2h game Northern Ireland have played 18 official games at home(W8D4L6) - they scored in 15 of them but managed to keep just 7 clean sheets. I'd say that luckily for them we are still quite bad away from home cause since our 2:1 win in Belfast we've played 19 competive awaygames(W3D4L12) - apart from these wins which were to nil we've managed to keep just 3 more clean sheets - all in games which ended goalless and during these 19 games we actually failed to score in 13 so no surprise there and what's even worse is that in EURO16 qualifiers we didn't score single goal in awaygames(even against San Marino) so definitely it can't get any worse ... Like in our typical (away)game i expect that we are going to play in formation 5-4-1, have basically 9 men behind the ball while playing for goalless draw and once that plan has backfired we suddenly forgot that we'd actually take more risks while trying to get something from the game.. * right now i'm waiting whether one of our local bookies comes out with their usual offer during Estonia NT (away)game where you can put 3€ on Estonia to score over 0.5 goals with special odds @5 If they dont do it for whatever reason then i'm probably going to bet against us while taking N. Ireland -1 AH @1.93 So let's see. Perhaps i'm actually going with both these bets ... :)

Refund as Flora goes to international break after winning 1:0 in Paide.

Today in Meistriliiga: Paide - Flora E: 12:00 CET 4.45€ on Flora -1 AH @2.01 Both teams started the season with 2:0 wins last weekend so they are trying to get another positive result this time aswell. Paide showed in the opening game of the season that they can play well against stronger teams and i assume that now at home they're trying to make another decent perfomance. Flora is definitely going to dominate the game and they'll get another difficult match i guess(otherwise could it be like walk in the park of them then my AH bet should win quite comfortably) - still teams have met 40 times in the league with Flora losing just once and winning 35 games. Usually in estonian league you don't see that eventual favourite' -1AH odds are so good in awaygame against weaker team.. I believe last season there were just 1 similar situation which i saw soon enough before odds dropped dramatically. Anyway i expect Flora to get 3p from this game.

Well that was obvious one... Kure hoped to get penalty when their striker was pushed to the ground by Levadia defender but referee didn't do anything and basically 60 seconds later we have same situation in other side of the pitch as after slight touch Levadia striker falls and earns penalty and ofcourse they convert it so Levadia goes to half time with 1:0 lead :) Current bankroll: 499.45€

LIVEBET: Kuressaare - Levadia 10€ on first half over 0.5 goals @1.53

Although there were 3 goals in the last 30 minutes this bet still won as Flora went on to win 3:0 :) So now bankroll ahead of this weekend Meistriliiga games is 494.15€

Well last weekend Tammeka definitely showed why they are usually struggling against weaker teams as 95+ min penalty saved them from losing first match of the season as it finished 2:2. So let's watch today's Esiliiga game is offering. :) Flora II - Levadia II 18:00 CET 5€ on under 4 goals @1.83 Both teams started the new season with a defeat so now they are trying to get first win of the season(or atleast avoid second consecutive defeat) - clearly both sides are capable of scoring goals here but still basically story is the same like last year - whenever under 4 is available with decent odds you pretty much have to hope that for once both teams are better in defending than they are in attacking. I know that this match starts like in 45 minutes or so but i just waited until lineups are revealed to see whether they get any help from the first team... Answer to that is no and yeah sorry for getting this up so late. Anyway we'd see intresting game here so let's see how this goes ;)

Obviously supercup turned out as highscoring one(yet again) so that leaves with bankroll of 495€ but most importantly it looks like technical difficulties which i experienced in foreign country on friday ahead of first leaguegame of the season(where defending champions lost 0:2 at home to Paide therefore it probably was good thing that i couldn't bet on that match) are over so it's time to look forward to next game i guess. Sunday in Meistriliiga: Tammeka - Maardu 12:00 CET 5€ bet: Tammeka -1 AH @2.21 Tammeka is quite solid at home but still even if they do get the positive result against weaker team then usually they have to work hard to get it cause for them it's better to be that team who is parking the bus against stronger team and doing it decently with their organized defense instead of actually controlling the game etc while trying to figure out how to break down opponents very tight defense ... After dominating in Esiliiga for the last 2 seasons Maardu have finally decided to try out that topflight football ... So it's probably intresting to see how they can cope with it... Teams have met twice in the competive games so far when back in 2013 & 2015 Tammeka won both cup games 5:1 - i doubt that we'll see similar score this time aswell but i

I'd like to get something aswell for my 2 expired tickets then 😞 @RayL

New leagueseason starts next week so it's probably right time to bring this thread back to life. New season comes with new ideas etc so i've decided to start the season with bankroll of 500€ while making mostly 5-10€ bets... So once season ends in november we'd see how smartest(or not) that idea was :) ... Anyway Super Cup is played today so: Kalju - Levadia 12:00 CET I'm going to start with putting 5€ on under 2.5 goals @1.91 in Unibet. Both sides prepared for new season in training camps in Spain and Cyprus so i guess today we'll see how useful it was for them to spend week in much warmer climate... Anyway Kalju have played Supercup twice so far but is still waiting for the first win as they lost 0:3 in 2016 and 2013 ... Meanwhile Levadia have played in this competion more regularly in recent years and they've usually done it succesfully aswell cause they won 4 of the last 5 games in this competion. However considering that previous Supercup matches have usually been highscoring ones(6 of the last 7 games went over 2.5 goals) then it's probably not the wisest thing to do to expect lowscoring game this time around. Although i'd like to see plenty of goals here then i still predict that perhaps teams dont storm into attack straight away(like headless chicken) and have more cautious approach instead making sure that they don't concede first ...

Same here... Yesterday i won 1€ hexapro ticket and although i forgot to play them today i still won these 5 freespins which eventually gave 1.05 euros :)

Is it too unrealistic to think now that Atletico - Juve match will produce most amount of goals compared to other round of 16 (first leg) matches ...

Finland - Estonia 1:2 :Smile:

Tomorrow somewhere in Qatar: Finland - Estonia 13:00 CET X2 @2.50 Obviously both teams use this match to test new players etc and therefore result isn't probably the most important thing here although both teams would like to avoid defeat i assume.. Unlike us then Finland have already played one game here as they won 1:0 against Sweden on tuesday so they probably make several changes to their squad and give other plays chance to impress while trying to break down estonian 5-men defense ...Finland may have won last 3 h2h games to nil but i'm still sure that we can make it hard for them once again and hopefully avoid starting the year with defeat.Just like prior to our january games vs Sweden in 2016 & 2018 when both games ended 1:1 odds to us getting something from this game are ridicilous yet again so hopefully our team gets at least draw from this match ...

Tonight in Pacers vs Cavaliers over line is at 206 points ... So i think i'm probably putting some euros on that. Pacers have won 7 in a row while Cavaliers have lost 2 in a row so for one team their winning or losing streak definitely will end tonight. I believe that either teams last 5 matches have also been quite highscoring ones with 4 going over 206 points. Pacers have also dominated recent h2h games by winning 3 of the last 4 with all these games also going over 206 points. With that being said we probably see that kind of game where teams are struggling to get even 200 points but hopefully not :)