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Posts posted by HonorTheGame
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A little inspiration in mixing the 2 strategies mentioned above would give you decent chances for the weekly prizes and overall leadeboard as well. GL
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@HonorTheGame wrote:R1 - Handball -Montpellier AH -2.5
R1 Won
R2 Below: Clippers -3.5 AH, Raptors to win
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Match list:
Home Away 1 X 2 Pick 1-X-2 Turkey Iceland 1.80 3.85 4.25 x Serbia Luxembourg 1.17 7.00 19.00 1 Czech Republic Kosovo 1.70 3.70 5.00 1 Armenia Greece 3.35 3.60 2.10 x Norway Faroe Islands 1.07 12.00 31.00 x Bosnia & Herzegovina Italy 3.15 3.75 2.15 x Romania Sweden 2.85 3.25 2.55 1 Switzerland Georgia 1.16 7.50 19.00 1 Cyprus Scotland 3.50 3.35 2.15 2 Russia Belgium 3.75 3.40 2.05 x Azerbaijan Wales 7.15 3.80 1.55 2 Northern Ireland Netherlands 8.00 4.50 1.45 2 Austria North Macedonia 1.42 5.00 7.00 x Croatia Slovakia 1.48 4.25 7.25 1 Israel Poland 2.90 3.55 2.35 2 - 1
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I know I've played in the community poker series, but not sure if I played one of the previous 12 either. Can someone check, I'll take 86 if i did.
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Match list:
Home Away 1 X 2 Pick 1-X-2 FC Schalke 04 Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.49 4.50 6.25 1 Hertha BSC RB Leipzig 4.40 3.90 1.76 2 Tottenham Sheffield United 1.60 3.95 5.75 1 Southampton Everton 2.65 3.45 2.65 2 Newcastle United Bournemouth 2.65 3.30 2.70 1 Valencia Granada CF 1.75 3.50 5.25 1 Eibar Real Madrid 5.00 4.25 1.62 2 Bayern München Borussia Dortmund 1.57 4.40 5.30 1 Leicester City Arsenal 2.10 3.80 3.25 1 Lille Metz 1.70 3.60 5.20 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Werder Bremen 1.81 4.00 4.00 x Royal Antwerp FC Club Brugge 3.65 3.70 1.95 x Manchester United Brighton & Hove Albion 1.53 3.90 7.00 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers Aston Villa 1.85 3.60 4.30 x VfL Wolfsburg Bayer Leverkusen 2.85 3.35 2.48 2 Liverpool Manchester City 2.65 3.65 2.55 x SC Freiburg Eintracht Frankfurt 2.85 3.50 2.40 1 FC Midtjylland FC Copenhagen 2.50 3.40 2.80 x Parma Roma 3.85 3.70 1.90 x KRC Genk AA Gent 2.40 3.60 2.80 1 Juventus AC Milan 1.45 4.40 7.00 1 Real Betis Sevilla 3.50 3.60 2.05 1 Marseille Lyon 2.75 3.50 2.45 x Boavista FC Porto 7.50 4.30 1.40 x - 2
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Hi @JeppeL , I'd like a boost as well. Thank you.
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@RayL wrote:Prizes are credited guys :)
@FreedoM, I think it's only fair to split in case of a tie so that's what I did, hope it's ok with everybody. Regarding the tie between @andy1 and @dynamo I've reached deep into the Community pocket and credited both 5 eur Bonus money :).
@HonorTheGame, I'm still missing your prefference.
Hi @RayL , 10 EUR FBM for me please, thanks.:)
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Match list:
Home Away 1 X 2 Pick 1-X-2 Zenit St Petersburg RB Leipzig 2.80 3.55 2.52 2 FC Barcelona Slavia Praha 1.22 7.00 14.00 1 Lyon Benfica 1.95 3.75 3.90 1 Valencia Lille 1.85 3.55 4.65 1 Napoli Red Bull Salzburg 1.90 4.00 3.90 x Borussia Dortmund Inter 2.05 3.60 3.75 1 Chelsea Ajax 1.95 3.90 3.75 1 Liverpool KRC Genk 1.09 13.00 32.00 1 Bayern München Olympiakos Piraeus 1.18 7.70 14.00 x Lokomotiv Moscow Juventus 5.85 4.00 1.60 x Bayer Leverkusen Atletico Madrid 2.75 3.25 2.67 x Paris SG Club Brugge 1.16 8.00 16.00 x Real Madrid Galatasaray 1.20 7.00 16.00 1 Atalanta Manchester City 5.50 5.10 1.50 x Dinamo Zagreb Shaktar Donetsk 2.20 3.60 3.20 x Red Star Belgrade Tottenham 5.70 4.55 1.55 2 - 2
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Match list:
Home Away 1 X 2 Pick 1-X-2 Werder Bremen SC Freiburg 2.00 3.50 3.75 x Borussia Dortmund Wolfsburg 1.44 4.40 7.00 x Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.95 3.65 3.70 2 Eintracht Frankfurt Bayern Munchen 6.75 5.00 1.40 2 Arsenal Wolverhampton 1.62 4.10 5.25 x Aston Villa Liverpool 7.50 4.95 1.40 2 Levante FC Barcelona 8.25 6.00 1.33 2 Marseille Lille 2.15 3.30 3.50 x Sevilla Atletico Madrid 2.40 3.20 3.20 x Watford Chelsea 4.50 4.05 1.72 2 Real Madrid Real Betis 1.29 6.30 9.50 1 Crystal Palace Leicester City 3.45 3.40 2.15 2 Everton Tottenham 2.80 3.45 2.45 2 FC Augsburg FC Schalke 04 3.70 3.70 1.95 1 1. FC Union Berlin Hertha BSC 2.85 3.25 2.55 1 Granada CF Real Sociedad 3.00 3.25 2.50 x - 1
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@OmNomNom wrote:The guy who wentt all-in preflop with 3 10's in his hand is the real MVP
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Match list:
Home Away 1 X 2 Atletico Madrid Bayer Leverkusen 1.67 3.80 6.15 Shaktar Donetsk Dinamo Zagreb 1.72 3.75 5.75 Tottenham Red Star Belgrade 1.30 5.85 12.00 Galatasaray Real Madrid 5.70 4.20 1.64 Club Brugge Paris SG 6.20 4.20 1.60 Olympiakos Bayen München 8.40 5.20 1.40 Manchester City Atalanta 1.23 7.40 13.00 Juventus Lomotiv Moscow 1.22 6.75 18.00 Ajax Chelsea 2.35 3.65 3.10 RB Leipzig Zenit St Petersburg 1.60 4.35 5.90 Benfica Lyon 2.15 3.70 3.45 Inter Borussia Dortmund 2.40 3.60 3.05 Red Bull Salzburg Napoli 2.69 3.95 2.50 Slavia Praha FC Barcelona 7.45 5.00 1.45 KRC Genk Liverpool 9.50 6.40 1.31 Lille Valencia 2.72 3.40 2.75 -
Match list:
Home Away 1 X 2 Manchester United Liverpool 5.10 4.00 1.73 Alavés Celta Vigo 2.95 3.05 2.70 Sassuolo Inter 5.30 3.80 1.67 Real Sociedad Real Betis 1.75 3.90 4.70 Udinese Torino 2.75 3.15 2.65 Sampdoria Roma 3.25 3.50 2.18 FC Köln SC Paderborn 07 1.65 4.40 4.60 Espanyol Villareal 3.10 3.40 2.36 Monaco Rennes 1.80 3.55 4.60 Anderlecht Sint-Truiden 1.46 4.70 6.50 TSG Hoffenheim FC Schalke 04 2.65 3.45 2.60 Athletic Bilbao Valladolid 1.68 3.50 6.25 AC Milan Lecce 1.40 4.90 7.50 Sevilla Levante 1.34 5.50 9.00 Marseille Strasbourg 1.80 3.50 4.75 -
Yep, I completely agree with both of you, as a bettor myself I wouldn't consider betting on the current odds, as it's not a worthy/value-bet, considering that it is a long term pick.
I was just pointing out how the odds were calculated. The bookie should apply an uplift on the standard algorithm, considering the bet length and how frequent this kind of bet would happen (see Arsenal example), to make it interesting for the bettor.
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Maybe the odds look low, but they are close to the real value.
30 games left - if you would choose double chance on Liverpool on each one of them (Liverpool win or draw) - the average odds would be around 1.10-1.13 (only with City it would be much higher ~1.45 at home and 1.8 away, with the small teams odds close to 1). 1.12 to the 30 (Ex - 1.12 x 1.12 x 1.12 x...) = 29.96
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Congrats to the winners. Poker points for me as well, please. (20 Euro)
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@HonorTheGame wrote:R1
Pick lost
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Match list:
Bet (Home - Away) 1 2 Pick Carolina Panthers - Jacksonville Jaguars 1.58 2.50 1 Cincinatti Bengals - Arizona Cardinals 1.65 2.35 2 Bengals - Cardinals , Over/Under 47.5 pts 1.91 1.91 2 Houston Texans - Atlanta Falcons 1.50 2.70 1 Texans - Falcons, Over/Under 50 pts 1.91 1.91 2 New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.61 2.45 1 Saints - Buccaneers, Over/Under 45 pts 1.91 1.91 1 New York Giants - Minnesota Vikings 2.90 1.45 2 Giants - Vikings, Over/Under 43,5 pts 1.91 1.91 1 Oakland Raiders - Chicago Bears 3.05 1.42 2 Raiders - Bears, Over/Under 40 pts 1.91 1.91 2 Philadelphia Eagles - New York Jets 1.12 7.00 2 Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens 2.65 1.53 2 Tennessee Titans - Buffalo Bills 1.53 2.55 2 Washington Redskins - New England Patriots 8.00 1.10 2 - 2
The Oval Office - NFL and betting
in Betting and Sports
Posted