Brocky

I definitely recognise your aliases but they don’t stand out massively which either means you’re not terrible or you don’t run insanely hot vs me :laugh:

 

You did give me a chuckle when you said LIEutentant is a top reg though!

 

How would you rate my game against those 3 players you mention? Sefero is the best of the 3 but runs ridiculous in card distribution, he just always has it. TheNr23 is not great but wins so many all ins that poker is easy for him.

 

I would give you my spreadsheet but its quite fiddly and I often update it which is just a hassle because I’ve given it to a couple of friends and it’s non-stop questions I could do without. Off the top of my head, make sure you’re copying from the poker section of ‘history’ and pasting as values. That may clear up the issue.

 

You should start your own blog here, I’d follow for sure! Gl

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@Soljanov wrote:

Just found this blog when I was downswinging on HUSNGs. Pretty sick results overall mate 😃 Funny to see that we have played quite a lot against each other. I'm playing like 1k SNGs per month with ROI 2-6% with ABI of 20€ roughly.  I change my nick constantly to avoid people taking notes from me. Don't know is this really a good strategy since regs tend to sit on my lobby when they see an unknown player :happyshy:

Are you doing your graphs with Excel or Google Sheets? I tried to do similar but always ending up on a loop because when I copy the results from the account history I can't seem to be able to calculate buy-ins correctly. Up to this point I'm always requesting results-file from support but getting a graph like yours would be cool 😏

GLGL

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Hey,

 Care to share any of your recent aliases?  Feel free to PM if you'd prefer ;)  Nice results too!  I'm a bit mixed on the whole changing aliases benefits.  I used to just play under one but these days I tend to play under new ones a lot of the time.  I completely agree with your reasoning though, I often feel like if a reg doesn't want to play me then I should stick to that alias and play as many recs as I can.

I use excel, it's a bit awkward because my currency is GBP but the games are in EUR.  I get around this by tracking my cumulative results in GBP, which is why my graphs are in GBP but I do formulas to convert the games into EUR for stats purposes.  

For example, if A1 is between £20-25 then it'll be marked as a 25 EUR, so just need to play around with formulas.  

It’s definitely rigged against you, my 70% hands win 100% of the time.

Thanks @CuteRaven

I must admit it's hit me pretty hard. I live a fairly anti-social life these days with my office being in my living room so definitely bonded a lot with my GPs given I spend almost every day with them. I can't emphasise enough how great of a pet they are to anyone that is considering getting them. A lot more affectionate than you would ever imagine and intelligent as CR mentions above.

 

Need to get back on the grind soon though as there's always bills to pay but my sleeping pattern is seriously messed up and I'm missing the good hours to play at the moment.

Is it bad I'm taking some pleasure in the fact it's not me? Sorry to see it though!

A decent session this morning but normally as soon as poker starts going well for me, I hit a massive downswing at the higher stakes and go back to square one.  Well instead of that (yet), one of my guinea pigs (the favourite) went for an operation on kidney stones and didn't make it through the other side.  I know most people are going to be like "meh it's only a guinea pig" but I thought that before getting them and they're surprisingly affectionate and are great companions.  Not only did we lose his brother just before his first birthday (they live to 5-7 on average) but we've now lost this one just a few months later.  What pisses me off the most though is the vets.  The first one was in 4 times before he got referred to a specialist, 4 lots of appointment fees + antibiotics + painkillers in which the illness was not related to anything they initially thought and now this one was in 4 times, 4 more lots of payment, with them even having the audacity to charge £170 for effectively killing it today.  I'm just angry.  I've spent hundreds and hundreds on people that are supposedly experts not being able to do their job properly it seems.  Maybe I should quit poker and just become a vet by prescribing medication left, right and centre.  

 

 

 

Well it's from the original €500 challenge that I was doing but the graph above starts at when the bankroll challenge hit a low point of €200.

Thanks Gr1z. I’ve definitely run good at the 50s+ so no complaints there! I know what you mean though, my biggest issue is keeping this grind going when things aren’t going well and not doing anything stupid.

Thanks guys. I know as humans we look for patterns that aren't there but sometimes it truly feels incomprehensible. I'm not even moaning about running bad for once, just cannot seem to comprehend the streaky nature of seemingly every session.

The bankroll challenge I'm doing deserves an update. I took at shot at the 25s when I got to €1k or whatever it was and just ran insane. Lost most of the games, if not all and I ended up tilt playing one or two 100s (cant remember), which I lost. I was down to €200 and just going to give up on the whole thing, especially because I'm solely playing heads up games, which I'm not going to stream for reasons stated a thousand times. It all feels a bit pointless now, but since the 8th Feb I've been working at the challenge and I was grinding a bunch of 10s, moving up to the 25s again at 1k. There have been a few 50s thrown in and the odd tilted 100/200, but it's been profitable.

(Results since 08/02/20 below)

Results by stake:

10s - 211 games, €509 profit, 24.1% ROI

25s - 370 games, €644 profit, 6.9% ROI

50s - 33 games, €872 profit, 52.8% ROI :Cool:

100s - 8 games, €24 LOSS, -3% ROI

200s - 2 games, €388 profit, 94% ROI

Total - 624 games, €2,377 profit, 16.7% ROI.  Average buy in €22.77.

1/2 tabling the 50s at the moment, just riding the run good and will move down if I lose a few.  

 

It's funny, I was reading a post on 2p2 earlier from some guy who was talking about a different poker site, he was listing the pros and cons and added that he likes it because there's fewer bad beats than on other sites.  I rolled my eyes because it's a stupid thing to say.  I therefore give you all permission to roll your eyes at what I'm about to say.

I literally cannot comprehend this site.  My mate and I have a joke that you can tell within the first game of the session how you're going to run and whether you should just quit there.  I know it's stupid but it's purely based on what we see everyday.  

My last 4 sessions have been something like:

Won 13 bi in 15 games

Won 20bi in 60 games

Won 10bi in 16 games

Lose 10 in a row with 60%+ equity in 7/8 of them

I am sure variance shouldn't be like this, should it?  In the 14 games I won in a row, 13 were against regs and it did not matter what I got my money in with, I couldn't lose.  Today I have 3 recs and I lose 10 in a row despite having them behind almost every time.  I guess as humans we look for patterns that aren't there but it's really starting to mess with my head because I often feel like I want to stop playing as soon as the negative variance begins, which goes against all logic that we should play if we have an edge.  

I know how stupid I sound but I don't even care at this point.  

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@CuteRaven wrote:

@Brocky Your suggestion of a punching bag might be a good idea actually for bad sessions. Sometimes if I need to blow off steam I stand up, jump around a bit and punch the air. Sitting down and continuing the session like nothing happened seems to just make tilt worse.

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Yeh exactly what I was thinking.  By the time I get back to the computer I'm pretty sure I'd feel a lot better

That 88 hand made me throw up a bit.

This one is for @GR1ZZL3R given he tagged me in his.

I was down €200 after tilting a bit at higher stakes earlier.  Restarted the session not long ago and I've won all 12 games at the €25s 🤣

What did I say about Unibet being streaky as hell?  Somehow up €84 for the day so far.

Edit: 13 now.  It seems Stubbe has flicked the switch.

First game back against above reg.  Why do I even bother grinding?

I'm done with this thread for a while.  All I'm doing is moaning and I'm bored of it but this ❤️♥️❤️ bs is ridiculous.  

One day I'm going to log in and not just get the most stupid ❤️♥️❤️ ever.  That will be a fabulous day.  I've played 5 games today and already taking a small break because it's just so frustrating.

I talked about this reg on my stream, literally runs insane.  First game vs him, he calls off 3 barrels with no pair into the backdoor flush, nice hand bro.  Then I get my last 10bb in with 87s, flop top 2 and get runner runner'd.  Cool.

Next game vs him, I limp/call a 3x with KT.  The result couldn't be more standard.  Of course, I never seem to have KQ here?

Alright, we move on.  A couple of recs up next.

He opens pre, I flat.  He checks back the flop, I lead 3/4 pot on the turn and he goes for the min raise.  Not ideal, the flush gets there but I would imagine he c-bets his flush draws.  QJ gets there but not a massive concern, would likely raise the turn bigger with QJ no spade to protect.  He must have a pretty strong hand to min-raise the turn though? I have to call the raise and re-assess the river.

We're faced with 20% PSB on the river, it's an easy call but he's probably going to show KT or a bigger ace, right?

 

Oh.  Brilliantly played, sir.  

Don't worry, we'll get 'em next time.

Rec opens 3x pre and checks back the flop.  Great turn for me IMO and I'm not going to get much credit plus this guy isn't really paying attention to bet sizes.  I can go super big here and just jam and safe river for value.

Yes, of course.

The hands themselves aren't super sick of course but when you feel like this is a deja vu of 90% of the times I've logged in over the past 3 months it's really starting to wear thin.  Been seriously contemplating buying a punch bag for the flat just to let out some of this pent up anger.  I'm one of those that gets angry quickly but calms down fairly quick as well, would probably be a sound investment!

Back in October I won €2k at the 25s in one week.  It's going to be scary for the player pool when I hit another heater.  Until then, enjoy the fact that you seemingly can play hands as badly as you like and just cooler me.

Cheers bro!

I typed a long update but deleted it because I can't be bothered with any more ranting. I am really, really struggling to finish games off when I have >1500 chips, whether I'm ahead or behind it doesn't matter. I think one of the biggest fallacies in poker is that "it'll even itself out". I'm not saying I'm 300bi below EV or whatever but through every terrible day of grinding whether it's the all ins or card distribution, going into the next day with a positive mindset means absolutely nothing as to how you run. The cards have no memory.

 

All we can do is keep working hard and grinding.

 

 

Yep I played against him but can't remember how good he was, think we only played twice.

You don't need 100k games for the jackpot, it doesn't work in batches, it's just a 1 in 100k chance each time a game starts. In theory, 2 could hit in a row or none for a million games.

You must be the only player questioning the fairness of having more jackpots.

I would imagine it's pretty simple in the sense that all multipliers are the same probability as normal with each game within the 20k having a slightly ever increasing chance of hitting the jackpot until game 20k where it's 100%.  

 

I stopped my session around 5am so potentially. Which aliases were you using and who was the opponent?

Well today might go down as one of the worst of all time in terms of how bad I've got my money in.  I don't have anywhere else to rant so just going to do it here.  It's hard to explain unless you've been through it playing 100 HUSNGs in a day with the number of all ins and flops seen but the way it completely messes with your mind has to be the worst feeling ever.  Since I moved up to the 25s I'm pretty much exactly even which doesn't sound terrible but I must've ran good in all ins today because I seemingly never had the better hand.  I made 2 or 3 overbet river bluff shoves today with perfect blockers on straight and flushy boards, got hero called by 2nd pair twice.  I made probably 3 shoves with the nuts on similar boards, got 3 folds.  I'm ISOing big pairs, getting monotone flops where I have an overpair and flush draw but losing to a flopped flush yet when I limp/call 98s I'm missing or flopping bottom pair, turning a flush draw and bricking the river meaning I've put in half of my stack and having to fold.  I folded 2nd/3rd pair a couple of times on the river to 3 barrel shoves where it's starting to feel like they always have it, whether they do or not.

It's difficult to quantify how these periods of card distribution affect my overall play but for those of you who've been following Phil Galfond's challenge you'll have probably heard him talk about it.  He did a podcast yesterday with Joey Ingram and he talked about how when your opponent is more often than they should be at the top of their range it becomes difficult to comprehend and process the patterns we normally use to adapt our game.  I'm feeling exactly the same right now.  The games at the 25s haven't been super soft nor super reggy the past few days but even a bad reg has enough fundamental understanding to make them really hard to beat if they're running hot and I think I'm overbluffing as a result.  

In times like this I question myself very quickly.  It's easy to think you're an absolute don one minute in HUSNGs but the next you're wondering if you can even beat the games.  When I look at my graphs from PS/FTP and Unibet I have been a consistent big winner in mid-stakes games for 10 years and I just need to remember this going forward.  That doesn't mean I shouldn't be doing everything I can to improve but for me to doubt whether I can even beat the 25s, which is how I feel at times like this, is ridiculous.

I hate taking breaks from poker but it's much needed right now.  Not sure how long for but going to chill on the PS4 for a bit and reassess later/tomorrow/whenever.  Luckily I'm only -€31.70 today, could be much worse but I always feel like it could be a lot better.  

 

I give up.

I often wonder that at times, how the f are they checking back here? But then when you have KQ in that spot they jam the river 100%.

It's not the beats per se that bother me, I put loads of beats on people, I receive loads of beats, it's natural.  For me it's the way that it happens.  I'll sit there playing some idiot that runs hotter than the sun in card distribution while I miss every flop and then when you finally get them to put their money in way behind you get the inevitable.

A good example is I've just logged on and played my first game of the day.  Guy has folded literally nothing so I'm just waiting, waiting, waiting for a spot.  I wouldn't normally lead the flop/turn here but I know he's not going to fold:

Another 99.4% loser post-flop.

I then raise pre after he limps, c bet flop and by the turn I've got him to put in two-thirds of effective stacks with just a gutshot, he then tank calls the river :rofl: :rofl:

Same old :Heart::Hearts::Heart: every time I move up stakes.  At the 10s I win those hands no problem.

I've logged out, will try again later.