Samba

So you were lucky enough to win a ticket for free and you are still complaing? Bro wake up you have a problem

BOOM! First MTT back after I babyrage banned myself for a week. I love Unibet!

Just in the nick of time!

Hello again! I've spent a couple of days of my downtime doing some solver work around 2 betsizes, pot & half pot. I use a lot of 1/4 pot when I play online since the god Phil Galfond does. Most of this is going to be for when I grind the GUKPT London cash games later next month or to respond to population tendencies who use 1/2 and full pot without much nuance. What I have noticed is that the EV difference between decisions in a lot of spots is very close as long as you are categorising your hands correctly based on their hand class. My main losses in EV came from making bad flop calls or bets in pure fold or pure check situations, so learning to recognise the qualities of a hand (including backdoors) helps with accuracy.

Take a look at the EV difference in this example scenario of a BvB 3b pot where you call a 3b and call a flop 1/2 pot. Turn c/c and you are now to act on river. Your decision to check or bet is almost neutral regardless of the sizing you choose if you choose bet. The qualities of this specific hand are that you block rivered 2 pair and the nuts, although the value of both of these qualities is marginal but still relevant.

This illustrates the utility of having a good understanding of GTO. You can start exploiting neutral EV decisions based on your specific opponent to generate some EV. If your opponent is over-folding you can start mixing with hands that have a high % river check to print money (until they adapt)

Are they over c-betting and then pot controlling with hands that should be pure checking the flop? Hands like A544 w/ a suit with no backdoor is pure checking but the population are definitely c-betting this. Well in that case a flop fold might be better than an 80% flop call as they are unbalanced in their flop construction.

A few days of study has definitely made me feel a lot better about starting up the grind again, mainly because a lot of streamers (even up to 5kPLO) are making tons of errors. I watched the final table of the 25k PLO and was amazed at how many calls were being made on flop/turn/river pure fold situations where they were calling with terrible call candidates. Shaun Deeb just printed money by exploiting and TID. People really do suck at PLO still.

Goals for November: Study more, get a calisthenics routine, No shot taking

❤️ Sam

I want to preface this post with noting how insanely hot I have been running to win as much as I have over the last few months playing at such low stakes and I am very well aware that my winrate shouldn't be as high as it has been, with that being said:

In my experience I always know when the downswing is coming but I just try to grind through it. Not this time!

The poker gods punished me for not sticking to the great game of PLO and after punting £20 in a NLH satellite I got cold decked on repeat until I tapped out. Top boat vs quads, NF vs SF etc. you get the idea.

I decided to go and play a different card game (MTGA) to blow off some steam and I lost 11 games in a row. I have a 65% winrate over 8k games. Yep the runbad is definitely with me. Even if it isn't I know I will be seeing monsters under the bed and tilting off stacks at the slightest bad beat until I fix my mental.

Tap tap tap tap tap I submit. See you guys in November!

Net profit (including BP + Tickets):  £913.13

 ❤️ Sam

Damn those are some cold boards. Glad you decided to move down, it's good for the mental even if you are still winning at higher stakes. GLGL

I resisted the urge to go and get dealt 10 hands per hour at the casino to put in some volume on the tables this weekend which was nice.

I even tried 9 tabling out again last night during peak hours, the stress levels are a lot higher and any loss of concentration just snowballs instantly into a backlog of decisions.

I managed 45 minutes of 9 tabling at peak hours last night which got me about 500XP. It's probably slightly +EV for me to do it if I stay on my A game but it just seems very easy to tilt off playing that many tables. I watch the other 9 tabling "regs" do it all the time.

No live cash and no donkaments this week, it's been great.

Net profit (including BP + Tickets):  £1106.92

❤️ Sam

alright cool, im on monkey tilt rn so wasn't gonna read the thread

Cash tickets don't work with the new rathole policy I can't rejoin games

DNB

Metal

Chillin

As I was starting this update I realised I have messed up math somewhere with my winnings totals so I am gonna simplify it to one figure for future updates: Net profit

I fell off of the rake race leaderboard because I joined the dark side and went to play some poker in the real world vs some live fish. The game was atrocious.

1/2 NL vs four 2/5+ regs who I know from the Vic/Hippodrome in London and one 5/10+ reg who I hadn't seen since 2018 because he has been in Macau. Everyone is back because of the pandemic and it was my first time playing live since March 2019 for the same reason so I had no idea what the game was like.  I have played in some bad 1/2 games in my life but that one takes the cake. Left after an hour and about an orbit after losing 50BBs with QQ < AA in a 3b pot to the high stakes Macau reg. In a 1/2 game in Portsmouth. Go figure.

Glad my improved discipline levels helped me to pick up from the game though, That is the first time I have ever picked up from a live game in my life! Previously When I sit a game in a casino I play until it breaks or I can't stay awake anymore.

Net profit (including BP + Tickets):  £925.71

❤️ Sam

@Rushbie Yeah the bets are still live only a couple of cheap 7:2s (the only bets I should have placed this year since id have probably taken evens tbh)

19 minutes ago, Rushbie said:

when you make a bet, self-exclude in the middle of it, and something happens to the ongoing bet? 🤔
no clue, interesting situation actually 😁
You'll need a staff response i'd guess
Take care anyway, man

I called up support and they explained the bets remain open and will be paid into the account, I just no longer have access to the interface to manage them as I have removed that from my account. Made sense to me! I am happy to still have them as they are probably the only +EV bets I have made this year lol. 

The post-smoking cough has started and it is disgusting, I won't go into any more detail than that.

Ran pretty bad yesterday but the day was saved by some absolute legend who just decided to start 4bet/calling me and only me for stacks every time I 3bet him. EVERY. TIME.  Fast foward a few hours and I managed to get out of the 5 BI hole and back into some profit.

I decided to spend my BP on a cash game ticket instead of saving them as there is no real incentive to save them other than a 2% discount on the top end playthrough bonus. Considering I will already have playthrough bonuses active by the time I purchase it, I don't really see the point.

The site going down has actually given me a chance at doing OK in the rake race this week, since the eastern european androids who usually grind 18 hours a day missed out a large chunk of playtime yesterday in their prime hours. Every cloud...

❤️ Sam

well done fixing it.

I am also missing around 150 euros after leaving cash games. I spoke to support on live chat where Tamara basically said i am talking bollocks and refused to help me. after repeating myself 10 times i gave up. Where is my money

Well, the blog run good continues. After a few nice sessions where I played & ran well I cashed out some profit and am now officially a winning player on Unibet! For now atleast. 😉

Biggest pot won (298.36BB) MP raise I call in CO, BU 3b, SB cold call, MP call, I roll a 97 and repot feeling pretty good based on opponent's frequencies. BU Jams and SB calls, I call. It turns out I was 32.69% pre so slightly +EV, I actually expected to have more than that vs non AA hands but there you go. LOLmaha

When I hit 60k XP Ill have 4500BP to spend but I am planning on saving them up for the entire quarter 

Net Unibet winnings (Year): £4,309.45

Net Unibet winnings (Lifetime):  £731.03

❤️ Sam

Nice spin up mate GL

Definitely

Humble pie! That is what I had for breakfast this morning.. Small downswing over the last few sessions to bring me back to my senses and stop being an arrogant twat. Definitely didn't play my best either and punted 80% of a stack OTR with only imaginary fold equity.

❤️ Sam

Does anyone know what happens to open bets if you self exclude? I can't check the "My bets" section

Thank you for the kind words guys, 

INTERESTING day yesterday, I woke up to news that one of my open bet's had a roster change (Fnatic) and went from evens to 2:1 so I had an extra 20 on it before the game starts. The replacement player didn't warrant that much of a change in the odds so I felt fine about. It lost. I was on tilt over the roster change. Roster changes prematch are a lot rarer in esports than in traditional sports as injuries aren't really a thing so the fact this happened pissed me off. I had another £5 bet and then a £90. Both losses.

That was the first time I've ever felt on tilt from betting sports and betting on games I had no opinion of, it will also be the last time I do it. For 6 months 😉

Fortunately, I run a lot better at card games than I do at betting on children's video games and booked a small win overall ~£50. (I'm still salty about it)

When I fired up some tables this morning I was pleasantly surprised to see all the same names from 11.30pm last night still playing at 6am with 1kbb stacks on several tables. There is absolutely nothing I like for breakfast more than the money of tired bad regs.

Biggest pot: 4b pre  to 46bb so the shortstack could rejam and reopen the betting and we squeeze the other deepstack and flip for the money, but the nit just flatted. AI On flop, easiest hold of my life     

Onwards and upwards we go! Short break to enjoy the DOTA 2 and LoL matches before recommencing the grind later tonight. I know I am a massive nerd.

❤️ Sam

BannedNit is a top class name 😄

I am officially out of the hole! And completely free from smoking! I even threw the vape in the bin and it feels F*cking good 😄

I did break one of my blog targets and on the tail end of the recent rungood I sat 100PLO for an hour.

Biggest hand in terms of BBs:

Game #1566666682: Table €25 PL - 0.10/0.25 - Pot Limit Omaha - 06:51:30 2021/10/07
*** Seated players ***
Seat 1: loserbooser (€33.46) - early bird
Seat 2: plotrix (€25.98)
Seat 3: Bongihiiri (€70.61)
Seat 4: ACRRTY (€58.77) - early bird (sitting out)
Seat 5: ButtonB (€25.15)
Seat 6: nonpareil (€73.38)
*** Blinds and button ***
plotrix has the button
Bongihiiri posts small blind €0.10
ButtonB posts big blind €0.25
*** Hole cards ***
Dealt to Bongihiiri [Jc Jh Kd 2s]
Dealt in ButtonB
Dealt to nonpareil [8s Js Qc 9c]
Dealt in loserbooser
Dealt in plotrix
*** Preflop ***
nonpareil raises €0.85 to €0.85
loserbooser calls €0.85
plotrix folds
Bongihiiri calls €0.75
ButtonB raises €4 to €4.25
nonpareil calls €3.40
loserbooser calls €3.40
Bongihiiri calls €3.40
*** Flop *** [Jd Tc 7c]
Bongihiiri bets €17
ButtonB folds
nonpareil raises €68 to €68
loserbooser folds
Bongihiiri calls €49.36, and is all-in
Uncalled bet returned to nonpareil: €1.64
*** Showdown ***
*** Turn *** [Jd Tc 7c] [Kh]
*** River *** [Jd Tc 7c] [Kh] [6h]
Bongihiiri shows [Jc Jh Kd 2s], Three of a kind, Jacks
nonpareil shows [8s Js Qc 9c], A Straight
nonpareil wins €147.22
*** Summary ***
Total pot €149.72 Rake €2.50
Seat 1: loserbooser: bet €4.25 and won €0, net result: €-4.25
Seat 3: Bongihiiri: bet €70.61 and won €0, net result: €-70.61
Seat 5: ButtonB: bet €4.25 and won €0, net result: €-4.25
Seat 6: nonpareil: bet €72.25 and won €148.86, net result: €76.61

Biggest hand in terms of £££:

Game #1567063551: Table €100 PL - 0.50/1.00 - Pot Limit Omaha - 22:19:49 2021/10/07
*** Seated players ***
Seat 1: dachriiii (€145.31)
Seat 2: Jamesbodman (€254.23)
Seat 4: 5amba (€101)
Seat 5: SikaRillo (€100)
Seat 6: plopedro (€226.16)
*** Blinds and button ***
5amba has the button
SikaRillo posts small blind €0.50
plopedro posts big blind €1
*** Hole cards ***
Dealt in SikaRillo
Dealt to plopedro [Qh Jh Tc Ts]
Dealt in dachriiii
Dealt in Jamesbodman
Dealt to 5amba [9c Ah 9d Jc]
*** Preflop ***
dachriiii folds
Jamesbodman folds
5amba raises €3.50 to €3.50
SikaRillo folds
plopedro raises €10 to €11
5amba calls €7.50
*** Flop *** [Qc Td 9h]
plopedro bets €11.25
5amba calls €11.25
*** Turn *** [Qc Td 9h] [Kc]
plopedro bets €22.50
5amba raises €78.75 to €78.75, and is all-in
plopedro calls €56.25
*** Showdown ***
*** River *** [Qc Td 9h] [Kc] [4d]
5amba shows [9c Ah 9d Jc], A Straight, Ace high
plopedro shows [Qh Jh Tc Ts], A Straight, King high
5amba wins €199.50
*** Summary ***
Total pot €202.50 Rake €3
Seat 4: 5amba: bet €101 and won €199.50, net result: €98.50
Seat 5: SikaRillo: bet €0.50 and won €0, net result: €-0.50
Seat 6: plopedro: bet €101 and won €0, net result: €-101

I have 5 esports bets open on the account for a max return of ~£200 (2 of which win or lose today) Other than that it is back to the grindstone! Low stakes grinding to minimise the chances of redepositing and DEFINITELY no sitting higher than 50. 

Thanks for reading! The next update will be when I either have to redeposit or hit £400 on the account.

❤️ Sam

Oh go on then seeing as its a flip 😛