Groggy

Awesome. The draw format was nice and sweaty. Will see if I can keep up the run good and take flip Santa down 🙂

9 more Santa's to bring it to 19 Santa's total:

10 Santa's:

Managed to get into the €1000 Hexapro jackpot game where the chips went in preflop three way first hand. I came 3rd but was awarded 2nd place money. I assume the player 'Bolennert' was paid third placed money despite coming 2nd.

We've gone from myth to exception, we're making progress. What your saying isn't fact it's just speculation. I play here as my second site, taking advantage of promotions such as the hexapro one. There will be guys playing here who play exclusively on Unibet and clear $100,000 a year.

I play here and I also play 'professionally for a living' so I'm afraid your wrong there. I also personally know 2 pro's who became millionaires through poker, one of who won an online tournament for $780,000 earlier this year. I also know at least 3 more pros who clear $100,000 every year. You can stick to your opinion if you'd rather stay in denial, but I assure you it is wrong.

I think the game lab is a good little feature. There should be an average all in equity feature and the 'Bad Beat' feature should be based on the equity you got it in with. Some of the hexapro advice is technically wrong (regs play a heavy limp strategy shallow and defend much wider shallow than suggested) but is useful for recreationals which is who it's aimed at.

So much of what you say is wrong. It feels like you're building this false narrative because you weren't able to make it as a pro. Assuming there are no huge winners just because you aren't a huge winner is incredibly arrogant and naïve. There are still huge winners; you just have to be significantly better than you did pre-solvers. The gap between the best and the worst players has never been bigger. I personally worry about poker sites ability to retain new customers because of how big the gap is; players new to the game often get destroyed, get disheartened and give up. If a little feature like the game lab bothers you it says much more about your own game than anything else. Anything that keeps new players in the game longer is good, regardless of whether they turn into crushers down the line or not.

As described it sounds like it could be. Seems like an odd thing to collude in though, I don't see how the profit margins are there. Rake on one hexapro is just under 7%, so nearly 14% extra for 2 people. If my math is right they need the third player to only have around 20% itm to be in profit, (excluding rakeback) which seems ambitious.

+1 to this. I keep checking the promo's waiting for something to stick my teeth into to put in lots of volume on unibet. A 5 man SnG or Hexapro promo (the guaranteed jackpots) would be wonderful. I like the MTT series leaderboard promo's too but unfortunately missed the start of this one!

Sorry to hear you feel ready to quit. Maybe you'll feel differently after some time off. First of all your set up is an absolute disaster, there is no way you are going to get the best results playing like that. Invest in a second monitor and tile, you want to be able to see all the tables at all times. I don't think anybody could play there A game with that mess. Secondly some of what your doing is bad, which is a good thing as it means you can improve your results. Your ranges are off. You are limping hands in the sb that cannot be limped profitably without antes like j6o. Even if you can turn it into a smidge of profit by limping the attention you need to give it isn't worth it. You are just playing too many hands preflop. Opening hands like T9o utg. It just can't make profit. You shouldn't even open that from cut off, ever. Your ranges are so far off and it really isn't a hard fix to study some charts and copy them. Defending hands like A7o in the bb 3 way is another spot you're going to lose money. Flops too poorly, dominated too often. 4 minutes 5 seconds. Jto hand. Why are you betting here and for a big size? 15 minute 45 seconds, why are you bet calling off here with 86? 35 minutes a player pots utg and you defend bb A9o. How are you going to defend that profitably? Maybe you are missing spots to play more exploit. One example is you have AA in the sb 5bb deep, you jam and get a fold. Why not limp and let him spaz, or flop a worse piece/ bluff off post. You need to play more solid ranges. Especially with the table count, it's better to err on the side of tight than play some of the hands your playing. Your ICM play seemed good from flicking through. The issue is your playing stakes where some players don't care at all about ICM, which makes a max pressure ICM strategy less good than it would be in 10s/25s. Play more solid ranges and you'll do fine. Some of the preflop and postflop is bad so there is room for improvement. You can definitely make money from poker. It is something you could do as a side income/ profitably hobby. I'm not sure if it's the right fit for you full time. If you upload more gameplay you should do it of where you are playing a comfortable amount of tables to watch and an amount where you should be playing your A game .

It might be worth investing in a decent training course. I wouldn't be able to recommend you one from personal experience though. The awkward part is MTT courses will have ranges that are adjusted for antes, and cash courses ones will be too deepstacked to be as spot on when 50bb deep etc.

If you intend to play Unibet SnG's a lot, it would be worth polishing your deeper stack ranges. For example ATo, 3betting sb vs hijack is not ever going to be a thing here at equilbirium. When I looked at my friend's upswing poker ranges before for 100bb, ATo was a low frequency 3bet small blind vs button, 20% I think it was. Assuming I haven't completely misremembered then that would mean it would be played 0% small blind vs cut off, making 3betting it small blind vs hijack quite a large preflop mistake. If you are off here by 2 positions, from what is low frequency anyway then It is likely you are making a lot of other large preflop mistakes without realising. Error's like that are going to stack up if your ranges are off and it'll negatively impact your win rate and also increase the variance. From memory when we went for the SnG promo, your game was significantly better shallower than it was deep. I was guessing a lot on ICM as I've never studied it, so you would have had an edge over me in ICM spots. But I did super well over the promotional period and you had a disappointing time. I think a lot of my win rate over the field was from deeper stacked play, exploits against the pool and from heads up. I am sure you are running bad, but really you should be decimating these games, and be profitable even when running bad, over any kind of semi reasonable sample.

You've gone from one extreme to the other. Mass tabling every 25, 50 and 100 that would run for the promotion, to just grinding the €4 stake. I played with you a lot over the promotion, you're better than playing €4 as your max stake and you know it. Playing €4 as your max stake feels to me more like an attempt to limit how bad a losing session can be as opposed to an earnest attempt at grinding out profit. I would be very surprised if your current strategy would net you the most profit over time as opposed to grinding at least 10's and probably 25's as well. You won €5500 (excluding rakeback) over a 20k sample on party last year, at average stake €12.50 and stated you felt you ran very badly to only win that. I believe Party SnG's are significantly more shallow, so your edge should be larger on unibet. You say you don't have a winning history at 25's on here yet. I think you can attribute that to a combination of bad luck and mass tabling high volume during the SnG promo.

It seems like after your swingy run higher you have the mentality of trying to not lose which is going to cost you a lot of money long term. Day to day results are irrelevant if you're rolled for the games you're playing. You need to open yourself up to getting smashed every now and again in the short term to make more long term. A 5% roi at 4s is the same profit per game as 2% at 10s and 0.8% at 25s. At best 4's should be games you can autopilot on the side for ev while focusing on the bigger games. You're investing in your edge long term when you grind SnG's, so why bother about short term.

Hi Dennis. Have you considered that playing your normal style and shoving ICM approved ranges is a mistake at the limits your playing. The Q8s hand for example you could easily find a limp and play post. When opponent's make big ICM call mistakes, which they will in abundance at those stakes, it affects the ev of both players in the hand negatively even if you played it properly. Play more exploitatively.

I'd prefer to use my upcoming bonuses as SnG/ MTT tickets.

There is no science to finding the perfect amount of tables, just do what feels right for you/ what you enjoy.

This data tells you absolutely nothing. Of course you're going to have bad results in the SnG you bust first out of 4 and good results in the one you're in longest, which is deeper/hu by the time you're out the others. Also the sample you are worried about is so tiny its irrelevant. Don't divide your games up like this, just look at your overall ROI.

What is there to resolve? What you described sounds like a good ICM strategy by your opponent. To stop him doing this you either need to put chips in the pot and fold to a shove, win an all in vs him or jam into the away players bb until the away player busts.

The guy renowned for his books on ICM plays a hand ultra nitty on a bubble, who'd have thought! I can see why you shared these hands though, from the outside they do look pretty strange. Seeing the QT river check back actually hurts my soul a little bit. Dara is an ICM expert. It would be pretty off-brand for him to risk his ambassadorship and reputation in the poker community for a few euros. I think he would figure that might be slightly -ev.

I like your take on it. Pity we'll probably never know their thought processes.

Those hands are fun. I can make guesses on what is happening in most of them but obviously it's quite a few levels above me! I think what is happening in the first hand is that OTB is using tens without a heart as one of the most efficient turn bluff raises. His hand has really good blockers to JT and AT which LLinus is always putting stacks in with, and it's a fairly efficient bluff in that it has 4 outs to the nuts and 2 outs to a hand that is going to win often. Holding tens reduces LLinus' strongest value combos a lot when LLinus has all offsuit versions of those hands in his range. Maybe he expects to get instant folds from some of LLinus' weaker Ax on the turn. If he expects some of these to fold, when LLinus calls and the king rolls off and LLinus shoves, he might discount a lot Ax from LLinus's range. (or possibly doesn't expect Ax to shove river for value) so when he faces a jam thinks LLinus has enough bluffs (potentially T6h-T9h, J7h-J9h, 54h, 53h, 43h) to profitably call now when he only needs to win 20% of the time, even though originally it was a bluff. For value maybe he figures LLinus only has JT, KQ, some AQ but not all, possibly some KJ KT stuff. I have no idea if LLinus is supposed to value shove a bare ace here. If your LLinus with a hand like AT here, what are you expecting to call you if you shove for value? Maybe LLinus does shove any Ax, and maybe tens can still profitably call, you could probably count the combos. Also one thing to consider is LLinus is an absolute GTO machine, so he is probably going to find an perfect bluffing frequency to balance out his value range (unless he is going for an exploit), so when you have a hand that blocks LLinus' value and unblocks his bluffs, it's probably one you have to call.

Guess I'll offer my 2 cents on the hands seeing as you posted them. The Q8 get it in for value is interesting. The dynamics heads up provides can be interesting. It worked for him this time but seems overly ambitious to me. I don't think you get owned, he just finds your lightest ever jam here with a hand he shouldn't have. I think flatting in position and playing turns makes sense with your hand. It's nice to have a natural bluff with a hand that has no connectivity with the board so that you can still find bluffs on cards like 6s, 9s, tens, jacks that are gonna connect with you a lot, and it's also a hand that isn't really that sad to fold on the turn facing a bet. Also when you jam and get called you probably only 30% vs his range, maybe even a touch less if he shows a lot of better fds. Lovely being shown a bluff in the A9 hand, but think you get a touch lucky here. Villain's bluff is good and he uses a good combo. When you're bluffcatching having a 9 is a pretty bad card as it's a card that's frequently in his bluffing range and never in his value range. (95, 96, t9, j9) I honestly would just fold turn and get bluffed, but nice that it worked out. Seeing him show this combo isn't proof of an overbluff and if his frequencies are reasonable your call down is going to be losing quite a lot imo.

Unlucky on the downswing. I actually watched the full podcast and found it super interesting. His mental game was really impressive and I think it should be comforting to you about how he talks about how standard going on 100+ buy in downswings is. One thing that kind of surprised me is the figures he eluded to. He kind of implied he'd expect to make in the 160-200k usd range by the end of the year. That's obviously a lot of money but that seemed kind of low to me, for the 'best' SnG player in the world who has to endure some wild ups and downs. He also puts in some ridiculous volume by the sounds of it.