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jerry

Group: Four Of A Kind
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Everything posted by jerry

  1. I have those three to win the tournament all with more than 15 odds. I will be freakin pissed if Federer win. He was also more than 10 before the tournament, but i thought eehh he is too old for this s h i t. And then the AO 2017 happens...So, what do you think guys? Is Federer now the biggest favorite?? Wawrinka looks fit so it should be enough, but i thought exactly the same with Nishikori, so what do i know lol
  2. Results of those two matches are simply unbelievable. Murray lose 6;2 and 6;4 in 3rd and 4th. Just big LOL. I mean older Zverev was regarded in his younger years same as younger brother now, but since then he was challenger level and even there he wasnt top player like for example king Berloq. My father says that now it will Federer win :D, cant say that i could much argue there. He can lose maybe to Wawrinka, maybe Nadal. Its really interesting who wins.
  3. If only Svitolina and Jankovic would win i would take like all of my bets today :waterfall:. Jankovic 7:9 with 50yeard old Sveta, not sure what to think about this :annoyed:. Had her with Cristea and Evans so it would be nice odd. And with Svitolina i was thinking maybe over in gems, or in sets even is a better choice. But in Svitolina accumulator i had also 3.5 sets in Berdych match, and it looks like Berdych already melted 🤣, so... I see Sevastova is an Austrian now Laugh:
  4. C'mon Nadal certainly has a shot at winning since Djoko is out (with Istomin of all people lol never would have guessed it). Naddal look to me focus, his strokes bears resemblance to the old ones and probably he is finally fit (i dont think he was 100% fit in NY). If that is the true odd of 15 on him is value (now is 11). Same with Wawrinka (placed odd 15 now is 7). When he was winning two slams he had always matches when he was a small thread from elimination. He can make four 5sets matches and still win this slam. Raonic, well i dont think he will ever win slam :), but i also placed a bet of him to win since it was 17 odd (now is 7). Most probably Murray will win it though, but betting on him is 0 value for me. With women, how do you think people if there is a small chance that someone outside top 4(for now in slam) will win it? I mean all those odds of over 20. Maybe Svitolina at 21, Timea at 81 :d:D. Muguruza is certainly unpredictable and with 11 on her there is some value. Pliskova is 5 and she looked great so far, but Serena or Kerber can sleepwalk through slam and still won it.
  5. First day i was on fire, but after that.... How on earth Isner lose to Zverev?? Why Bublik doesnt even get one set with Jaziri??? To be honest i like tennis of Jaziri, his strokes/movement but he is always so out of shape that you can't treat him seriously. Minotaur with Querrey should also make at least one set. I made some money on Seppi (but at the end i bet some on Kyrgios too), but still i was unlucky in two fold with him and with Harrison (i had also 3fold Bublik/Seppi/Harrison, that would be like 60 odd). Also Estrella one set was pretty good bet, since i even thought he can beat him, some unlucky balls in two tiebreaks and thats it. Pretty much Harrison is in form of his life and he isnt taking not even one set from pretty ordinarly (as always lol) playing Berdych (i make the prediction that he will be out before quarters). What i have seen if Harrison closed that unlucky 2nd set he could have shot for a win, instead he immediately folded. Mental monkey as always. Im also dissapointed in Rubin, that he didnt take many chances to win one or two sets with Federer. Oh and i didnt bet on Evans win 😠, only that he take one set. Strange cause he is in form of his life and Cilic looked pretty bad against Janowicz. I dont know i thought he would be tired or something.
  6. I had good night today. Thank you for minotaur. Some other bet i won yesterday, i guess i was lucky with Vanni here :) http://imgur.com/a/JQnJ6 Why i didnt bet +1.5 sets on Janowicz and Kuznetsov???? http://imgur.com/a/0Jkd4 Was pretty sure that Cuevas match will be a long one lol http://imgur.com/a/anNlt I played those at singles too, but in 2fold it would be a megawin.Shame. http://imgur.com/a/kgvOI Was pretty sure i won that cause i saw over 40 gems in Lorenzi match, then i saw it was only 4 sets.
  7. Harrison was like the next best thing in US tennis years ago (he had a brother does he?). Along with mug Donald Young lol. Last year he wasnt that bad, especially good run in Toronto masters, when in 3rd round he almost beat Berdych and also third round of US Open, where he beat in 2nd round Raonic. And in both of this tournaments he went all the way from qualifications. Now without qualification he could make some life changing result :). Lately he took one set from Sock, who is at least quarter final AO material, and he beat Garcia Lopez who is exactly Mahut caliber. So, i totally understand the odds here, and IMO its at best flip, but with all the information i fancy Harrison a bit more, even if Mahut is bad matchup for him. It should be 4/5sets, over in gems also.
  8. I always pick the wrong ones lol http://imgur.com/a/cQlCV http://imgur.com/a/maqu1
  9. That remind me of a story i read on Reddit. Won an online poker tourney for around 20k, immediately went and played high stakes heads up to just see how good the pros were.gg.
  10. Shame that Niculescu didnt happen...I had a lot of combinations with those. Mott/Niculescu/1setwinEvans, Mott/1setwinNiculescu/Evans, double Mott 2;0 and Niculescu 2;0 etc...It should be my night lol. And ofcourse single on Mott, IMO odds should be other way around here, or at least 1.90 Mott, 1.70 Kamke.
  11. There was a time yesterday that i thought that i can win all of my bets, and i had a few. First Nolan lose by a thread. Its ok, its only valuebet, shame but you can move on. Then Bagnis collapsed :wow:. He was 4-1 in 3rd and yet he lose with very awkward technically Kleiin (his is like the worst from those hundred mostly average US players lol - and on other note board deosnt allow me to post name Kleiin here lol its says it doesnt allow messages in other languages WTF??). Then Khachanov missed about 100 chances to finish off Lu, and he lose with two very close tiebreaks. WTF? But he is young maybe thats why. Then Klizan picked injury or tanked, whatever, and both singles over in match and bet on his win was void (f#$ck!). Then Almagro never showed up (with M.Zverev you lose 6;4 6;2, really????). And finally small profit on Granollers, but damn, it was so close in 2nd set...Today i will pick only 4-5fold, and thats it im going to sleep. I've had enough for while LOL.
  12. LOL Bagnis was down like 5;1 in tiebreak 2nd set and he still won it. Maybe he will murder that match now. With Nolan its massive valuebet. Melzer cant be that much of favorite, certainly not on hard. I bet on odd 9.5 after Nolan was down 1;0 in the third. Even then at this odd it is 50/50 flip. And they prove me right in second gem when Nolan break serve of Melzer. 50/50 flip even when someone will lead 5;4 with serve :) . This is typical match when you can score 9.5 odd on both players :D
  13. Fognini is damn monkey. Whole 2 sets he is slightly better, but always at the end freakin meltdown. I really hate betting on him, he is such a mental looser. That was 100%, right? :laugh: I placed this with 4.50 odd, after Fognini led 15;0, just to be able to get return from Fognini/Lorenzi/Brown 3fold...
  14. I will try today over 21.5 in Pliskova-Svitolina (have my doubts cause one of them could be tired, but i give this bet like 70%, cause it should be made within 2 sets also), and that Bedene will beat that lazy monkey Paire. This culd be even match, but i really see here even easy match for Bedene (thats why i dont play over in here), but occasionaly Paire is quite the player, i hope not today. Bedene beat better players and is in better form (statistically at least ) than his opponent so i pick him for 2.18.
  15. Ist hard to believe but when i post yesterday over in match Nadal-Zverev i thought it was Alexander not Mischa 🤫😠 And i freakin knew that Zverev played Federer, but still i thought Nadal is playing Alexander cause i know Mischa is challenger level and in ATP he rarely participate and thats it my mind was made on it and i didnt even check. Its so stupid lol Here my bet after adjustment :d:D http://imgur.com/a/Kfmua Unfortunately Olivo was very and i men VERY bad today and Youzhny was not even little tired. Nothing worked for frenchman, he looked to me even hangover or something. Dont get me start on Karlovic lol. What was his first serve percentage today? 20%? Maybe his age is finally catching with him.
  16. 4fold with over in Nadal/Klizan/Cibulkova/Goerges overall its 11,70 All four should be close 3 sets matches, in Goerges Wozniacki there is only 19.5 line so they should cover it in 2 sets also. Olivo/Karlovic/Strycova overall 10.70 Olivo with Youzhny and its 3.00 on him. IMO Youzhny is long gone, this match is at best 50/50, and for me its Olivo the slight favorite. Youzhny is more experienced but i think Olivo is good to try. Karlovic with Verdasco who beat Goffin its 2.00. Verdasco almost always when win big match in next is shadow of himself. Even if not Karlovic is very bad matchup for him, cause with his laps of concentration, double faults he easily will lose two,three service gems and with Karlovic we all know he probably wont lose any. Dont see Verdasco win that. You gave very hard tips for tomorrow, for me most of them are 50/50 flips 😏. Ofcourse im not as good as you, so maybe will they all be won, but i just dont like it. Sock in Hopman was year ago very good and Kyrgios is for me a bit unpredictable when he play more relaxed. Sveta-Muguruza flip, for me its 40-60. I like Brengle Ostapenko, usually someone who win big in next match cant bring himself to that form. Konjuh Osaka its a value for sure cause odds should be other way around or at least 50/50 but i dont like to bet on Konjuh :). Hradecka-Vecino, Hradecka can be very good and very bad, it changes by the day i just dont play on her with odds lower than 2.60 :happy:. Klizan Beden clear flip for me, and Klizan stands higher in my hierarchy 😉. Good luck.
  17. Great tips as always. Heres some mine for tomorrow. Kohlschreiber-Almagro 1 (1.53) Cheung-sela 1 (1.54) karlovic-Khachanov 1 (1.67) Carballes Baena - Moutet 1 (Moutet is a 17 year old boy, probably great talent but he never won with someone like Carballes, there is 1.38 on carballes and IMO its free money, but who knows lol) And im looking for upsets for tomorrow. I quite like to bet against grandpa Stepanek, but De Greef has pretty poor record on hard so probably i need to see some points there. Other ones, maybe Troicki with Wawrinka only cause Wawrinka likes to tank tournaments before Open. Krstin-De Schepper 1 2.82, De Schepper record when he is a clear favorite is 50% at best so its good value here. 2.77 on Zverev with Federer could also be good bet, Zverev style doesnt suit Federer one bit. Maybe Brown could upset Tsonga? With good first serve he certainly can, but his serve is rarely good and he makes crucial double faults, so im torn here :).
  18. I need 376 points for 3k milestone. I played just now 2e unibet open and 1e bounty and its up only 30 points. So, 2e is 20points and 1e is 10points? From what i see rake in cash games doesnt count, only challenges? Thx for help.
  19. There is some Uhlenpoker freeroll tomorrow. How can i get password for it?
  20. So, this 2000 was tonights freeroll? Was this some kind of twitch freeroll? It seems that i miss all the fun. I spend all my time today playing cash and i missed it. Anything for tomorrow? Where i can find info abou tthose things? 🆒
  21. Yeah it was very close i usually avoid that kind of matches, but sometimes you need to gamble some :cash:. Not sure why i wasnt betting here a over of games or 3 setter though, it was pretty much a sure thing 😉. Maybe it wasnt offered at Unibet...
  22. A bit flip encounter, but i also think Tsitsipas will win. 😃
  23. And today was another Saturday Stack cancellation. Maybe at the weekend :)
  24. Anyone had problems in using Saturday Stacks tickets? I have 5 of them and whenever i im able to play them (they are only 1 time a day at 18CET) the tourney is cancelled. It happend also yesterday cause there were only 2 people including myself.
  25. Just finished 6th in Sam Grafton (phantom5) freeroll and man im dissapointed :teardrop:. Was a chip leader and then surprise, suprise all i've got is Q2,k3,25, and virtually almost every combination with 2. I lost with two shortstacks with those and then magic happend and i've got 1010 on SB. No one cheks so i jam and BB checks and its 1010<AK and last hand J9<KJ and i had 9 on the flop then magic river with K. Was lucky earlier with AQ>AK but still podium was at the fingertips.
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