Angellike

@WuDu In hindsight, potentially hard to understand my post...

If I had to bet I'd go with the under. But I won't bet, unless someone provides some evidence that I am unaware of.

- Not being a starting player,

- Munchen not having that many 10+ goalscorers,

- He's a bit of an unknown as he hasn't had regular playing time since the World Cup basically,

---> Probably u9.5. But I would need better odds to consider the 9.5 line (somewere between 2.2-2.35)

But since you mention an injury and S.A. WC qualifiers perhaps that's the information needed. Have you placed a bet?

Re the J. Rodriguez bet, my feeling is 'keep away'. I think it's very hard to find reasons making it a value bet either way.

He is probably not going to feature in the staring 11 (unless he is great when given the chance, but that risk/chance is the same for everyone), not going to be taking free-kicks or penalites. On the other hand Bayern are so vastly superior everyone might get O9.5 ;) Unless one can find a better reason for either case I would try and invest my money elsewere. 

Checked the 16/17 stats --> any player over 1350 mins (15 + 90) in an attacking(ish) position:

Alcantara 6
Ribery 5 (in 1241 mins)
Martinez 1
Robben 13
Costa 4
Alonso 3
Vidal 9
Kimmich 6
Lew 30
Muller 5
----------------------------

Based on those numbers I would lean toward u9.5. I'd prefer u8.5 or even 7.5 at 2.50 and 3.50 respectivally (very quick calculation).