CuteRaven Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Depends a lot on the type of player. I'm going to assume the bet sizes were all half pot.Likely handtypes in range imo:-Villain could have something like A4s/54s or A3s sometimes (or more similar hands if they are loose)-Quads and 77 are a thing of course-Villain could have a flush a sometimes. Some players would also check back river with a flush because they feel like they would not be called much by worse.-Villain could have a bluff like a missed straight draw with a club blocker or the ace of clubs.Unlikelier handtypes:-Villain could have an overpair but probably not because it seems a bit ambitious to go for 3 streets-I don't think most players would bet a 7 on the river-56 is a thing but most players would check back riverIt's hard to know how much of each hand category villain has here because different players play their ranges so differently. Depends a lot on playing style reads imo. I think I would fold it against a tighter opponent. You have no club and you have basically a bluffcatcher. Or maybe since you have no club and you block pocket 77 and also QQ and block no draws you could target flushes with a bluffjam sometimes :P. I think raising the flop sometimes with this hand is also fine against players who range cbet since you have a good hand that blocks no draws.IDK thats basically how I would approach the spot (at least if I had time to think it through) :P 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 21, 2020 Author Share Posted March 21, 2020 25€ 5 Max ROI after 1401 games: -0,2%25€ Headsup ROI after 930 games: -2% My 5 Max results seem to be very close to breaking through to positive numbers. Headsup remains a free fall.If there is one good thing about this downswing it is the fact that it motivates me to study hard. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 22, 2020 Author Share Posted March 22, 2020 @Dennis_ wrote: 25€ 5 Max ROI after 1370 games: -0,5% Running a bit better today. I was rather unpleasantly surprised by the fact that my ROI hasn´t turned positive yet. It just felt like more but any win has to be good enough for now. What are your thoughts on this hand?Villain makes a small openraise and I defend the BB. He bets the flop and I call. He bets the turn and I call. He bets the river. I ?What range do you put him on?I know it´s subideal to not know the bet sizes but you all know how crappy the Unibet hand replayer is😉My thoughts: While 44, 33 and 77 make perfect sense they only make up very few combinations. A4s makes sense as well. A3s probably doesn´t barrel the turn and might not even bet the flop. A3o and A4o are not hands you should be opening from the CO. My range includes countless boats so I doubt he is valuebetting overpairs, Toppairs or even flushes here. He could turn random broadways into a bluff here, I guess. We are getting 2 to 1, so we only have to be right 1 in 3 times. he had Kc5c 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 22, 2020 Author Share Posted March 22, 2020 I took advantage of the unusually good weather today and paid a visit to a local hill.I had planned the go up the mountain seen at 0:17 tomorrow. Given that my area is hardly affected by coronavirus and the fact that I wouldn´t run into a lot of people I think it is still "moral" to do so. However the buses will operate on a reduced schedule starting tomorrow, which poses a real problem. So I will have to cancel the trip until the situation allows for it again. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuteRaven Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Lol. Pretty funny that they bet a flush. If they were a multitabler it's possible that they misread the board. Otherwise pretty overvaluey play. Unless they had some sort of sick soulread that they could still get value because they think you would have raised/lead any 4 on the turn and folded a three on the turn. I understand the call as well because it is true that you should have more fullhouses in your range at least based on preflop ranges.Beautiful scenery you have nearby :D. I went walking in my local city woods today but it felt really crowded, probably because of the Corona. And yes, I think going outside is still moral :P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 22, 2020 Author Share Posted March 22, 2020 25€ 5 Max ROI after 1463 games: 0,5%😀25€ Headsup ROI after 938 games: -1,8% Poker is an easy game if things go your way. Today´s session was basically the exact opposite of what I am used to. It feels great to finally see a positive ROI again. Tomorrow will be a day off. I might go up Mynydd Mawr after all. Depends on whether my bus line is affected by the limitations or not. I will report here if I do. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 Here we go I followed Boris´ request to avoid contact with other people. There were only five other people on the mountain and almost nobody in the bus. But given how people act in more urban areas of the country I think it is rather likely that there will be some restrictions in movement soon. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Just found your blog, as I've also started with 5 mans and finding them somewhat of a good grinding place at 4's, albeit maybe running hot (20%+ ROI) although not necessarily feeling it. Would be curious how 10's are as compared to 4s.Anyway, re the hand below, Q7o is too wide to defend in the bb even 40bb deep. As you played it, the flop call is alright, but it's a fold on the turn. At that point we can narrow down villain range to 77+, suited connectors + an undercard to yours has doubled up (since you block the 7s) and a flush has been completed. At half pot bet it just looks like he's value betting you and your hand is too weak to continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rushbie Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Man, those are some cool views 🆒 Can only wish to have the opportunity some day to live near such places.. GL to your games as well @Dennis_ , hang in there when it starts to rain straight to the face 👍 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 @CasuallyAwesome 20% ROI is definitely not sustainable 😏 What is your sample size?There are a few more regs at 10s but it´s not that different. Thanks for your thoughts on my hand. What are you defending against a 2,5x open raise here and what against 2x? As played I agree that the turn should be a fold. Too many hands have overtaken me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 I look at it this way, cash game 100BB defending vs CO is 22+, T9o+, suited connectors, K2s+, Q7s+, A2o+, naturally at 30-60bb I'd narrow those down a bit and expand/narrow depending on the raiser's position. It also depends on your confidence in playing those hands postflop. Personally, I tend to be on the nittier side, since I feel my edge comes from short stack play and heads-up. Therefore, when I play a hand, I should have a range advantage (which tbh has happened pretty frequently as villains tend to play too loose, with weaker Ax and Kx).Re 2x vs 2.5x, I generally wouldn't consider them differently unless I have specific reads on villains. Yes, you obviously do get better odds vs 2x, but nowadays smaller raises are more frequent, so I don't adjust too much my ranges (although I am aware of the counter arguments). Personally I 2x 80% of the time, the rest being mostly isolating specific villains which I consider calling stations, with stronger holdings and a very small percentage of limping for set mining.So far I've only done ~130 games, trying to do 30 per day 6 tabling x 5 mini sessions :) But I think my winrate comes a lot from winning HU games all in all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 P.S. since I can't edit my post, good job on hitting a positive ROI on the 25s :DL.E.@FreedoM I'm blind, thanks haha! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreedoM Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 @CasuallyAwesome wrote: P.S. since I can't edit my post, good job on hitting a positive ROI on the 25s :DYou can Edit by clicking on the 3 dots near your profile. :happyshy: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GR1ZZL3R Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 @Dennis_ Some great shots there, I live outside a large town but have no transport at the moment so basically local walks round flat fields and small woods, I can almost smell the fresh air there. 😃 1 "It turns out that 75% of all poker players think they play better than the other 75%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 @CasuallyAwesome I think that´s a bit too tight. You have to defend the BB really wide. Tonkaaaa once said that some highstakes regs even defend 100% of their BBs vs minraises and I have seen that on 25s as well. I am not that confident playing total crap like 92o so I do fold the botton 20% or so but underdefending the BB is a common leak.I had a ROI between 8% and 9% on 4s over 1.000 games and your results would only be the higher end of the 70% confidence interval so expect a drop. But it is still a very good result so congratulation @GR1ZZL3R Boris just announced the lockdown so the daytrips are off for the time being 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 @Dennis_ Yeah, I am defo on the nitty side, however not quite sure whether it's a leak or not (i.e. whether It's burning money or not, at least at these stakes where fold button is sometimes forgotten). Anyway, I've actually been looking for updated SNG materials and haven't really found much. I've taken the OP Poker spins course which applies really well in later stages of the sng, but other than that I haven't seen good material yet. Do you usually study anything currently? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 @CasuallyAwesome There isn´t too much good material out there. But have you looked into TeamNeverLucky or Bencb? I think however the single most important thing is ICM training with a program like ICMIZER 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 24, 2020 Share Posted March 24, 2020 @Dennis_ Yeah, I guess bencb's course on 6 max hypers would apply, but it's so expensive at $200... at least for me. Have you taken it yet?Btw, re ROI's, I was also thinking that if 6 max hyper people on stars/party achieve 10% roi, on these 5 max slow turbo's it should be possible to achieve more tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 24, 2020 Author Share Posted March 24, 2020 10% ROI on hypers? Where have you heard that?I haven´t bought the course but there are some free videos on youtube Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 24, 2020 Share Posted March 24, 2020 For example: https://www.sharkscope.com/#Player-Statistics//networks/PartyPoker/players/GitAndSosHis filtered results at 5$ on party are ~10% if I remember well - he also streams on twitch, that's how I know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 24, 2020 Author Share Posted March 24, 2020 That is an impressive result indeedKeep in mind though that 4700 games still allow for a fair bit of variance, here is a simulation: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brocky Posted March 24, 2020 Share Posted March 24, 2020 Not a chance any reg has that at the $10s+, I played a few the other day and the games had 5+ regs because of the leaderboards and RB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CasuallyAwesome Posted March 24, 2020 Share Posted March 24, 2020 Yeah, think $5 is still populated a lot by rec players, higher up the situation changes significantly. He started reging $10's exclusively, but I'm honestly not sure of his results there, nor sample size (and I dont have sharkscope pro to filter). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dennis_ Posted March 25, 2020 Author Share Posted March 25, 2020 25€ 5 Max ROI after 1540 games: 0,8%25€ Headsup ROI after 952 games: -1,6% Slighty disappointing as it felt like more but a plus anyway. The hand of the day: Villain is a loose/passive recreational who limps. I raise to 3,5BB and he calls. I cbet the flop and he call. I check the turn, he bets and I call. I check the river and he bets 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuteRaven Posted March 25, 2020 Share Posted March 25, 2020 Depends how loose the player is postflop imo. Do they seem like the sort of player who would bet a queen on the river? If they do bet a queen for value a call is probably good. You have pretty terrible blockers though. You unblock clubs, J9, stuff like JT and you block hands like AQ (if AQ plays this way pre which might be unlikely idk).If they would not bet a queen I guess this is just fine to fold because of the terrible blockers. Unless the opponent is quite loose postflop and bluffs a ton. I don't know if folding could be right even if villain bets a few of their best queens in some cases because of the terrible blockers.Also the bet is conveniently "small" with the bet that barely covers your stack. If they tank bet like that (meaning they put thought into their bet sizing) I would be very scared XD.You need to win 25% of the time so not the worst to call though I guess.Nice that you are finally running ok! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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