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Whoever

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  1. Whoever

    NBA

    Looks like i got freebet aswell. šŸ˜ƒ
  2. I guess it seems that under 4 we have similar situation where in one week this works nicely and in the following week miserably and then repeats that way probably until the last week of the season :wonder: On sunday in Meistriliiga: Kalju - Tammeka 14:00 CET Kalju -2 AH @1.81 Kalju is still unbeaten in the league but they've drawn last 2 games so it's about time for them to start winning unless they want to make title challenge way more intresting. They've also won 13 of the 15 home leaguegames so far this season and in 9 of them they won by 2+ goals. Tammeka meanwhile have won just 6 of the 17 awaygames with losing 9 incl most recent 4. Although they've lost nearly half awaygames then in just 4 they lost by 2 or more goals so they can defend obviously. I'd say that this season Kalju have struggled against Tammeka even more than against direct titlerivals because all 3 h2h games basically stayed under 2 goals and in each of these games Kalju scored their only goal between 75-90+ min so they probably find it difficult to break down Tammeka' organized defense once more. Considering under 3.5 goals is below 1.70 i might easily regret not taking unders if for the 4th time this season these teams go to half time with goalless draw ... So let's see about that but i still believe in Kalju for once getting that (very) early goal which might help them to get comfortable win(by 2+ goals) for the first(and last) time this season against Tammeka.
  3. Today in Esiliiga: Levadia II - Kalju II 18:00 CET Under 4 goals @2 Levadia hosts Kalju in the Esiliiga on thursday. Levadia youngsters who are currently third in the league have lost just 1 of the last 5 matches as they've won 2 in a row. Levadia youngsters have scored 2+ goals in each of the last 4 games but they conceded in those matches aswell ... At the same time Kalju youngsters who are still rockbottom in the league have won just 1 of the last 5 games as they've lost 2 games in a row to nil. Although are winless in 3 matches then their defense was quite decent during that time because in these 3 games they didn't conceded more than one goal per game. With under 4 you have to hope that for once teams don't score that much like they have done usually and/or in previous games so let's see. So far this season teams have met 3 times with both sides winning once. Also these h2h games saw 2, 2 and 3 goals in it. So i hope that both teams will make sure that we'll have another lowscoring match in wet conditions. Also if anyone'd be intrested to watch how this bet works out(or fails miserably) then you can do it here(with estonian commentary): https://m.soccernet.ee/artikkel/tana-otsepilt-premium-liiga-kullasoosikute-duubelvoistkonnad-lahingus
  4. Negatives of the game: Bet lost Smallest attendance i've ever seen in Estonia homegame(in the last 4 years) Our defense is still awful. Positives: We didn't lose We scored individually same amount of goals vs Hungary what Finland and Greece managed to do together. Hungary is s.h.i.t because they scored 3 against us but still didn't win.
  5. @Purps i like your take in EST-HUN game. I seriously hope it goes this way because then there's no chance of me falling asleep in stadion šŸ˜ƒ
  6. @Probably but while doing that we give real chances to earn money if to bet against us because so far Greece to win odds were over 2, Finland to win odds were around 1.70 in homegame and over 2 on friday and Hungary win is also available @2.10 and i'm not even talking about these teams -1 AH's which had(and have) obviously greater odds so yeah hopefully our team is disappointing estonian fans once more :)
  7. On monday in Nations League: Estonia vs Hungary Under 2 goals @1.90 I'm pretty sure that both teams'd have hoped to start this competion with much better results than they actually managed ...Hungary did beat Greece at home but they lost both awaygames 0:1 Estonia have gone even further in terms of losing 0:1 as they've lost all 3 NL games with that score ...Hungary may have scored 5 in most recent h2h game but just like their only trip to Tallinn showed then here it's never easy for anyone.I'm sure that both teams will try to get back on winning ways but they probably do that by shutting the defense down and somehow scoring 1 or 2 goals ..So i expect another typical monday night football here - lowscoring one. Yeah i'm probably going to regret not taking opponents win alongside their -1 AH once more but hopefully not.
  8. @Whoever Yeah I saw you went for an over ( 2 ) too. Obviously it's very likely to be really low scoring match, but the odds on overs are just too good. Let's hope for an early penalty + a red card or something. If it's 0-0 at halftime, the we're probably doomed, I most certainly am šŸ˜ƒ I guess i'm going back to unders and opponents win and -1 AH for Estonia-Hungary game then ...
  9. Well it's just one of these days where everything goes wrong. Obviously you defend well for 90 minutes and then fall asleep in the first added minute and that's it as T. Pukki leads Finland to their third consecutive 1:0 win ... Oh well then. Atleast Hungary game on monday gives chance to bounce back ...
  10. @Purps i seriously like your pick in EST-FIN game and that despite only 18% of estonian NT homematches seeing 3+ goals in it when i'm in the stands šŸ˜
  11. I think you quoted wrongly otherwise what's your point ... I guess that any small nation could use wisely striker who is scoring goals regularly for his club and that despite in whatever country and/or league he is currently playing ...
  12. One more bet for today's Estonia vs Finland game. Over 2 goals @2.30 Yes we are playing defensively and probably use 5-4-1 or similar formation this time aswell ... But still we are missing our 2-3 first choice CB's so Finland's T. Pukki who have scored twice in NL and 5 in Championship this season clearly fancies his chances to score more. And we now have striker in dutch second league who has scored 5 in 8 games or so and obviously our goalscoring drough must end at some point. Usually you don't see that kind of odds for over 2 line so i guess it's definitely worth a try.
  13. I guess i'm lucky because in the second period i managed to take Novgorod to score 3+ goals before they scored twice :)
  14. They have promiseds it to be over +15 ( may even be more )on this side of the bay on thursday, and the "heat" will be coming from south. Not sure how much that affects, but cold most likely will not be a problem this time.... You are from Finland right ... If yes then whether you are(or aren't)among those 2500+ finnish supporters who conquor Tallinn this weekend i still hope that they don't have no reason to cheer whatsoever ;)
  15. On friday in Nations League: Estonia - Finland Estonia +0.5 AH @1.75 Estonia over 1.0 goals @2.75 So far Finland have won both of their games 1:0 thanks to T. Pukki who scored twice in first 15 minutes last month. At the same time Estonia lost both of their games 0:1 while conceding inside 15 minutes in both matches ... Honestly i don't mind our team to relegated to league D anymore but could this happen then hopefully it's not going to be with 0 points and most importantly with 0 goals. Obviously scoring goals is still problem for our team but what can you do when first target is always to keep a clean sheet which usually backfires.. However i believe that in the last 2 qualifying campaigns Finland kept just 2 clean sheets on the road so hopefully their defense struggles once more if the weather conditions are really bad once again(even the previous h2h game in september was blessed by heavy rain ...) And now it's way colder outside + in october our pitch tends to be frozen like it was 2 years ago when Greece both CBs couldn't handle it for more than 10 minutes ... I'm probably way too optimistic this time around about our chances and that's why i'm not going with Finland -1 AH @3.50 - I am probably going to regret not betting against Estonia this time but hopefully not.
  16. it's always wonderful to pick under 4 in match which has 1 goal in it
  17. Tomorrow in Meistriliiga: PƤrnu - Narva 12:00 CET Under 4 goals @2.05 PƤrnu have lost 4 in a row while Narva have won 5 in a row. Unlike their opponents who need points like thin air because they are currently rockbottom in the league Narva pretty much have nothing to play for anymore because they have already secured 4th place. PƤrnu may have conceded 3 in previous game against Viljandi but in that game they risked way more while going to attack than they are going to do in this match. Narva have scored 2 or more goals in each of the last 6 matches but they have had 1 day less for rest than opponents and now their options in attack are pretty much limited as both of their 2 best strikers so far this season are unavailable for different reasons. Also local kickoff time 13:00 is also against them considering it takes nearly 3 and half hours to get there ... PƤrnu lost first 2 h2h games this season 0:6 and 0:4 but in most recent one they were lucky to get 1:1 draw. Whether they get something from this game or not i still hope that they can defend properly once again and keep this match as lowscoring one.
  18. Well i guess 0:0 is fair result considering Levadia wasted their 3rd min penalty ...
  19. Tomorrow in Meistriliiga: Levadia - Kalju 18:30 CET Levadia DnB @1.81 Both teams have won 5 games in a row so one thing is for sure: (atleast) for one team their winning streak will come to an end. Levadia is currently trailing Kalju by 7p and with 6 games to go they need to win here to have any chance of winning the league. However Kalju is still unbeaten in the league and they've scored in every leaguegame this season aswell but they probably need to wait much longer for their goal here than in last match where they managed to score within' 10 seconds basically. Also Kalju basically have the luxury to lose both this week's awaygames vs Levadia and Flora and still staying on course to become champions for the first time since 2012 considering that Levadia and Flora will have to go head-to-head in the final round ... Levadia have yet to win h2h game this season so hopefully they can do it on 4th time. Or atleast avoid defeat here.
  20. Although i didn't bet against them this time Flora still showed why it's useful to bet against them in important games as they lost 1:2 despite going 1:0 up.
  21. Today in estonian cup: Levadia - Flora BTTS @1.67 Over 2.5 goals @1.76 Both teams have scored 2+ goals in 4 of the last 5 games so now it seems that they have perfect chance to outscore their opponent while knocking them out of the cup competion. Obviously with this kind of games there's always risk that teams take it very cautiously as they don't want to score while searching for that 1 crucial goal which might decide the game(just like in cup final ..) Both teams have already met 5 times in 2018 and in 3 of these games both teams found the net net while 4 matches went over 2.5 goals. So i do hope that both teams will focus on attacking here because they both need goals here if they want to make it to the next round.
  22. While 2 other today's games in Esiliiga saw 5 and 9 goals in it then this match saw 2 as it ended 1:1 :)
  23. Today in Esiliiga Kalju II - Flora II 18:00 CET Under 4 goals @1.97 Under 4.5 goals @1.60 After going 16 games without a win as they lost 15 matches during that time Kalju youngsters finally managed to win on thursday. After losing just 3 games between march and june Flora youngsters seem to be on vacation mode as they've now lost 5 of the 9 games since august. Kalju may have lost nearly half of their 15 homegames so far this season but just 2 of them had 5+ goals in it. Flora meanwhile have won 6 and lost 4 of their 14 away leaguegames. Also just 2 awaygames for them had 5+ goals in it. As both Kalju and Flora first teams have important cup games on tuesday & wednesday it's very unlikely that these teams get any extra help so hopefully we will see typical monday game tonight - lowscoring one. Teams have met 3 times so far this season with these games having 4, 3 and 6 goals in it. So story is still the same - whenever under 4 is available with ridiciously great odds you just have to hope that for once teams have no idea how to score goals.
  24. Well sometimes even nature isn't helping as Levadia won 5:0 in (extremely) windy conditions.
  25. Tomorrow morning(12:00 CET) in Meistriliiga: Kuressaare - Levadia Under 5 goals @1.79 Levadia under 4.5 goals @1.75 After holding Levadia to 1:1 draw in june Kure haven't been that lucky anymore as they've lost 10 leaguegames in a row. At the same time Levadia have won 7 of the last 10 leaguegames since that draw in previous h2h game.. Kure may have conceded 3-4 goals in most homegames and although they have conceded 5+ goals in 2 homegames this season then the last homegame where basically everything went wrong was back in april. Levadia have scored 5+ goals in 2 away leaguegames this season but haven't done that since april so i wouldn't be too surprised should they win 4:0 for the third time in the last 4 awaygames. All 3 h2h games so far this season have stayed under 5 goals so hopefully we will see another type of game where favourites aren't going to humiliate their opponent.
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