Keyser Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Penguins-Coyotes9 units Goalscorer Sid Crosby @1.95 9 units wincast Pens+Crosby @2.55 5 units Goals Pens o3.5 @3.25 7 units Playerpoints Crosby o1.5@1.95Canadiens-Bruins4 units Goalscorer Pacioretty @2.95 2 units Goalscorer Byron @4.90 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 13, 2016 Author Share Posted December 13, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Penguins-Coyotes@9 units Goalscorer Sid Crosby @1.95 IN @9 units wincast Pens+Crosby @2.55 IN @5 units Goals Pens o3.5 @3.25 IN 7 units Playerpoints Crosby o1.5@1.95 OUTCanadiens-Bruins@4 units Goalscorer Pacioretty @2.95 OUT @2 units Goalscorer Byron @4.90 INA good opening. 4/6 bets in. 36 units bet, and 66.55 units returned for a profit of 30.55 units. British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 13, 2016 Author Share Posted December 13, 2016 Maple Leafs-Sharks6 units Sharks @2.45Hurricanes-Canucks8 units Hurricanes @1.95I noticed there was a typo in the opening post. Sorry about that, but the odds should've steered people on the right track. Should be Penso4.5@3.25, although I personally bet on both Pens o3.5 and Pens o4.5--among other things on that match. British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Maple Leafs-Sharks@6 units Sharks @2.45 OUTHurricanes-Canucks@8 units Hurricanes @1.95 IN15.6 units back on 14 units bet for a profit of 1.6 units.Total: 50 units bet on 8 picks 82.15 units collected from 5 correct ones +32.15 unitsSharks won on Penalties, so should probably have stuck with ML on that one.... British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 Flames-Lightning9 units Sean Monahan point @1.85 2 units Wincast Monahan+Flames @6.00 3 units Johnny Gaudreau o1.5 points @3.35 2 units Goalscorer Dougie HamiltonPenguins-Bruins6 units Crosby goal @2.17 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Flames-Lightning 2 units Goalscorer Dougie Hamilton@Seems I've forgot to add the odds on Dougie; @5.80. British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mirc Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 You are risking plenty of units.I am betting mostly on ML with 1 unit or 2.5g for a team but NHL is so unpredictable.What are your % for winnin overall or longterm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 @mirc wrote: You are risking plenty of units.I am betting mostly on ML with 1 unit or 2.5g for a team but NHL is so unpredictable.What are your % for winnin overall or longterm?I risk a lot more than these units, because I only post the bets that Unibet have competetive odds on (and I hate that bets on player points and goalscorers aren't including OT at unibet). I haven't long time % to show to, because I've been using the early season to gatter a feel for the teams this season and only been betting NHL hard the past two weeks--after I hadf established a base.What I can tell you is that I've got my last 7 max-bets correct at FT or ML-bets--for an average odds of just above 2.00 (I usually bet FT rather than ML, because I feel most teams lose too much value if you pick em ML--but there are a handful of exceptions...). I also have my 5 last max-bets at player-point correct--for an average of around 1.95. @(In other words; I'm running hot, so it might be worth your while to take a stab at Monahan-point @1.85 tonight....)For the smaller staked units (1 unit bets-7 unit bets) I only hope to average a 5% ROI or something like that, but they hopefully adds to even out variance, and keep me on the toes for finding those max-bets. I make no guarantees, but keep an eye with this thread, and maybe you'll get an answer from my results before the end of the season. British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 Flames-Lightning7 units Flames@2.30Avalanche-Flyers7 units Flyers@2.35 2 units goalscorer Voracek@3.45Senators-Sharks2 units goalscorer Couture@4 2 units goalscorer Burns@4 5 units Sharks@2.45 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 15, 2016 Author Share Posted December 15, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Flames-Lightning@9 units Sean Monahan point @1.85 IN @2 units Wincast Monahan+Flames @6.00 OUT @3 units Johnny Gaudreau o1.5 points @3.35 OUT @2 units Goalscorer Dougie Hamilton @5.80 OUT 7 units Flames@2.30 OUTPenguins-Bruins@6 units Crosby goal @2.17 OUTAvalanche-Flyers7 units Flyers@2.35 IN 2 units goalscorer Voracek@3.45 OUTSenators-Sharks2 units goalscorer Couture@4 OUT 2 units goalscorer Burns@4 IN 5 units Sharks@2.45 OUTMuch like yesterday, Sharks settled for the ML-win. Anyhow. The big one with Monahan correct again, but a net loss for the night. 45 units bet and a 41.3 return for a slight loss of 3.7 units.Total:95 units bet on 19 picks 123.45 units collected from 8 correct ones +28.45 units British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 15, 2016 Author Share Posted December 15, 2016 Bruins-Ducks4 units Ducks @2.708 units Perry point@1.72 6 units Marchand point@1.60 4 units Goalscorer Pastrnak@2.85 3 units Goalscorer Marchand@3.407 units Goalscorer Rakell@3.35 3 units Goalscorer Perry@3.15 2 units Goalscorer Kesler@4.10 2 units 2points Perry@3.85 2 units 2points Getzlaf@3.85 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 15, 2016 Author Share Posted December 15, 2016 Islanders-Blackhawks3 units Goalscorer Anisimov@3.90 3 units Goalscorer Panarin@3.35 2 units Goalscorer Hossa@4.25Leafs-Coyotes3 units Goalscorer Matthews@2.80 3 units Goalscorer van Riemsdyk@3.00 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psrquack Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 How do you make the predictions of the goalscorers? Compare the form, the status in the team (first line, PP member, frenchise player), the goals/games, the injuries, the team form or how? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 15, 2016 Author Share Posted December 15, 2016 @psrquack wrote: How do you make the predictions of the goalscorers? Compare the form, the status in the team (first line, PP member, frenchise player), the goals/games, the injuries, the team form or how?Match-up, form, anticipation of number goals scored by team, general scorer/points-stats for player compared to their current form, changes in line-ups, anticipated numbers of PP-plays in comparison with opponents PK and tendencies and so on and so forth.I watch quite a few games, so also consider my own estimation of how likely their are to get goal-scoring opportunities against this and that kind of defence, how well their stats reflect their play, and pay especially close attention to PP-efficiency in setting up in opponents zone, team ability to move around the puck, and whether or not they like to go big from blue line looking for deflection, or whether they like to make plays for their offensive players around the box... just to mention a few things.At the end of the day I got a number in my head about where the odds should be in my estimation, and when offered better I consider how valuable it is to adjust my betting size according to value. British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Islanders-Blackhawks3 units Goalscorer Anisimov@3.90 IN 3 units Goalscorer Panarin@3.35 IN 2 units Goalscorer Hossa@4.25 INAfter 14.08 of 1st period, all three Blackhawks-picks have already scored a goal each ;) British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 A glimpse of my own bets on the Blackhawks-match, where I also included wincast bets on all three goalscorer for odds of @5.75, @6.50 and @7.00. (The point-bet @1.75 in Bruins-Ducks is Getzlaf, which also went in).... British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Bruins-Ducks@4 units Ducks @2.70 IN 8 units Perry point@1.72 OUT 6 units Marchand point@1.60 IN 4 units Goalscorer Pastrnak@2.85 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Marchand@3.40 OUT 7 units Goalscorer Rakell@3.35 IN 3 units Goalscorer Perry@3.15 OUT 2 units Goalscorer Kesler@4.10 OUT 2 units 2points Perry@3.85 OUT 2 units 2points Getzlaf@3.85 OUTIslanders-Blackhawks3 units Goalscorer Anisimov@3.90 IN 3 units Goalscorer Panarin@3.35 IN 2 units Goalscorer Hossa@4.25 INLeafs-Coyotes3 units Goalscorer Matthews@2.80 IN 3 units Goalscorer van Riemsdyk@3.00 OUTGood Leafs-result and some great Blackhawks-return helpeds my more below average Ducks bets along. For a total of 55 units bet, I got a return of 82.5 units for a 27.5 units profit. Perry involvements had 3 shots in the post, denying him a point despite Ducks scoring four goals, including a couple of them that also would have handed Getzlaf his second point. Not a great day, and still a very healthy profit.Total:150 units bet on 34 picks 205.95 units collected from 15 correct ones +55.95 units British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 Pens-Kings8 units Pens@1.92 3 units Pens-1.5@2.60 1 unit Pens-2.5@4.357 units Goalscorer Crosby@2.15 2 units Wincast Crosby+Pens@3.35 3 units Goalscorer Schultz@8.00 4 units o5.5 goals@1.98 1 unit o7.5 goals@4.8 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 Flames-Blue Jackets5 units Monahan point@1.85 4 units Atkinson point@1.67 3 units Goalscorer Atkinson@3.25 3 units Goalscorer Foligno@3.95 5 units Gaudreau point@1.65 2 units Gaudreau 2points@3.35 3 units Goalscorer Gaudreau@3.00 3 units Goalscorer Monahan@3.45 5 units Blue Jackets@2.33 2 units Goalscorer Werenski@6.10Pens-Kings3 units Goalscorer Sheary@3.55Sabres-Islanders2 units Eichel 2points@3.20 6 units Sabres@2.10 4 units o5.5 goals@2.10 2 units o7.5 goals@5.40Added Goalscorer-bets @ Werenski and Gaudreau... British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 Avs-Panthers5 units MacKinnon point@1.80 3 units Goalscorer MacKinnon@3.60 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 17, 2016 Author Share Posted December 17, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Pens-Kings8 units Pens@1.92 OUT 3 units Pens-1.5@2.60 OUT 1 unit Pens-2.5@4.35 OUT 7 units Goalscorer Crosby@2.15 OUT 2 units Wincast Crosby+Pens@3.35 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Schultz@8.00 OUT 4 units o5.5 goals@1.98 OUT 1 unit o7.5 goals@4.8 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Sheary@3.55 OUTAvs-Panthers5 units MacKinnon point@1.80 IN 3 units Goalscorer MacKinnon@3.60 OUTFlames-Blue Jackets5 units Monahan point@1.85 IN 4 units Atkinson point@1.67 IN 3 units Goalscorer Atkinson@3.25 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Foligno@3.95 OUT 5 units Gaudreau point@1.65 IN 2 units Gaudreau 2points@3.35 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Gaudreau@3.00 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Monahan@3.45 IN 5 units Blue Jackets@2.33 IN 2 units Goalscorer Werenski@6.10 OUTSabres-Islanders2 units Eichel 2points@3.20 OUT 6 units Sabres@2.10 OUT 4 units o5.5 goals@2.10 OUT 2 units o7.5 goals@5.40 OUTAn all around horrible night that bottomed out when Werenski's goal was taken away and ruled a Gagner one. CBJ continues their amazing run, and can still be trusted to deliver night in and night out--unlike the likes of Penguins... Pens with 39 shots on Budaj against Kings 28 shots on goal, but sadly they were exactly that; shots on Budaj rather than shots on goal, as Budaj shut them out for a 1-0 win in overtime. Very dissapointing performance by the Stanley Cup winners. 88 units bet and only 55.18 returned for a loss of 32.82 units.Total:238 units bet on 59 picks 261.13 units collected from 21 correct ones + 23.13 units British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 Canucks-Blue Jackets9 units Blue Jackets@2.08 British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 Canucks-Blue Jackets1 unit Blue Jackets@2.05 ( makes it a 10 unit maxbet in total--with the afforementioned 9 units @2.08.. ) 3 units Goalscorer Gagner@4.00 3 units Goalscorer Foligno@3.85 5 units Foligno point@1.80As usual, if anyone offer you an Atkinson Goalscorer bet @3.50 or better you should definitely be alert for that as well, and I think Werenski-point @2.10 or better also offer great value. British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 @Keyser wrote: Canucks-Blue Jackets9 units Blue Jackets@2.08 OUT 1 unit Blue Jackets@2.05 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Gagner@4.00 OUT 3 units Goalscorer Foligno@3.85 OUT 5 units Foligno point@1.80 INAs usual, if anyone offer you an @Atkinson Goalscorer bet @3.50 or better you should definitely be alert for that as well, and I think @Werenski-point @2.10 or better also offer great value.Atkinson scored and Werenski collected point, but Blue Jackets gave away a 2-0 lead at 2nd intermission and a 3-2 lead with only 1.09 to go, only to win it in OT still.... Didn't do me much good, though... 21 units bet and only a measily 9 units returned gives a 12 unit loss. The worst thing is that both the 2-2 equalizer and the 3-3 equalizer are of the lucky variety, and the latter the kind Blue Jackets normally doesn't let in as they usually take out the middle. Murray on the ice rather than Werenski proved costly.Total:261 units bet on 63 picks 270.13 units collected from 22 correct ones +9.13 units British Open 2016 Champion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magicadil Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Blackhawks regular time @2.80 I debateShould I smile like everything's good and pretend that life is greatOr should I let the world see the real me and not hide this painI tried to be like the rest of y'all, sorry I just can'tI'ma probably die this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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