GR1ZZL3R'S Diary Of A Fun Punter

[LeVsKaRa]

Very happy to read that you are enjoying all the stuff! Keep enjoying it and keep having fun and stay healthy :happy:

[GR1ZZL3R]

Loads of fun. 🤣

First two were one after the other, the third a few hands later.

Meanwhile on another table.....................

[SkilfulPoker]

Hey Grizzler great blog! That was kind what your daughter did and how cool for your 6/1bet to come in!

I really enjoyed reading your longer update as well. So much I can relate to there. 

I've decided most important part of life is quality of experience lately, so your chilled approach and the way your day sounds fairly cosy sounds just great to me!

I'm also at a similar stage in life with my outlook to you it seems. Where I realise we need to make the lives we want to experience right here right now, because well to quote a much used phrase... "Tomorrow never comes!"

Enjoying reading your blog mate, keep those updates coming!

[GR1ZZL3R]

Week 2 of being a fun, recreational player has, as usual highs and lows. 

POKER

Very little action on this front. I've probably played no more than 6 hours on the cash tables, the cash ticket is slowly going back in the right direction but still a long way from being completed. As for the tourneys I'm only playing Monday, Thursday and Saturday when the UK freerolls and centrolls are on, building a session round those. I played the UK €50 and was going well for an hour then crashed with successive all ins, both with better hands than villain, both not holding up. What more is there to say? :teardrop: 

The thing that strikes me is the difference in play. The UK freerolls on Monday and Thursday usually have about 20 or so participants, Saturdays seeming to increase gradually, this week 72, and they play very, very tightly. The nightly €5 has about 20-30 and seem to play what I call normally, the mixture of players being tight, loose, aggressive, passive, the whole lot. As for the €50, that somehow seems full of aggro maniacs, 3 betting, 4 betting, all ins with what I call nothing hands. I would have thought it would be the complete opposite, but I suppose the fact that in the freebies, most of the time you virtually have a ticket won before you start and just playing sensibly leads to a €5 ticket. :wonder:

BETTING

Just three winners this week but at goodish odds, but a small loss so far. I would like to bet them individually each race and start increasing stakes in a small way but don't really have the time. I think I spend too much time as it is on the computer and am trying to bring a lot more variety in, exercise, cooking, reading (I love reading 😃) getting back up to the levels I used to, so that may have to wait a while. Back in the day I used to put my bets on at lunchtime, back to work and sometimes not even check the results until I got the next days paper, only watching the racing on Saturdays or the evening meetings we used to go to, so I don't actually miss watching them now. It's still a project in the early days.

ROULETTE

This is the one that I'm still enthusiastic about, maybe that will change if things take a downturn, but I'm now reasonably happy I can handle adverse situations. My problem seems to be spotting a trend or situation and chasing off in all directions to follow it, not good in the heat of battle, so discipline is the key word here.

Fourteen winning days in a row, £566.50 bet returning £135.50 profit at 23.91%.  Since the almost disastrous run last week, £149.00 bet, returning £85.00 at 57.04%, a great improvement. I'm using percentages only as a broad benchmark as the sample sizes are very small, they're not really significant but give some sort of overall picture. I keep meaning to have a long session to truly test what I'm doing, all the tests from previous results can be helpful but there's nothing like the heat of battle to sort things out. I start with the best of intentions but when that column goes into plus I tend to chicken out. :Scared:  I liken it to poker, I may have a solid base in theory but putting it into practice when the villains don't do what they should is a different matter. :Sad:

The roulette ball doesn't always do what it should but I'm not trying to outthink it, maybe I'd lose anyway. :Rofl:

So the poker is chugging along in first gear, pottering along on the back roads,  the betting is on the main road but not getting out of second, while the roulette is revving up, straining to hit the racetrack and show what it can do. 

Meanwhile I'm booked for my first vaccination tomorrow so slightly nervous. :Scared:

[P0kerM0nk]

Is there strategy in roulette as well? I honestly don't know anything about it as I've never played it but just wondering 😃

[GR1ZZL3R]

@P0kerM0nk  I (and many others) think it's a strategy game but there are also many that will tell you it's a random unbeatable casino game. Call them strategies, systems, methods or whatever but those that play seriously, rather than just chucking chips about randomly, will have a chance of winning. I wouldn't go as far as to say it's absolutely beatable but I'm having fun trying. I've literally just been on for 10 minutes, four observing and six minutes playing.

:Rofl::Rofl::Rofl:

 

[P0kerM0nk]

Quit while you are ahead lol.

[GR1ZZL3R]

@P0kerM0nk It's what I tend to do. One of these days I intend to have a long session just to see where it goes but profit is profit so I don't really want to press when ahead. :scared: That's probably why I'll never be a millionaire. :teardrop:

[Merenitsu]

Man, it makes me laugh that you are sure that this can be broken. What are some strategies, observations 😃. Keep on winning

[GR1ZZL3R]

---

@Merenitsu wrote:

Man, it makes me laugh that you are sure that this can be broken. What are some strategies, observations 😃. Keep on winning

---

@Merenitsu  You need to read a bit more carefully, I'll repeat it for you. "I wouldn't go as far as to say it's absolutely beatable but I'm having fun trying."

If I ever get to the point where I'm convinced I've beaten the game, my ambition, lofty though it may be, is to get barred by a casino (aim for the stars and even if you fall short you might get as far as the moon) I may share some specific strategies or methods, but until then I couldn't tell you any more than you can find in the many forums or on YT, only broad outlines. 

Just as a quick reality check I've been on the auto-roulette table for an hour and twenty four minutes before finally checking out with a small profit. This is far more typically how sessions go but it's good practice for patience and discipline.

I certainly hope to keep winning, I hope you do to, seems like you're cashing out regularly so keep it going............................and have fun. 👍🤣

 

 

[Merenitsu]

 

@GR1ZZL3R 

I just think of poker as something sports. Therefore, when I win a tournament, I take it calmly and only feel tired. There is always a winner, why not me today. The only problem I really hate is failure. 😃
I also don’t understand how you can play poker and have fun. It's a loss of concentration. The man went all in with aces and lost against 27 - is that funny? On the contrary, I empathize with them.  :geek:

[GR1ZZL3R]

UPDATE TIME

POKER

Still not a lot of action here. I played Saturday night's UK €5 -€50 and managed to get a ticket this time, a couple of early decent size pots left me leading for quite a while, a big pot when there were only 9 or so remaining more or less sealed it. To be fair I had the right hands at the right time and it was actually one of the easier wins. 😃This leaves the ticket stack still hovering around the €600 mark with two UK €50 tickets left, so I'll play the next two Saturdays before the final on Mar 7th. 

The cash ticket is still bouncing up and down but each bounce seems to leave it slightly higher. 😃 I don't know how I missed the Moving On Up last week but will play this weeks and hopefully move up. 

BETTING

This is just becoming a series of losers, no matter how carefully I select there just seems to be no way of picking winners, so I'm going to go back to a 5 or 10 minute look through the cards and see what catches my eye. A good start to the week but followed by one of those depressing runs where I kept slipping backwards. It feels worse when you have 4 or 5 choices, pick 3, they all lose and a 6/1 winner goes unbacked, :teardrop: so from now on if I pick 4 I'll back 4. Simple. (Thanks @Livertool I should have listened 👍)

ROULETTE

This continues to be the shining light and the most fascinating. The ups and downs can be really swingy but even when it looks like I've bet a large amount on any one day it's because I'm still behind when catching that first winner, but never being too far behind to make a steady catch up.

 

The week started steadily enough, the first hit each time making profit, then on Thursday I hit a snag, the dreaded downswing. I gave up in time to protect the bankroll, to me now the absolutely most important criteria. It's like being stacked a few times quite quickly, how long do you carry on reloading, or do you give up and come back another day. I hate leaving while down but things just weren't running right. Wins on Friday and Saturday put things back on track, and I was actually £6 up on Sunday, but having said I'd like to try a longer session I thought this was the time. A few ups and downs, never being more than a few pounds adrift, and after about an hour and a half two quick wins had more or less recovered the deficit so time to close. 
The monthly total so far is £849.50 bet, £168.50 profit, a return of 19.83 percent. :atisfied: How long can this continue, and is it really just variance in my favour or have I found something? Your guess is as good as mine, but I'm having fun trying to find out. I had £200 on the site at the start of the year, that is now exactly £400, so if I do hit an incontrollable bad streak I'm definitely, definitely, not going to lose it all back, a stop loss will definitely  be in place. :Wonder:

OTHER NEWS

A blocked sink, (cleared fairly quickly) a dicky boiler, (being sorted while I write) and my first covid vaccination (no side effects or issues) were just some of the minor distractions, nothing too exciting.

Run Good and Stay Safe. 👍

 

[GR1ZZL3R]

FUN PUNTER UPDATE TIME  :teardrop::teardrop:😃

As the saying goes, "Two out of three ain't bad." In my case two out of three are bad, very bad, as bad as bad things that are really bad.

POKER

Just bad. The cash ticket has dived, almost but not quite sunk without trace. As it was the end of the month I thought I'd give it a dedicated shot to lower the flops, four tables fired up. Horror after horror ensued, some of which I posted yesterday in "sick hands." Flop two pairs, lose; flop a set, lose; flop a set, lose; turn a set of Aces, lose. It just went on and on. The funny thing is I wasn't tilted, I just got to the point where I knew it was a losing day no matter what I did. I finally gave in with €10 left on the ticket, do or die time sometime today, and of course the Double Trouble ticket turned up this morning, so it's not all bad. 😃

Virtually no action on the tourney ticket front, absolutely no motivation to play to qualify for an online tourney that I'm unlikely to enjoy. The whole point was to qualify for a live event, still very unlikely to be any this year so I'm really in limbo, bumbling along with no goal in sight. 

POKER SCORE: BAD.

BETTING

Simply put, I can't pick a winner. Twelve runner handicap with a solid form third favourite, no chance. Four runner stakes race with a rock solid favourite fancied by all the world and his wife, not today. A maiden that flew last time decides to plod home in her own time today. 

Checking the form, ratings, speed ratings, course form, tipsters, nothing helps, so in the interests of being a fun punter it's back to micro stakes on any outsider I happen to notice. If I like the name or colour of the silks, then that's good enough for me, it really can't get any worse. 😃

BETTING SCORE: BAD.

ROULETTE

Can you put a curse on your luck or run good or skill or whatever keeps you winning? I hardly dare say it but roulette is still providing some measure of comfort. It's not been an easy week by any means, four tough days, one I let go eventually with a loss, managing to pull back into profit but not without a struggle.

The monthly totals now stand as follows:

BET: £1941.00  WON: £203.00  ROI: 10.45%

The profit's still going up though at a much slower rate, and the thing is I'm never falling so far behind after a win that I feel it's uncontrollable, although Thursday's session became a concern and I bailed out before too much damage. (Thursday seems to be a bad day somehow :Wonder:) Yesterday's session was really good, I felt I could have carried on much longer. I'm constantly recording everything and looking for adjustments and the latest looked very promising, potentially higher gains but of course a bit more risk. As long as I stick to stop losses I should be OK, but it may be too risky for my liking. 

Just as an extra I'm exploring yet another method here on UB, I started on the auto table for 10p stakes and so far so good. I'm going to try the high risk strategy there and see how it goes.

ROULETTE SCORE:  GOOD TO FAIR.

OTHER NEWS

A proper familly get together planned for August, and that's about it.

Run Good and Stay Safe. :Thumbsup:

 

 

[GR1ZZL3R]

And there you have it. 

Starting price 9/1, price taken 22/1.  :Wow:

It's fun being a fun punter. :Rofl:

[GR1ZZL3R]

Just a quick update as I seem to be all over the place at the moment.

POKER

Very little going on just now, basically hanging around. I've bought Dara's PKO book as it seems that's the way most tourneys are going now, and as I'm a bit disenchanted with the cash tables (losing) I'm looking to have a proper shot at tourneys with a set schedule in place, maybe two or three nights a week when the sport's a bit drab. I am playing on the fast fold tables elsewhere, one buy in per day and double or nothing, so far 9 wins in a row. 🤣

BETTING

I'm backing about 6-7 horses per day, most at outsider odds and have had the odd big priced winner, but only at 10p stakes. The best meeting bar non, Cheltenham, begins tomorrow so maybe a few bets incoming.

ROULETTE

This has taken over as the major time filler really, and still proving comfort during losing runs at anything else. 

Fourteen winning sessions in a row this month although some have been tougher to crack than others. (What is it about Thursdays?) My basic strategy is still holding up though the risky one on the 10p Auto table did crash and burn, now consigned to the dustbin. :Teardrop:

That's more or less it, nothing much else going on except sounds of unwelcome visitors scuttling around in the loft, Pest Control Man is paying a call on Friday.

As always, Run Good and Stay Safe. :Thumbsup:

[Livertool]

@GR1ZZL3R 

Have tried lightning roulette? I've hit 500x two times on it and don't really play that much livecasino. I don't know how often it hits, probly been lucky af on it but compared to normal roulette i dig it better, at least chance to win big with lower stakes too.

[GR1ZZL3R]

@Livertool I have tried various versions of roulette including the Lightning but always go back to the plain simple version, simply because of the odds. I didn't work out the long term return but instinctively thought that it would be worse in the long run. Your query made me check, and as I guessed, the return on straight up numbers, which are the only bets I make, are indeed worse. Casinos are never going to make things easier for punters are they, or give money away? 🤣

Nice hits on the 500/1 but only getting 29/1 for most of the time doesn't suit my plodding style, one for the gamblers. Nothing wrong with that, but not for me. 😃

[GR1ZZL3R]

Warm up for tomorrow. 😃

[GR1ZZL3R]

:Rofl:

[GR1ZZL3R]

It's just over three years since I joined this community and just over a year since I started self isolating due to the Corona virus, also nearly three years since I started my first blog, Manchester or Bust, (failed :Teardrop:) now sadly consigned to the annals of history. The Community is soon getting an overhaul, I've had my first Covid vaccination, the second due in May, and a new tournament has hit the streets, The Supermoon. Three major changes after what has seemed like a very long year, so it may be time for an overhaul and/or a step up in commitments.

POKER

I didn't make Manchester. There are excuses but I'm not looking back now, only forward. I did win one last step qualifier and played in the last but one UOS online version but my heart was never really in it. I wanted to qualify for a live event which I did, the UO Dublin version which I enjoyed immensely, ( gettin KO'd with a boat still hurts ) but that was through the backdoor by winning a raffle (still had to play poker and complete missions to get in the raffle, but no, so as far as I'm concerned that doesn't count. ) Now it's RIP UK TOUR, :Teardrop: but with all the UK tickets being converted I'll have nearly €600 worth of BP's and tickets :Smile: from less than €100 initial outlay, so feel I'm well ahead, ( and still some UO tickets ) so a good base to have a regular run in the new satties. That will be my main focus in poker now, with the odd foray into cash and maybe some other smaller tourneys. I have bought the PKO strategy book by Dara as the Sattelite Strategy one was a great help.:Thumbsup: Lets see where this all goes.

BETTING

I made a small profit from the Cheltenham meeting but haven't had any significant bets since ( £1 bets aren't really significant ) but I'm monitoring results and planning my next campaign. This will definitely be my last attempt to beat the bookies on horseracing ( probably ) but as ever I'm still confident I can do it, otherwise there's not really much point trying. :Wonder:

ROULETTE

A large update to follow. :atisfied:

As always, Run Good and Stay Safe. :Thumbsup:

 

 

[GR1ZZL3R]

ROULETTE

It was a poor start to the week but nothing disastrously bad. Monday was a losing day, but rather than getting too deep when things aren't going exactly to plan I'm taking the view that "Tomorrow is another day," similar to the poker strategy of quitting if the losses are mounting, reducing the chance of tilting off, the tables aren't going anywhere and maybe I'll run better next time. I pulled it back over the next couple of days, had a small loss again but managed to pull that back and finished ahead. This brought a monthly total of £1132.50 bet and £203.50 won, an ROI of 17.96%, a not unreasonable return.

This left just over £500 in the balance, so I decided to withdraw £200 and do a reset, but then I started wondering if I could find out where my balance was really at and if I was really ahead. Actually I knew I was ahead from the rough records and notes I made and guessed about £500-£800. I only ever played roulette on that site, had deposited and lost money in the early days but had only made withdrawals for quite a while, so I started looking. 

And I found the answer.

Quite a nice surprise really, £1363.65 to the good , plus £300 in the balance, a fair bit better than I thought. And four years since I opened the account, yet another anniversary.

Just as an aside and make a comparison I then checked my UB account which didn't quite look as good.

A deficit of £204.71 less the £128.72 in my account, over 3 years and a few months. Again not a disaster but as this has been mainly poker of the small stakes variety with some horse race betting and odd trips into the small stakes roulette, it only shows what a minor player I am. 

So some big decisions incoming. 

I still like poker but I don't love it as I did, so I'm only going to play the new Supermoon and the UO tour, using my BP's and tickets till they're gone or replenished, maybe the odd desperate foray into cash just to see if I still run as horribly as ever ( or play as badly as ever. )

I still love my horseracing and feel I've got a much better handle on it, consistency is the key. Picking a horse just because is never going to work, there has to be some sort of method and I seem to have found what suits me, wether I profit from it or not I'm not too bothered, I think I'll only ever be a small stakes punter and the enjoyment will be enough. 

So back to roulette. Funnily enough I don't always enjoy playing, especially if the winners aren't coming often enough, and it can be a bit boring at times unless you're splashing money all over the place. That certainly isn't my style, more of a plodding and steady pace suits me, ( a 4 mile chaser rather than a 5 furlong sprinter ) but I really think it's more the fact that most people insist it can't be beaten that spurs me on. "It's the house edge don't you know," "the casino always wins," you'll run out of money before they do" "the maths is against you" sort of thing. Let's face it, there are professional gamblers claiming to win on the horses, working with overrounds, on today's racing, from 106% to 120%, even higher at bigger meetings with more runners, gamblers claiming success on football betting with average overrounds of 7-10%, and even head to head betting in snooker or tennis being more than the paltry 2.7% we have to contend with in roulette. There's no form checking in roulette, no ground or weather conditions to take into account, no weight allowances, no handicaps, no shortening or lengthening market moving prices, no outside considerations at all, just one decision to make. Which number or section or colour or whatever will win this time? Get the right selection more than 2.7% of the time on a single number and you're ahead of the game, simples. So they don't pay fair odds, there are 37 numbers and picking the right one only pays 35/1, but do you ever actually get fair odds in any other sport?  England against San Marino were 1/100 and yes, they probably would beat them 100 times in a row, but most matches are far closer than that and prices are rarely ever fair. 

So after all that waffle it comes down to the fact I've upped the ante and am now betting a whole £1 at a time. :Wow:..........................................

...........................and it didn't exactly start off according to plan, £242 bet and only £10 profit on the first day............................but that's 4.1%, still ahead of the game. The positives are that at no time was I more than 2 wins behind, in which case I would have stopped for the day, and actually only took less than 2 hours. Day 2 and 3 were much easier, each being completed within the first cycle.

So there you have it, roulette is my number 1 game for the time being, I have a £300 bank roll to play around with and take it from there. Let's see how long it lasts.:Rofl:

Run Good and Stay Safe. :Thumbsup:

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GR1ZZL3R]

So the UK tour has gone, I never did make it to Manchester but as a result of the conversion of outstanding tickets I now have 58,970 BP's, a good enough bankroll, I hope, to venture into MTTs. 

My new monthly target. 😃

The racing's going reasonably well at the moment, small but steady profits. The problem I now have with using a progression is that I have to see each result as it comes so as to know how much to bet on the next step, far too much time taken up by betting race to race rather than all in one go. I'm still working on this.

A worrying time on Tuesday night that spilled over into the small hours of Wednesday but ultimately pulling back the defecit. It always seems to me that whenever there's an increase of stakes results are never quite as smooth, wether it's poker, gambling, roulette or whatever. However this leaves the monthly total bet at £1773, a profit of £318, an ROI of 17.9%. I'll take that.😃 Another withdrawal of £118 and I'll stay on £1 bets for a while.

The Pest Control man paid his second visit, but despite his assurances on his first visit that rats simply can't resist this bait they haven't touched it and are still happily scampering about over my head. Third visit this Friday.

I opened the back door to a minor heatwave today, a very surprising 20 degrees, so time for repotting the Scarborough Lilies that have spent the winter indoors.

Warm work indeed, so a shower and into relax mode for tonight's football. 

Run Good. 👍

[GR1ZZL3R]

I've just noticed these, I might as well start flipping.

Good Luck. 👍

[GR1ZZL3R]

BOOM!

BOOM BOOM!!

BOOM BOOM BOOM!!!

 

[GR1ZZL3R]

BOOM!